2016 United States Senate election in Idaho

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Mike Crapo 113th Congress.jpg
Jerry Sturgill.jpg
No image.svg
Nominee Mike Crapo Jerry Sturgill Ray Writz
Party Republican Democratic Constitution
Popular vote 449,017 188,249 41,677
Percentage 66.1% 27.7% 6.1%

2016 United States Senate election in Idaho results map by county.svg
County results

Crapo:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Sturgill:      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Mike Crapo
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Crapo
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Idaho was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held May 17.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Crapo (incumbent) 119,633 100.00%
Total votes 119,633 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerry Sturgill 26,471 100.00%
Total votes 26,471 100.00%

Third Party and Independent Candidates

Constitution Party

Declared

Results

Results by county:  Writz .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Writz—100%   Writz—80–90%   Writz—70–80%   Writz—60–70%   Writz—50–60%    Writz/Pro-Life tie   Writz & Pro-Life tie—50%    Pro-Life   Pro-Life—50–60%   Pro-Life—60–70%   Pro-Life—100%    No votes   No votes
Results by county:
Writz
  •   Writz—100%
  •   Writz—80–90%
  •   Writz—70–80%
  •   Writz—60–70%
  •   Writz—50–60%
Writz/Pro-Life tie
  •   Writz & Pro-Life tie—50%
Pro-Life
  •   Pro-Life—50–60%
  •   Pro-Life—60–70%
  •   Pro-Life—100%
No votes
  •   No votes
Constitution primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution Ray J. Writz 131 59.5%
Constitution Pro-Life 89 40.5%
Total votes 220 100.0%

Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

Dates Location Crapo Sturgill Link
October 23, 2016 Boise, Idaho Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Crapo (R)
Jerry
Sturgill (D)
Ray
Writz (C)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 612 ± 4.6% 58% 39% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 557 ± 4.6% 58% 36% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 498 ± 4.6% 61% 35% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 442 ± 4.6% 60% 34% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 394 ± 4.6% 61% 32% 7%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 447 ± 4.6% 61% 34% 5%
Emerson College October 21–23, 2016 1,023 ± 3.0% 57% 24% 12% 7%
Dan Jones & Associates August 18–31, 2016 602 ± 4.0% 57% 20% 4% 4% 15%
Dan Jones & Associates July 5–16, 2016 601 ± 4.0% 57% 20% 4% 4% 15%
Lake Research Partners July 5–10, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% 35% 2% 25%
Dan Jones & Associates May 18–June 4, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 48% 25% 7% 9% 10%
Dan Jones & Associates April 8–19, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 53% 17% 5% 5% 20%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[15] Safe R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[16] Safe R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[17] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

United States Senate election in Idaho, 2016 [18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Crapo (incumbent) 449,017 66.13% -5.06%
Democratic Jerry Sturgill 188,249 27.73% +2.80%
Constitution Ray J. Writz 41,677 6.14% +2.26%
Total votes 678,943 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References

  1. ^ Russell, Betsy Z. (August 18, 2014). "Crapo says he'll seek another term". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 29, 2014.
  2. ^ Russell, Betsy Z. (May 12, 2015). "Crapo announces he'll run for a fourth term in the U.S. Senate". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved May 29, 2015.
  3. ^ a b c "RRHElections Senate Rankings – April 2015". RRH Elections. April 18, 2015. Retrieved October 3, 2015.
  4. ^ Russell, Betsy Z. (June 10, 2015). "Fulcher endorses Crapo for re-election". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved October 3, 2015.
  5. ^ Easley, Jonathan (February 13, 2015). "Labrador won't run for Senate". The Hill. Retrieved February 16, 2015.
  6. ^ a b c "Official Primary Election Statewide Totals". Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2016.
  7. ^ "Declaration for 2016" (PDF). Retrieved March 13, 2016.
  8. ^ Malloy, Chuck (July 5, 2015). "Democrats Have Issues with Crapo, But No Candidate". Idaho Politics Weekly. Retrieved October 3, 2015.
  9. ^ Brown, Nathan (May 13, 2015). "Crapo Announces Re-Election Bid, Campaign Team". Twin Falls Times-News. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  10. ^ a b Brown, Nathan (August 12, 2015). "Federal Lands, Refugees and Regulations Drive Crapo Town Hall in Castleford". Twin Falls Times-News. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  11. ^ a b "Idaho primary: Who's running for county, state, federal office". Idaho Statesman. March 11, 2016. Retrieved March 24, 2016.
  12. ^ "July Quarterly and Termination Report" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 6, 2015. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  13. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  14. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  15. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  16. ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  17. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  18. ^ "Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results". Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved December 19, 2016.
Official campaign websites