2022 United States Senate election in Florida

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Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Marco Rubio
Republican



The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.[1]

Republican primary

Incumbent U.S. Senator Marco Rubio from West Miami

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Marco Rubio
U.S. Executive Branch Officials

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Val Demings
Alan Grayson
Ken Russell

Independent and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent Party

Candidates

Declared

Unity Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared
Potential
Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[67] Lean R July 16, 2021
Inside Elections[68] Battleground October 8, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] Likely R March 11, 2021

Polling

Marco Rubio vs. Val Demings
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Marco
Rubio (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Undecided
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4–17, 2021 August 19, 2021 49.0% 42.5% 8.5% Rubio +6.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Other Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[A] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 38% 5% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 34% 3% 11%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 37% 3% 10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 45%
St. Pete Polls August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 46% 6%
Change Research (D)[B] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 44% 9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% 1% 9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) June 27, 2021 681 (LV) ± 3.9% 60% 40%
Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[A] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 32% 10% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 33% 4% 12%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 36% 4% 11%

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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Official campaign websites