1997 (1997) United Kingdom budget
Presented2 July 1997
Parliament52nd
PartyLabour Party
ChancellorGordon Brown
‹ 1996
1998 ›

The 1997 United Kingdom budget (sometimes referred to as the People's budget and officially titled Equipping Britain for our Long-Term Future)[1][2] was delivered by Gordon Brown, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, to the House of Commons on 2 July 1997. It was the first budget to be presented by Brown during his tenure as Chancellor, and the first Labour budget to be presented since April 1979. The 1997 budget marked a significant change of direction in economic policy following Labour's election win in May 1997. Among the measures announced were a five-year plan to reduce the budget deficit, a £5.2bn[a] windfall tax on recently privatised utilities which was to fund Labour's planned Welfare to Work scheme, and a reduction in VAT on fuel. The budget was welcomed by business, which viewed it as fiscally responsible, but it was greeted less warmly by the UK's utility providers.

Background

The budget was to be the first presented by a Labour Government since April 1979.[3][4] Gordon Brown announced plans to hold a budget on 10 June 1997 following Labour's victory in that year's general election, but was forced to revise that date after British Telecom threatened legal action over his plans to announce a windfall tax on privatised utility companies.[5] The budget was eventually held on 2 July.[6][7] Before then and following consultation with the National Audit Office, on 18 June, Brown announced a change in the assumption the Treasury used to calculate its economic forecasts, creating a more negative outlook for the UK economy than had been forecast by his predecessor, Kenneth Clarke in his final budget of November 1996. Chiefly, under the new calculation, the public sector borrowing requirement appeared to be £0.5bn higher for 1997,[b] and £3.25bn[c] higher for 1998, than Clarke had estimated.[8]

One of Brown's first acts as Chancellor was to grant the Bank of England the freedom to set the UK's interest rate, a decision that had previously been the responsibility of the Chancellor.[9] Breaking with tradition, Brown also commissioned a new budget box which was made by four young apprentices from his Dunfermline constituency, who he then invited to join him on Budget Day at 11 Downing Street.[10] Another break with tradition saw the budget held on a Wednesday, a day that had started to become an important one for Parliamentary business, with Prime Minister's Questions having also moved to a Wednesday following Labour's election.[5]

Overview

In his budget speech, which he described as a "people's budget",[1] Brown told the House of Commons the government was spending more on debt than education, and set a five-year target to reduce the public deficit, while also announcing that the government would only borrow to invest and public debt would be held at a "prudent and stable level over the economic cycle".[11] He set the underlying public sector borrowing requirement at £13.25bn for 1997–98, and £5.5bn for 1998–99. It was forecast that GDP would rise by 3.25% in 1997 and 2.5% in 1998, and consumer spending would increase by 4.5% in 1997 and 4% in 1998. Economic growth was forecast to be 2.5% for 1998, while inflation would rise by 2.5% in 1997, 2.75% in 1998, and 2.5% in 1999.[12]

Key points

On the subject of VAT on fuel, Brown expressed his wish to remove it altogether, but said he was prevented from doing so: "I would like to abolish VAT on fuel, but European rules prevent me from doing so. Therefore, VAT will be cut to the lowest level compatible with European law—5 per cent.—on 1 September, well in advance of winter fuel bills."[14] He also confirmed his next budget would take place in Spring 1998.[14]

Reaction

On 3 July, Pound sterling reached its highest level since 1991, reaching DM2.95, its old central parity in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. In response, Brown said that he had taken tough decisions in order to help to control interest rates.[15] The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee raised the interest by 0.125% at a meeting the following week.[16]

The 1997 budget was broadly welcomed by business, which viewed it as fiscally sensible, but some sectors, notably utility companies and pension funds, gave it a less positive reception.[17] In particular, pension funds operated by local authorities voiced concern about their shareholders losing tax relief on dividends.[16] The City of London also expressed its dismay that Brown had not done enough to curb the consumer spending boom, and argued for tax increases, something that Gavyn Davies, chief economist at Goldman Sachs suggested would cost around £9bn.[16] The Liberal Democrats suggested Brown's upwards revision of the inflation forecasts were a precursor to tighter limits on public spending.[16] Writing for The Independent on 10 July, Donald Macintyre observed: "Quite a few economic analysts have found it impossible to resist the temptation to utter that hoary old truism, that budgets which look good on the day usually turn sour a couple of weeks later", but concluded that Brown had succeeded in end the short-term economic view of his predecessors, and "still looks as tough and populist as he did on 2 July".[16]

Notes

  1. ^ about £10bn at 2021 prices
  2. ^ about £1bn at 2021 prices
  3. ^ about £6bn at 2021 prices
  4. ^ about £4bn at 2021 prices
  5. ^ about £3bn at 2021 prices
  6. ^ about £3bn at 2021 prices
  7. ^ about £2bn at 2021 prices
  8. ^ about £2bn at 2021 prices
  9. ^ about £774m at 2021 prices
  10. ^ about £387m at 2021 prices

References

  1. ^ a b "Bygone budgets: June 1997". the Guardian. 3 March 1999. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  2. ^ "CHRONOLOGY-The budget 1997–2006: Brown's decade". 16 March 2007. Retrieved 25 November 2022 – via www.reuters.com.
  3. ^ "Bygone budgets: April 1979". The Guardian. 3 March 1999. Retrieved 19 November 2022.
  4. ^ "Budget – BBC One – 2 July 1997". BBC Genome. BBC. Retrieved 29 November 2022.
  5. ^ a b "Brown is stalled by tax row". The Independent. 24 May 1997. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  6. ^ Ibrahim, Youssef M. (3 July 1997). "Blair Gains Tax Cut for Business, But the Rest of Britain Must Wait". Retrieved 24 November 2022 – via NYTimes.com.
  7. ^ "Budget Statement (Hansard, 2 July 1997)". api.parliament.uk. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  8. ^ "Revised figures pave way for tough Budget". The Independent. 19 June 1997. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  9. ^ "Brown gives Bank independence to set interest rates". the Guardian. 7 May 1997. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  10. ^ "History of 11 Downing Street – GOV.UK". www.gov.uk. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  11. ^ "Plan to Reduce Budget Deficit". BBC News. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y "1997 Budget – At A Glance". BBC News. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  13. ^ Seely, Antony (9 July 1997). "VAT on fuel & power" (PDF). Parliament.uk. Retrieved 12 December 2022.
  14. ^ a b "Budget Statement (Hansard, 2 July 1997)". api.parliament.uk. Retrieved 25 November 2022.
  15. ^ "Rate rise expected as pound soars further". The Independent. 3 July 1997. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  16. ^ a b c d e Macintyre, Donald (10 July 1997). "Let the City moan – the people's Budget is still a winner". The Independent. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  17. ^ "CHRONOLOGY-The budget 1997–2006: Brown's decade". 16 March 2007. Retrieved 24 November 2022 – via www.reuters.com.
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