2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
 
Nominee Jerry Moran Patrick Wiesner Robert Garrard
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote 732,376 379,740 65,760
Percentage 62.18% 32.24% 5.58%
Moran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Wiesner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

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The 2016 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.

Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran won re-election to a second term in office.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jerry
Moran 		Dennis
Pyle 		Milton
Wolf 		Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Moran) February 28 – March 3, 2015 500 ± 4.38% 73% 9% — 18%
70% — 18% 12%

Results

Republican primary results [10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerry Moran (Incumbent) 230,907 79.09%
Republican D. J. Smith 61,056 20.91%
Total votes 291,963 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Wiesner
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Singh-Bey
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results [10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 59,522 62.94%
Democratic Monique Singh-Bey 35,042 37.06%
Total votes 94,564 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robert Garrard   100.00%
Total votes   100.00%

Independent

Candidates

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Safe R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[18] Safe R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[19] Safe R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[20] Safe R November 7, 2016

Polling

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jerry
Moran (R) 		Patrick
Wiesner (D) 		Robert
Garrard (L) 		Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,311 ± 4.6% 59% 37% — 4%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,139 ± 4.6% 58% 38% — 4%
Fort Hays State University November 1–3, 2016 313 ± 3.5% 77% 13% 10% 0%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,162 ± 4.6% 58% 38% — 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,123 ± 4.6% 57% 38% — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,164 ± 4.6% 57% 38% — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,273 ± 4.6% 56% 39% — 5%
KSN News/SurveyUSA October 26–30, 2016 596 ± 4.1% 55% 31% 6% 8%
KSN News/SurveyUSA October 11–15, 2016 549 ± 4.2% 56% 31% 5% 8%
KSN News/SurveyUSA September 6–11, 2016 565 ± 4.2% 50% 34% 6% 11%
KSN News/SurveyUSA August 3–7, 2016 566 ± 4.2% 52% 32% 6% 10%
KSN News/SurveyUSA July 8–11, 2016 537 ± 4.3% 52% 33% — 15%
Hypothetical polling
with Monique Singh-Bey
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jerry
Moran (R) 		Monique
Singh-Bey (D) 		Undecided
KSN News/SurveyUSA July 8–11, 2016 537 ± 4.3% 54% 30% 15%
with Kathleen Sebelius
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jerry
Moran (R) 		Kathleen
Sebelius (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 52% 37% 11%

Results

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2016 [21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jerry Moran (incumbent) 732,376 62.18% -7.91%
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 379,740 32.24% +5.86%
Libertarian Robert D. Garrard 65,760 5.58% +3.44%
Independent DJ Smith (write-in) 46 0.00% N/A
Total votes 1,177,922 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References

  1. ^ a b Alexis Levinson (November 19, 2014). "Huelskamp Open to Moran Primary Challenge". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 21, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  2. ^ a b Wingerter, Justin (June 2, 2016). "Rep. Lynn Jenkins drops a challenger, Sen. Jerry Moran gains one at the filing deadline". Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
  3. ^ Alexis Levinson (January 8, 2015). "Congressman Says Wife Nixed Senate Run". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 8, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  4. ^ Clarkin, Mary (April 5, 2016). "Pompeo doesn't rule out a Senate race while criticizing Moran". Hays Daily News. Retrieved April 5, 2016.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  6. ^ Clarkin, Mary (April 27, 2015). "Ex-Congressman Tiahrt bound for D.C. lobbying firm". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  7. ^ Alexis Levinson (July 29, 2014). "In Kansas, Conservatives Suffer From Mississippi Hangover". Roll Call. Archived from the original on October 4, 2014. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
  8. ^ Wingerter, Justin (November 3, 2015). "Prospective 2016 U.S. Senate contender Milton Wolf tries to terminate his campaign committee". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved November 11, 2015.
  9. ^ Kraske, Steve (February 19, 2016). "Milton Wolf hints, but won't commit, to another race this year for the U.S. Senate from Kansas". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  10. ^ a b "2016 Official Primary Results". Kansas Secretary of State. August 2, 2016. Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  11. ^ Mason, Tori (December 1, 2015). "Topeka native announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". WIBW. Archived from the original on March 11, 2016. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
  12. ^ Clarkin, Mary (February 4, 2016). "Democrat Patrick Wiesner files for Jerry Moran's Senate seat". The Hutchinson News. Archived from the original on October 3, 2016. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  13. ^ a b c Helling, Dave (November 12, 2015). "Kansas Democrats see an opening but fear they can't take advantage". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  14. ^ Sullivan, Sean (April 11, 2014). "Why Kathleen Sebelius's political career is (probably) over". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 17, 2014.
  15. ^ Kraske, Steve (January 20, 2015). "Kathleen Sebelius criticizes Gov. Sam Brownback's vision for Kansas". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  16. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  17. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  18. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  19. ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  20. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  21. ^ "2016 General Election Official Results" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved January 3, 2017.

External links

Official campaign websites
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