2022 New York gubernatorial election

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Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Kathy Hochul
Democratic



The 2022 New York gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul is seeking election in 2022, for a full term. Hochul was elected lieutenant governor in 2014 and 2018 and became governor in August 2021, following the resignation of her predecessor, Governor Andrew Cuomo.[1] U.S. Representative Thomas Suozzi and New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, both Democrats, have also announced their gubernatorial candidacies. Additional Democrats are considering running for governor as well.

On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Lee Zeldin from Long Island is running for governor, and has received the support of the state's party leadership. Other Republicans, including Trump administration official Andrew Giuliani and former Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, have also launched gubernatorial bids.

Democratic primary

In August 2021, after New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced his resignation, then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul announced that she would run for governor in 2022.[2] Hochul was sworn in as governor of New York on August 24, 2021.[3] Hochul was elected to the position of lieutenant governor in 2014, and was re-elected in 2018; in both elections, she was Cuomo's running mate.[4]

New York Attorney General Letitia James garnered attention for releasing a report on her office's investigation into alleged sexual harassment by Cuomo; the release of this report helped lead to Cuomo's resignation in August 2021.[5] James announced her gubernatorial campaign in October 2021 and was considered a formidable challenger to Hochul.[5]

On November 12, 2021, Newsday reported that Hochul had raised $10 million in campaign donations since taking office as governor.[6] On November 16, 2021, New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, described by CNN as "a progressive favorite from Brooklyn", announced his 2022 gubernatorial bid. Williams ran for lieutenant governor against Hochul in 2018, losing a close race.[7] On November 29, 2021, U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi of Long Island announced that he was running for governor. According to The New York Times Suozzi is known as a "vocal centrist" and announced an intent to bill himself as a "'common-sense Democrat'".[8] Suozzi was considered to have the potential to siphon votes away from Hochul.[9]

In early December, James withdrew her candidacy and chose to seek re-election as attorney general instead.[10] James' withdrawal from the race was seen as a positive development for Hochul, as James had been considered the second-strongest candidate in the race.[9] The exit of James boosted the campaign of Williams, who became the only major candidate from New York City and the clear choice for the left wing of the Democratic Party.[9]

Candidates for governor

Declared

Democratic candidates[b]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrew

Declined

Candidates for lieutenant governor

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Kathy Hochul
U.S. governors
U.S. representatives
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Letitia James (withdrawn)
Statewide officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Labor unions
Jumaane Williams
State officials
Local officials
Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Alessandra
Biaggi
Bill
de Blasio
Thomas
DiNapoli
Kathy
Hochul
Letitia
James
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Andrea
Stewart-Cousins
Tom
Suozzi
Jumaane
Williams
Other Undecided
Siena College January 9–13, 2022 417 (RV) ± 5.4% 12% 46% 6% 11% 2% 22%
December 9, 2021 James withdraws from the race
Siena College November 29 – December 3, 2021 399 (RV) ± 5.4% 6% 36% 18% 6% 10% 1% 23%
In the Field Global (R)[A] November 17, 2021 282 (LV) ± 6.0% 7% 40% 17% 7% 2% 27%
44% 26% 3% 28%
Data for Progress (D)[B] November 16–17, 2021 528 (LV) ± 4.0% 5% 39% 24% 7% 9% 16%
46% 35% 19%
55% 24% 21%
Siena College October 10–14, 2021 419 (RV) ± 5.4% 10% 39% 20% 8% 1% 22%
47% 31% 5%[d] 17%
Marist College October 4–7, 2021 389 (RV) ± 6.9% 44% 28% 15% 13%
co/efficient (R) August 15–16, 2021 814 (LV) ± 3.4% 5% 28% 24% 14% 29%
14% 56% 30%
34% 32% 34%
45% 26% 30%
Data for Progress (D) August 6–11, 2021 426 (LV) ± 4.7% 3% 14% 14% 26% 3% 8% 7% 25%
Slingshot Strategies (D) August 6–7, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 12% 19% 36% 9% 25%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steven
Bellone
Preet
Bharara
Alessandra
Biaggi
Andrew
Cuomo
Bill
de Blasio
Thomas
DiNapoli
Kathryn
Garcia
Kirsten
Gillibrand
Kathy
Hochul
Letitia
James
Sean Patrick
Maloney
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Tom
Suozzi
Scott
Stringer
Jumaane
Williams
Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[B] November 16–17, 2021 528 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 3% 36% 22% 6% 7% 11%
27% 64% 9%
Siena College October 10–14, 2021 419 (RV) ± 5.4% 17% 6% 31% 14% 7% 2% 23%
Marist College October 4–7, 2021 389 (RV) ± 6.9% 19% 36% 24% 9% 12%
Slingshot Strategies (D) August 6–7, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 4% 1% 26% 3% 3% 6% 6% 4% 9% 2% 8% 2% 3% 2% 19%
3% 6% 2% 5% 3% 8% 10% 6% 13% 3% 10% 2% 4% 4% 22%
Zogby Analytics February 3–5, 2021 316 (LV) ± 5.5% 65% 22% 13%
67% 24% 9%

Republican primary

In June 2020, Lewis County sheriff Mike Carpinelli became the first Republican to enter the race.[67] He was the only announced challenger until Long Island congressman Lee Zeldin announced his own campaign in April 2021; he announced by the end of the month that the Erie and Niagara Counties' Republican Party chairs had endorsed his campaign, giving him the necessary 50% of state committee support to gain the Republican nomination.[68][69] Former special assistant to the President and associate director of the Office of Public Liaison during the Trump administration Andrew Giuliani and 2014 New York gubernatorial nominee Rob Astorino made campaign announcements the following month.[70][71][72] Contractor and podcast host Derrick Gibson is also in the race.[73]

In June 2021, Zeldin was named the 'presumed nominee' of the New York's Republican Party by state chairman Nick Langworthy after he earned 85 percent of a straw poll vote of county leaders, and was also called the 'presumptive nominee' of New York's Conservative Party by Conservative state chairman Gerard Kassar.[74] As of October 2021, Zeldin had the endorsement of 56 of New York's 62 county Republican committees.[75]

Andrew Giuliani has stated that he will try to challenge Zeldin in a June primary election, a scenario many elected Republicans would like to avoid, echoing sentiments from Chairman Nick Langworthy, who wants the party to get behind one candidate early on.[76]

Candidates

Declared

Republican candidates[b]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Andrew Giuliani
Individuals
Lee Zeldin
Executive officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Giuliani
Lee
Zeldin
Other Undecided
Triton Polling & Research (R)[C] June 24–25, 2021 587 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 27% 6% 32%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Formed exploratory committee

Libertarian candidates[b]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[113] Solid D December 3, 2021
Inside Elections[114] Solid D September 29, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[115] Likely D September 15, 2021
RCP[116] Likely D January 10, 2022
Hypothetical polling
with Andrew Cuomo and Elise Stefanik
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
Undecided
Zogby Analytics February 3–5, 2021 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 37% 14%
with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Elise Stefanik
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
Undecided
Zogby Analytics February 3–5, 2021 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 40% 12%
with Andrew Cuomo and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Siena College May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 48% 38% 14%
with Letitia James and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Letitia
James (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Siena College May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 46% 29% 25%
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Siena College May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 55% 29% 16%
with Andrew Cuomo and Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Marist College August 4, 2021 614 (A) ± 5.1% 11% 78%[e] 10%
542 (RV) ± 5.5% 12% 80%[f] 8%
Siena College May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 37% 53% 11%
Data for Progress March 13–16, 2021 484 (LV) ± 4% 15% 67%[g] 18%
Marist College/NBC February 15–17, 2021 813 (RV) ± 4.1% 38% 57%[h] 5%

Notes

  1. ^ Hochul became governor in 2021 when her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo, resigned. Prior to that, she was the Lieutenant Governor of New York.
  2. ^ a b c The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Won't vote" with 5%
  5. ^ "Time to elect someone else" as opposed to "deserves to be reelected" with 78%
  6. ^ "Time to elect someone else" as opposed to "deserves to be reelected" with 80%
  7. ^ "It is time for someone new" as opposed to "would reelect Cuomo" with 67%
  8. ^ "It is time to elect someone else" as opposed to "Cuomo deserves to be reelected" with 57%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by an unnamed centrist group
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Neal Kwatra on behalf of an unnamed donor
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Andrew Giuliani's campaign

References

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Official campaign websites