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Fried: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Caldwell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2018 Florida Commissioner of Agriculture election occurred on November 6, 2018, to elect the Florida Commissioner of Agriculture. Incumbent Republican Commissioner of Agriculture Adam Putnam was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. Democrat Nikki Fried narrowly defeated Republican Matt Caldwell. Fried became the only statewide elected Democrat in Florida, as U.S. Senator Bill Nelson, who had held Florida's Class I U.S. Senate seat since 2000, lost reelection. As of 2023, this remains the last time that a Democrat has won a statewide election in Florida, and the only time since 2012.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Caldwell |
Denise Grimsley |
Mike McCalister |
Baxter Troutman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | August 21–25, 2018 | 579 | ± 4.1% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 33% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–22, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Caldwell | 523,051 | 34.60% | |
Republican | Denise Grimsley | 402,525 | 26.62% | |
Republican | Baxter Troutman | 393,098 | 26.01% | |
Republican | Mike McCalister | 193,002 | 12.77% | |
Total votes | 1,511,676 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nikki Fried | 826,009 | 58.65% | |
Democratic | R. David Walker | 359,081 | 25.50% | |
Democratic | Jeffrey Duane Porter | 223,299 | 15.85% | |
Total votes | 1,408,389 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Matt Caldwell | Nikki Fried | |||||
1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WFOR-TV | Jim DeFede | YouTube (Part 1) YouTube (Part 2) YouTube (Part 3) |
P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Matt Caldwell (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 23–26, 2018 | 1,046 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 17% |
Cherry Communications | September 19–24, 2018 | 622 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 17% |
St. Pete Polls | September 5–6, 2018 | 2,240 | ± 2.1% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Denise Grimsley (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls | August 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 40% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Baxter Troutman (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls | August 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nikki Fried | 4,032,954 | 50.04% | +8.71% | |
Republican | Matt Caldwell | 4,026,201 | 49.96% | -8.71% | |
Total votes | 8,059,155 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |