2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout48.4% Decrease
 
Nominee Josh Green Duke Aiona
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sylvia Luke Seaula Tupa'i Jr.
Popular vote 261,025 152,237
Percentage 63.2% 36.8%
Green:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Aiona:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes
Governor before election

David Ige
Democratic

Elected Governor

Josh Green
Democratic

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The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote with Aiona receiving 36.8% of the vote.[1][2]

Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, surpassing the record from the previous election. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018, likely because there were no third-party candidates in the 2022 race. Green was the first Hawaii governor born after Hawaii's statehood.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Kirk Caldwell (withdrew)
Individual
Vicky Cayetano
Organizations
  • Patsy T. Mink Foundation[16]
Josh Green
Labor unions
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [19]
Kai Kahele
Labor unions

Polling

Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirk
Caldwell 		Vicky
Cayetano 		Josh
Green 		Kai
Kahele 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 12–17, 2022 317 (LV) ± 5.6% – 19% 55% 16% 10%
MRG Research June 28–30, 2022 782 (LV) ± 4.0% – 15% 48% 16% 22%
May 4, 2022 Caldwell withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] February 8–9, 2022 644 (LV) ± 3.9% 5% 10% 46% 14% 25%
– 10% 48% 17% 25%
Mason-Dixon January 24–28, 2022 320 (LV) ± 5.6% 11% 8% 58% – 23%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] November 5–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 14% 51% – 28%
– 21% 58% – –

Results

Results by county:
  Green—60–70%
  Green—40–50%
Democratic primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Green 158,161 62.91%
Democratic Vicky Cayetano 52,447 20.86%
Democratic Kai Kahele 37,738 15.01%
Democratic Van Tanabe 1,236 0.49%
Democratic Richard Kim 991 0.39%
Democratic David Bourgoin 590 0.23%
Democratic Clyde Lewman 249 0.10%
Total votes 251,412 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Keith Amemiya
Labor unions
Ikaika Anderson
Individuals
Labor unions
Sherry Menor-McNamara
Organizations
  • Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii[35]
Sylvia Luke
Labor unions
Organizations and professional associations
  • Americans for Democratic Action[35]
  • General Contractors Association of Hawai‘i[35]
  • Patsy T. Mink PAC[35]
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[38]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Keith
Amemiya 		Ikaika
Anderson 		Sylvia
Luke 		Sherry
Menor-McNamara 		Jill
Tokuda 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 12–17, 2022 317 (LV) ± 5.6% 19% 18% 21% 4% – 38%
MRG Research June 28–30, 2022 782 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 14% 20% 7% – 48%
April 27, 2022 Tokuda withdraws from the race
Mason-Dixon January 24–28, 2022 320 (LV) ± 5.6% 8% 9% 3% 7% 13% 60%

Results

Results by county:
  Luke—<40%
  Anderson—<40%
Democratic primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sylvia Luke 87,797 36.23%
Democratic Ikaika Anderson 67,462 27.84%
Democratic Keith Amemiya 57,199 23.60%
Democratic Sherry Menor-McNamara 25,349 10.46%
Democratic Sam Puletasi 2,328 0.96%
Democratic Daniel Cunningham 2,215 0.91%
Total votes 242,350 100.0%

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Endorsements
Duke Aiona
Labor unions
  • State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union[49]
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [19]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Duke
Aiona 		Gary
Cordery 		Lynn Barry
Mariano 		Paul
Morgan 		B.J.
Penn 		Heidi Haunani
Tsuneyoshi 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 12–17, 2022 133 (LV) ± 8.7% 48% – – – 26% 9% 17%
MRG Research June 28–30, 2022 269 (LV) ± 6.0% 27% 7% 3% 1% 24% 9% 29%

Results

Results by county:
  Aiona—50–60%
  Aiona—40–50%
Republican primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 37,608 49.57%
Republican B.J. Penn 19,817 26.12%
Republican Gary Cordery 8,258 10.88%
Republican Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi 7,255 9.56%
Republican Lynn Barry Mariano 903 1.19%
Republican Paul Morgan 796 1.05%
Republican Keline Kahau 469 0.62%
Republican Walter Woods 438 0.58%
Republican Moses Paskowitz 189 0.25%
Republican George Hawat 140 0.18%
Total votes 75,873 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
  Tupai—60–70%
  Tupai—50–60%
Republican primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Seaula Tupai Jr. 35,798 53.56%
Republican Rob Burns 23,121 34.60%
Republican Tae Kim 7,911 11.84%
Total votes 66,830 100.0%

Nonpartisan primary

Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot.[50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election.

Governor

Candidates

Eliminated in primary

Results

Nonpartisan primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Keleionalani Taylor 755 61.94%
Nonpartisan Caleb Nazara 464 38.06%
Total votes 1,219 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Nonpartisan primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Charles Keoho 1,030 100.0%
Total votes 1,030 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[51] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[52] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[54] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[55] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[56] Solid D May 12, 2022
538[57] Solid D June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[58] Safe D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Josh Green (D)
Organizations
Labor unions
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[19] (co-endorsed with Aiona)
Duke Aiona (R)
Labor unions
  • State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers[49]
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[19] (co-endorsed with Green)

Results

2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election[61]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
261,025 63.16% +0.49%
Republican
152,237 36.84% +3.14%
Total votes 413,262 100.00%
Turnout 417,215 48.44% –4.24
Registered electors 861,358
Democratic hold
By county
County Josh Green
Democratic 		Duke Aiona
Republican 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # %
Hawaii[62] 42,152 65.84 21,870 34.16 20,282 31.68 64,022
Honolulu[63] 170,575 62.36 102,968 37.64 67,607 24.72 273,543
Kauai[64] 14,227 59.63 9,632 40.37 4,595 19.26 23,859
Maui[65] 33,930 65.79 17,641 34.21 16,289 31.58 51,571
Totals 259,901 63.21 151,258 36.79 108,643 26.42 411,159

Notes

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which endorsed Josh Green

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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