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Leahy: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Ledbetter: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 1980 United States Senate election in Vermont took place on November 4, 1980. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy narrowly won reelection to a second term, defeating Republican Stewart Ledbetter, the former Vermont Commissioner of Banking and Insurance.
The state of Vermont was a Republican stronghold, albeit one with independent leanings. For many years, the state had a predisposition for electing moderate Republicans to represent the state in the U.S. Senate.[1] Even on the presidential level, due to a strong third party candidacy from John Anderson, who performed well in the state's presidential primary, the state became close though ultimately favoring Ronald Reagan.[2]
Under this background, freshman Democrat Patrick Leahy, the first Democrat ever elected to represent Vermont in the United States Senate, entered his re-election campaign as one of the most vulnerable incumbents up that cycle.[3] Leahy himself knew this would be a tough race, and even though early polls showed him up, he noticed a much more sour tone among voters while campaigning.[4]
Leahy declared his bid for re-election on May 9, 1980 and was unopposed in the state's primary.[5]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Leahy (incumbent) | 27,548 | 97.54% | |
| Democratic | Other | 696 | 2.46% | |
| Total votes | 28,244 | 100.0% | ||
The majority of the candidates in the Republican primary field were conservative Republicans, with Ledbetter being seen as the only moderate.
Over the course of the campaign, a dispute broke out between T. Garry Buckley, a former Lieutenant Governor, and James Mullin, the former Vermont GOP Chair. Buckley vigorously attacked Mullin for being a Mormon, claiming that if elected Mullin would be the "third Senator from Utah."[12] Mullin in turned accused Buckley of bigotry, stating "I thought this nonsense went out when Jack Kennedy was elected President."[12] The amount of spending in this primary was a record for the time.[13]
Ledbetter, who had resigned his position to run for Senate, ran a different campaign, notably walking 450 miles across the state to gain attention for his candidacy and to draw a contrast between Mullin's high spending campaign.[14][9] He also emphasized his moderate credentials, claiming they would make him the best candidate to win the election.[9]
Ledbetter would end up the victor, due in part to his appeal to the Vermont Republican establishment. On election night, he was joined by Mullins, Evslin and Schuettinger as a sign of unity against Leahy.[21]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Stewart M. Ledbetter | 16,518 | 35.28% | |
| Republican | James E. Mullin | 12,256 | 26.18% | |
| Republican | Tom Evslin | 8,575 | 18.31% | |
| Republican | T. Garry Buckley | 5,209 | 11.1% | |
| Republican | Robert Schuettinger | 3,450 | 7.39% | |
| Republican | Anthony N. Doria | 496 | 1.06% | |
| Republican | Other | 316 | 0.68% | |
| Total votes | 46,820 | 100.0% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Union | Earl S. Gardner | 135 | 80.36% | |
| Liberty Union | Other | 33 | 19.64% | |
| Total votes | 168 | 100.0% | ||
As the environment of 1980 became increasingly Republican leaning, Leahy faced a tough battle. Ledbetter focused on his calls for a balanced budget, and criticized Leahy for votes against spending for the B1 Bomber. In turn, Leahy criticized Ledbetter for dirty campaign tactics, which he contended went against how Vermont politics went.[22]
There was also a large amount of attention from special interest groups targeting Leahy and other vulnerable Democrats.[23] Owing to the successful efforts by these groups to ouster Iowa Senator Dick Clark in 1978, these groups took an increasing role this cycle, adding pressure to vulnerable Democrats.[24]
Per public polling, Leahy held a comfortable lead, and was the favorite to beat Ledbetter.[25] However, he later acknowledged in his memoirs that he had seen a different mood among voters, and his internal polls, conducted late in the campaign, showed him trailing.[4]
Even though Republicans performed strongly in Vermont, winning the Presidential, Gubernatorial and House election, Leahy pulled ahead by a narrow margin. However, owing to how close the final outcome was, neither candidate claimed victory or defeat that night.[26] In the following weeks, recounts were conducted by the state's courts to see if Leahy's victory would hold up.[27] Ultimately, the recounts showed Leahy's victory would stand, and it would be certified. Despite protestation, Ledbetter would concede the race on December 22.[28] This would be Patrick Leahy's closest race during his 48 year tenure in the U.S. Senate.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Leahy (incumbent) | 104,089 | 49.76% | |
| Republican | Stewart M. Ledbetter | 101,647 | 48.59% | |
| Independent | Anthony N. Doria | 1,764 | 0.84% | |
| Liberty Union | Earl S. Gardner | 1,578 | 0.75% | |
| Write-in | 110 | 0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 209,188 | 100.00% | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
