2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee Jeanne Shaheen Bryant "Corky" Messner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 450,778 326,229
Percentage 56.63% 40.99%
Shaheen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Messner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

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The 2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen won reelection to a third term after comfortably defeating Republican nominee Bryant Messner by 15.6 points and sweeping every single county in the state. This marked the first Senate election since 1972 in which the Democrat carried Belknap County.

Shaheen's final margin outperformed Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election by around 8 percentage points.

The primary election was held on September 8, 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Jeanne Shaheen
Federal officials
Local officials
  • Jim Bouley, Concord Mayor[6]
  • Joyce Craig, Manchester Mayor[6]
  • Jim Donchess, Nashua Mayor[6]
  • Andrew Hosmer, Laconia Mayor[6]
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Shaheen—≥90%
Democratic primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent) 142,012 93.88%
Democratic Paul Krautman 5,914 3.91%
Democratic Tom Alciere 2,992 1.98%
Republican Don Bolduc (write-in) 199 0.13%
Republican Corky Messner (write-in) 137 0.09%
Republican Andy Martin (write-in) 11 0.0%
Republican Gerard Beloin (write-in) 3 0.0%
Total votes 151,268 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Don Bolduc
Federal officials
  • Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas and former U.S. Representative (AR-04) (2013–2015)[38]
  • Bob Smith, former U.S. senator from New Hampshire (1990–2003) and U.S. Representative (NH-01) (1985–1990)[39]
  • Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (FL-06)[40]
  • Thomas E. White, former U.S. Secretary of the Army (2001–2004)[40]
State officials
  • Kevin Avard, former state senator (2014–2018) and state representative (2010–2012)[40]
  • Jim Coburn, former state representative (2004–2006) and Republican nominee in the 2006 New Hampshire gubernatorial election[40]
  • Susan DeLemus, former state representative (2010–2012, 2014–2016)[40]
  • Shaun Doherty, former state representative (2008–2012)[40]
  • William Fowler, state representative[40]
  • Bob Giuda, state senator and former state representative (2001–2007) and state House deputy majority leader (2003–2004)[40]
  • Gary Hopper, state representative[40]
  • Joseph Kenney, former executive councilor (2014–2019) and state senator (2003–2009)[41]
  • Gary Lambert, former state senator (2010–2012)[40]
  • Tim Merlino, state representative[40]
  • Michael Moffett, former state representative (2016–2018)[40]
  • Reed Panasiti, state representative[40]
  • Terry Roy, state representative[40]
  • Doug Scamman, former state representative (2004–2010) and state House speaker[40]
  • David Testerman, state representative[40]
  • Joshua Whitehouse, former state representative (2014–2016)[40]
  • Raymond Wieczorek, former executive councilor (2002–2012) and mayor of Manchester (1990–2000)[40]
Organizations
Individuals
Corky Messner
Federal officials
State officials
  • Dennis Acton, state representative[46]
  • Joe Alexander, state representative[47]
  • Alan Bershtein, state representative[46]
  • Regina Birdsell, state senator and former state representative (2010–2014)[citation needed]
  • Tom Dolan, state representative[47]
  • Fred Doucette, state representative[48]
  • Jess Edwards, state representative[49]
  • Aboul Khan, state representative[46]
  • Tony Lekas, state representative[47]
  • Norman Major, state representative[46]
  • Charles McMahon, state representative[47]
  • Chuck Morse, state senator, state Senate minority leader, and former state Senate president (2013–2018) and acting Governor (2017)[50]
  • Bill O'Brien, Republican candidate in the 2020 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire and former state representative (2004–2006, 2008–2016) and state House speaker (2010–2012)[51]
  • Mark Pearson, state representative[47]
  • Stephen Pearson, state representative[47]
  • Kim Rice, state representative[52]
  • Steve Schmidt, former state representative (2010–2018)[52]
  • Thomas Walsh, state representative[52]
  • Kenneth Weyler, state representative[52]
  • Michael Yakubovich, state representative[46]
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Don Bolduc Corey Lewandowski Corky Messner Bill O'Brien Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 703 (LV) ±  3.7% 31% – 52% – 0%[b] 17%
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020 475 (RV) ±  4.5% 29% – 31% – 4%[c] 37%
The Tarrance Group[A] July 12–14, 2020 401 (LV) ±  5% 27% – 39% – – –
Remington Research Group[B] June 21–23, 2020 800 (LV) – 8% – 17% – – 73%
April 2, 2020 O'Brien withdraws from the race
December 31, 2019 Lewandowski announces he will not run
Emerson College September 6–9, 2019 379 (RV) ± 5.0% 9% 29% 4% 7% – 56%
Vote Adjustments/WMUR September 5–6, 2019 402 (LV) ± 4.2% 9% 29% 2% 6% – 49%
September 4, 2019 Messner announces his candidacy
Remington Research (R)[B] August 12–14, 2019 200 (RV) – 21% 21% 2% 8% – 47%
Fabrizio (R)[C] August 11–12, 2019 400 (LV) – 11% 30% – 10% – –

Results

Results by county:
  Messner—50–60%
  Messner—40–50%
  Bolduc—40–50%
  Bolduc—50–60%
Republican primary results[55]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Corky Messner 69,801 50.26%
Republican Don Bolduc 58,749 42.30%
Republican Andy Martin 6,443 4.64%
Republican Gerard Beloin 3,098 2.23%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) 771 0.56%
Democratic Tom Alciere (write-in) 7 0.0%
Democratic Paul Krautmann (write-in) 7 0.0%
Total votes 138,876 100.0%

Other candidates

Justin O'Donnell, the Libertarian nominee

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Bull Moose Party

Did not qualify

General election

Debate

2022 New Hampshire United States Senate election debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jeanne Shaheen Bryant Messner Justin O'Donnell
1 Oct. 15, 2022 New Hampshire Public Radio Laura Knoy
Annie Ropeik 		YouTube P P N
2 Oct. 25, 2022 WMUR YouTube P P N

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[57] Safe D October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[58] Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[59] Likely D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[60] Safe D October 30, 2020
Politico[61] Likely D November 2, 2020
RCP[62] Lean D October 23, 2020
DDHQ[63] Safe D November 3, 2020
538[64] Safe D November 2, 2020
Economist[65] Safe D November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Jeanne Shaheen (D)
Federal officials
Local officials
Unions
Organizations
Corky Messner (R)
Federal officials
State officials
  • Dennis Acton, state representative[46]
  • Joe Alexander, state representative[47]
  • Alan Bershtein, state representative[46]
  • Regina Birdsell, state senator and former state representative (2010–2014)[citation needed]
  • Tom Dolan, state representative[47]
  • Fred Doucette, state representative[48]
  • Jess Edwards, state representative[49]
  • Aboul Khan, state representative[46]
  • Tony Lekas, state representative[47]
  • Norman Major, state representative[46]
  • Charles McMahon, state representative[47]
  • Chuck Morse, state senator, state Senate minority leader, and former state Senate president (2013–2018) and acting Governor (2017)[50]
  • Bill O'Brien, Republican candidate in the 2020 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire and former state representative (2004–2006, 2008–2016) and state House speaker (2010–2012)[51]
  • Mark Pearson, state representative[47]
  • Stephen Pearson, state representative[47]
  • Kim Rice, state representative[52]
  • Steve Schmidt, former state representative (2010–2018)[52]
  • Thomas Walsh, state representative[52]
  • Kenneth Weyler, state representative[52]
  • Michael Yakubovich, state representative[46]
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Corky
Messner (R) 		Other /
Undecided
American Research Group October 26–28, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 57% 40% 3%[d]
University of New Hampshire October 24–28, 2020 864 (LV) ± 3.3% 54% 43% 2%[e]
Saint Anselm College October 23–26, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 54% 39% 8%[f]
YouGov/UMass Lowell October 16–26, 2020 757 (LV) ± 4.5% 57% 38% 5%[g]
University of New Hampshire October 9–12, 2020 899 (LV) ± 3.3% 55% 40% 6%[h]
Suffolk University October 8–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 36% 13%[i]
Saint Anselm College October 1–4, 2020 1,147 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 38% 8%[j]
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.6% 55% 40% 5%[k]
American Research Group September 25–28, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 56% 40% 4%[l]
University of New Hampshire September 24–28, 2020 972 (LV) ± 3.1% 54% 41% 5%[m]
YouGov/UMass Lowell September 17–25, 2020 657 (LV) ±  4.6% 56% 37% 7%[n]
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 1,889 (LV) ±  2.3% 54% 36% 9%[o]
University of New Hampshire July 16–28, 2020 1,893 (LV) ± 2.2% 54% 35% 12%[p]
University of New Hampshire June 18–22, 2020 932 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 37% 13%[q]
University of New Hampshire May 14–18, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 34% 14%[r]
University of New Hampshire February 19–25, 2020 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 52% 28% 21%[s]
Hypothetical polling
with Don Bolduc
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Don
Bolduc (R) 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 1,889 (LV) ±  2.3% 53% 37% 10%[t]
University of New Hampshire July 16–28, 2020 1,893 (LV) ± 2.2% 54% 35% 10%[u]
University of New Hampshire June 18–22, 2020 932 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 39% 11%[v]
University of New Hampshire May 14–18, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 39% 11%[u]
University of New Hampshire February 19–25, 2020 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 30% 22%[w]
Remington Research (R)[B] August 12–14, 2019 427 (RV) ± 4.7% 47% 42% 11%
Gravis Marketing August 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 38% 11%[x]
with Corey Lewandowski
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Corey
Lewandowski (R) 		Other /
Undecided
American Research Group December 12–16, 2019 539 (RV) ± 4.2% 58% 35% 7%
Emerson College November 22–26, 2019 1,184 (RV) ± 2.8% 52% 40% 8%
American Research Group September 20–24, 2019 560 (RV) ± 4.1% 56% 34% 10%
Emerson College September 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 39% 12%
Remington Research (R)[B] August 12–14, 2019 427 (RV) ± 4.7% 50% 37% –
with Bill O'Brien
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Bill
O'Brien (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire February 19–25, 2020 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 51% 30% 5% 14%
Gravis Marketing August 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 52% 39% – 9%
with Chris Sununu
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Chris
Sununu (R) 		Undecided
Emerson College Archived February 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine February 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 44% 12%
YouGov/UMass Amherst February 7–15, 2019 600 (RV) ± 4.8% 45% 42% 10%
with Kelly Ayotte
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Kelly
Ayotte (R) 		Undecided
YouGov/UMass Amherst February 7–15, 2019 600 (RV) ± 4.8% 41% 36% 20%
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020 1,042 (RV) ± 3% 49% 44% 2% 4%
Saint Anselm College Jun 13–16, 2020 1,072 (RV) ± 3% 46% 43% 2% 8%
Saint Anselm College Apr 23–27, 2020 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 42% 3% 6%

Results

United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2020[70]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent) 450,778 56.63% +5.17%
Republican Bryant "Corky" Messner 326,229 40.99% -7.22%
Libertarian Justin O'Donnell 18,421 2.32% N/A
Write-in 486 0.06% –0.27%
Total votes 795,914 100.0%
Democratic hold
By county
County Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic 		Bryant Messner
Republican 		Justin O'Donnell
Libertarian 		Write-in Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # %
Belknap 18,704 49.15 18,536 48.71 765 2.01 46 0.12 168 0.44 38,051
Carroll 17,670 53.61 14,694 44.58 578 1.75 16 0.05 2,976 9.03 32,958
Cheshire 26,750 63.03 15,690 36.97 1,122 2.64 33 0.08 11,060 26.06 42,440
Coös 8,752 53.57 7,222 44.21 362 2.22 0 0.00 1,530 9.37 16,336
Grafton 34,043 63.77 18,092 33.89 1,212 2.27 39 0.07 15,951 29.88 53,386
Hillsborough 129,100 56.50 93,607 40.97 5,630 2.46 137 0.06 35,493 15.53 228,474
Merrimack 52,343 58.74 34,687 38.92 2,031 2.28 52 0.06 17,656 19.81 89,113
Rockingham 105,818 53.72 86,937 44.14 4,112 2.09 94 0.05 18,881 9.59 196,961
Strafford 44,415 60.94 26,465 36.31 1,947 2.67 61 0.08 17,950 24.63 72,888
Sullivan 13,183 54.58 10,299 42.64 662 2.75 8 0.03 2,884 11.94 24,152
Totals 450,778 56.64 326,229 40.99 18,421 2.31 486 0.06 124,549 15.65 795,914
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Shaheen won both congressional districts.[71]

District Shaheen Messner Representative
1st 56% 42% Chris Pappas
2nd 57% 40% Annie Kuster

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll conducted for Corky Messner.
  2. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Don Bolduc
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Lewandowski
Voter samples
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Some other candidate" with 0%
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  4. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  5. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Other" and Undecided with 0%
  6. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  7. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  8. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  9. ^ O'Donnell (L) and "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 8%
  10. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 3%
  12. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  13. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  14. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  15. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  16. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
  17. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 13%
  18. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 13%
  19. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 17%
  20. ^ O'Donnell (L) with 4%; Undecided with 6%
  21. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 10%
  22. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  23. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 17%
  24. ^ Undecided with 11%

References

  1. ^ Sexton, Adam (January 27, 2019). "Shaheen running for re-election in 2020". WMUR. Retrieved January 27, 2019.
  2. ^ a b c d e Schinella, Tony (August 25, 2020). "NH Senate Candidate Accused Of Domestic Incident In Colorado: Doc". Patch. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  3. ^ a b Kirsten Gillibrand (February 5, 2020). "Off the Sidelines Endorsed Candidates".
  4. ^ a b "The Win Big Project". The Win Big Project.
  5. ^ a b "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h Sylvia, Andrew (August 17, 2020). "Four NH mayors gather at Wagner Park to endorse Jeanne Shaheen". Manchester Ink Link.
  7. ^ a b Brown, Kris (September 12, 2019). "Brady Endorses Sen. Tina Smith, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and Rep. Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". Brady.
  8. ^ a b "Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  9. ^ a b "EMILY's List Endorses Senator Jeanne Shaheen for Re-Election". Emily's List. January 31, 2019.
  10. ^ a b Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. Senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
  11. ^ a b "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  12. ^ a b Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  13. ^ a b "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved December 26, 2019.
  14. ^ a b "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link]
  15. ^ a b Connnon, Courtnee (July 8, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeanne Shaheen For Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters.
  16. ^ a b "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
  17. ^ a b "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  18. ^ a b "Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. May 18, 2020.
  19. ^ a b Axelrod, Tal (October 10, 2019). "Planned Parenthood issues first wave of 2020 House, Senate endorsements". TheHill.
  20. ^ a b "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. Retrieved November 26, 2019.
  21. ^ a b "VOTE FOR SIERRA CLUB'S CLIMATE CHAMPIONS 2020 ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  22. ^ a b "Federal Endorsed Candidates 2019–2020". Women's Political Committee.
  23. ^ "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
  24. ^ DiStaso, John (April 25, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Republican lawyer Bryant 'Corky' Messner weighs run for US Senate". WMUR. Retrieved April 25, 2019.
  25. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (September 4, 2019). "Messner becomes the third Republican to launch a 2020 Senate campaign". Concord Monitor. Retrieved September 5, 2019.
  26. ^ DiStaso, John (June 24, 2019). "Bolduc launches bid for US Senate in video, calling for 'change, big-time'". WMUR. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
  27. ^ McDonald, Steve (May 3, 2019). "Andy Martin 2020 for US Senate Uses Jeanne Shaheen to Attack the NHGOP". Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  28. ^ DiStaso, John (April 2, 2020). "Bill O'Brien ends US Senate campaign, endorses fellow Republican Corky Messner". WMUR.
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  32. ^ O'Brien, Bill [@OBrienForNH] (July 23, 2019). "Republican Floor Leader in the New Hampshire House, Trump 2016 Veterans Coalition campaign leader, and a man who served our nation in the US Marine Corps for more than two decades, Representative Al Baldasaro to introduce and endorse Bill O'Brien #nhpolitics" (Tweet). Retrieved July 31, 2019 – via Twitter.
  33. ^ DiStaso, John (March 14, 2019). "NH Primary Source: PAC to recruit Eddie Edwards to run for a 'federal office' in 2020 to launch soon". WMUR. Retrieved March 14, 2019.
  34. ^ Leader, Kevin Landrigan New Hampshire Union (April 7, 2020). "Sununu seeks vote to install ex-liquor law chief as state licensing executive". UnionLeader.com.
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  37. ^ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (May 14, 2019). "BREAKING: .@GovChrisSununu announces he's seeking a third term as #nhgov – #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved May 14, 2019 – via Twitter.
  38. ^ DiStaso, John (January 27, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Republican Bolduc endorsed in US Senate run by Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas". wmur.com. Retrieved May 25, 2020.
  39. ^ Leader, Josie Albertson-Grove New Hampshire Union (May 2020). "Former senator Smith endorses Bolduc, calls Messner an 'interloper'". UnionLeader.com.
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  42. ^ "Support General Don Bolduc". Senate Conservatives Fund. July 25, 2019. Retrieved July 31, 2019.
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  44. ^ a b Staff, Sentinel (June 8, 2020). "Rand Paul endorses Corky Messner for U.S. Senate". SentinelSource.com.
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External links

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Elections in New Hampshire
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