2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi

← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 684,981 458,094
Percentage 59.44% 39.75%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 2, 2004 as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. It was the first presidential election since the 2000 United States census where Mississippi lost an electoral vote, reducing its elector count from seven to six. Mississippi had the fewest electoral votes since 1848.[1]

Mississippi was won by incumbent President George W. Bush of the Republican Party with a 19.69% margin of victory over Democratic nominee John Kerry. Prior to the election, Mississippi was considered a state Bush would win with ease, or a red state. Mississippi has not voted for a Democrat since 1976, when Jimmy Carter carried the state.

As of 2021, this is the last election in which Mississippi voted to the right of Arkansas, Tennessee, or Louisiana.

Campaign

Predictions

12 news organizations made state-by-state predictions of the election. These organizations published their predictions just prior to election day:[2]

News Organization Prediction
D.C. Political Report Leans Republican
Associated Press Leans Bush
CNN Bush
Cook Political Report Leans Republican
Newsweek Solid Bush
New York Times Solid Bush
Rasmussen Reports Bush
Research 2000 Solid Bush
Washington Post Bush
Washington Times Solid Bush
Zogby International Bush
Washington Dispatch Bush

Polling

Bush won pre-election polling by a double-digit margin.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $866,580.[4] Kerry raised $599,665.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign spent or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6]

Analysis

The last Democratic presidential nominee to win Mississippi was fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976. Due to its reliably conservative voting pattern, neither of the two major party candidates campaigned in the state.

Mississippi is one of the most racially polarized states in presidential elections. Black Mississippians almost uniformly vote Democratic, while white Mississippians vote Republican nearly as consistently. In 2004, 14% of white Mississippians voted for John Kerry and 10% of African Americans voted for Bush.[7] Kerry's main support lay in the western counties on the Delta and next to the Mississippi River. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which Pike County, Copiah County, Oktibbeha County, and Yazoo County voted for the Republican candidate.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi[8]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Party George W. Bush 684,981 59.44% 6
Democratic Party John Kerry 458,094 39.75% 0
Reform Party Ralph Nader 3,177 0.28% 0
Libertarian Party Michael Badnarik 1,793 0.16% 0
Constitution Party Michael Peroutka 1,759 0.15% 0
Independent (politician) Roger Calero 1,272 0.11% 0
Green Party David Cobb 1,073 0.09% 0
Independent (politician) Write Ins 216 0.02% 0
Totals - 100.00% 6
Voter turnout (Voting Age population) 54.4%

Results breakdown

By county

Most Mississippi counties voted for Bush.[9]

County Kerry # Kerry % Bush # Bush % Other # Other % Total #
Adams 7,844 54.56% 6,487 45.12% 45 0.31% 14,376
Alcorn 5,364 38.02% 8,605 60.99% 141 1.00% 14,110
Amite 2,973 41.77% 4,106 57.69% 38 0.53% 7,117
Attala 3,014 37.94% 4,882 61.45% 49 0.62% 7,945
Benton 2,234 52.83% 1,962 46.39% 33 0.78% 4,229
Bolivar 8,560 63.75% 4,722 35.17% 145 1.08% 13,427
Calhoun 2,211 34.92% 4,096 64.70% 24 0.38% 6,331
Carroll 1,897 34.01% 3,652 65.48% 28 0.50% 5,577
Chickasaw 3,991 48.75% 4,123 50.37% 72 0.88% 8,186
Choctaw 1,290 33.01% 2,598 66.48% 20 0.51% 3,908
Claiborne 4,338 81.53% 941 17.68% 42 0.79% 5,321
Clarke 2,377 31.96% 5,027 67.59% 34 0.46% 7,438
Clay 4,732 51.94% 4,333 47.56% 46 0.50% 9,111
Coahoma 6,741 64.10% 3,643 34.64% 132 1.26% 10,516
Copiah 4,902 43.49% 6,316 56.03% 54 0.48% 11,272
Covington 3,135 38.26% 5,010 61.14% 49 0.60% 8,194
DeSoto 13,247 27.05% 35,437 72.35% 297 0.61% 48,981
Forrest 9,781 37.71% 15,966 61.56% 189 0.73% 25,936
Franklin 1,566 35.01% 2,883 64.45% 24 0.54% 4,473
George 1,715 21.57% 6,182 77.76% 53 0.67% 7,950
Greene 1,419 26.90% 3,827 72.55% 29 0.55% 5,275
Grenada 4,154 41.33% 5,844 58.15% 52 0.52% 10,050
Hancock 5,023 28.62% 12,332 70.27% 195 1.11% 17,550
Harrison 22,555 36.49% 38,781 62.74% 474 0.77% 61,810
Hinds 51,370 59.55% 34,269 39.73% 626 0.73% 86,265
Holmes 6,170 75.87% 1,925 23.67% 37 0.45% 8,132
Humphreys 2,975 63.96% 1,626 34.96% 50 1.08% 4,651
Issaquena 510 53.01% 437 45.43% 15 1.56% 962
Itawamba 2,771 28.88% 6,751 70.35% 74 0.77% 9,596
Jackson 15,046 30.45% 34,035 68.88% 333 0.67% 49,414
Jasper 4,081 51.49% 3,808 48.04% 37 0.47% 7,926
Jefferson Davis 2,955 51.30% 2,667 46.30% 138 2.40% 5,760
Jefferson 2,798 81.34% 627 18.23% 15 0.44% 3,440
Jones 7,344 27.69% 19,032 71.77% 142 0.54% 26,518
Kemper 2,454 53.48% 2,107 45.91% 28 0.61% 4,589
Lafayette 6,218 40.41% 9,004 58.51% 166 1.08% 15,388
Lamar 3,876 19.10% 16,288 80.26% 130 0.64% 20,294
Lauderdale 10,026 33.92% 19,395 65.62% 134 0.45% 29,555
Lawrence 2,355 36.11% 4,119 63.16% 48 0.74% 6,522
Leake 3,212 39.10% 4,962 60.41% 40 0.49% 8,214
Lee 9,895 32.97% 19,878 66.24% 237 0.79% 30,010
Leflore 7,240 61.97% 4,427 37.89% 17 0.15% 11,684
Lincoln 4,372 30.52% 9,889 69.03% 65 0.45% 14,326
Lowndes 7,904 38.10% 12,642 60.93% 202 0.97% 20,748
Madison 12,942 34.84% 24,015 64.65% 191 0.51% 37,148
Marion 3,828 32.63% 7,845 66.87% 59 0.50% 11,732
Marshall 7,979 58.78% 5,520 40.67% 75 0.55% 13,574
Monroe 6,149 39.78% 9,223 59.66% 87 0.56% 15,459
Montgomery 2,422 44.89% 2,953 54.73% 21 0.39% 5,396
Neshoba 2,515 24.82% 7,581 74.81% 37 0.37% 10,133
Newton 2,274 26.84% 6,156 72.66% 42 0.50% 8,472
Noxubee 4,293 71.31% 1,698 28.21% 29 0.48% 6,020
Oktibbeha 4,178 42.89% 5,485 56.30% 79 0.81% 9,742
Panola 6,540 49.06% 6,734 50.52% 56 0.42% 13,330
Pearl River 4,392 22.97% 14,612 76.42% 117 0.61% 19,121
Perry 1,259 25.13% 3,729 74.43% 22 0.44% 5,010
Pike 7,578 46.73% 8,547 52.71% 90 0.56% 16,215
Pontotoc 2,591 23.42% 8,375 75.72% 95 0.86% 11,061
Prentiss 3,327 33.50% 6,538 65.83% 40 0.67% 9,932
Quitman 1,925 59.84% 1,270 39.48% 22 0.68% 3,217
Rankin 10,738 20.12% 41,971 78.65% 656 1.23% 53,365
Scott 3,780 37.15% 6,364 62.55% 31 0.30% 10,175
Sharkey 1,553 50.41% 1,115 36.19% 413 13.40% 3,081
Simpson 3,262 32.37% 6,810 67.58% 5 0.05% 10,077
Smith 1,493 21.01% 5,566 78.33% 47 0.66% 7,106
Stone 1,502 26.68% 4,072 72.33% 56 0.99% 5,630
Sunflower 6,057 62.68% 3,492 36.14% 114 1.18% 9,663
Tallahatchie 3,377 54.81% 2,725 44.23% 59 0.96% 6,161
Tate 4,279 38.90% 6,663 60.57% 59 0.54% 11,001
Tippah 2,983 32.73% 6,048 66.37% 82 0.90% 9,113
Tishomingo 2,775 33.99% 5,288 64.76% 102 1.25% 8,165
Tunica 1,934 68.70% 845 30.02% 36 1.28% 2,815
Union 2,710 26.57% 7,422 72.77% 67 0.66% 10,199
Walthall 2,550 39.48% 3,873 59.96% 36 0.56% 6,459
Warren 8,244 40.98% 11,773 58.52% 100 0.50% 20,117
Washington 10,562 59.09% 7,031 39.33% 282 1.58% 17,875
Wayne 3,193 36.30% 5,562 63.24% 40 0.45% 8,795
Webster 1,318 26.35% 3,668 73.33% 16 0.32% 5,002
Wilkinson 2,794 63.67% 1,563 35.62% 31 0.71% 4,388
Winston 3,978 42.25% 5,386 57.21% 51 0.54% 9,415
Yalobusha 2,656 44.48% 3,278 54.90% 37 0.62% 5,971
Yazoo 4,798 44.87% 5,595 52.32% 301 2.81% 10,694

By congressional district

Bush won 3 out of Mississippi's 4 congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 62% 37% Roger Wicker
2nd 40% 57% Bennie G. Thompson
3rd 65% 34% Chip Pickering
4th 68% 31% Gene Taylor

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Mississippi was assigned 6 electors to cast votes to the Electoral college. Given that Mississippi voted for Bush, all electors were pledged to cast their ballots for Bush. The electors were:[10]

  1. Kelly Segars
  2. John Phillips
  3. Wayne Parker
  4. Jimmy Creekmore
  5. Victor Mavar
  6. Billy Mounger

References

  1. ^ "Mississippi Presidential Election Voting History". www.270towin.com. Retrieved 2019-10-19.
  2. ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW[permanent dead link]
  3. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=28
  4. ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  5. ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  6. ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  7. ^ "CNN Election 2004". CNN. Retrieved 2009-04-06.
  8. ^ "2004 Presidential General Election Results - Mississippi".
  9. ^ "Washington Post". Archived from the original on 2016-03-03. Retrieved 2017-10-26.
  10. ^ http://secure.sos.state.ms.us/ed_pubs/PressReleases/Articles/ElectoralCollegeMeets.asp[permanent dead link]