2022 United States Senate election in Florida
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Senator Rubio official portrait.jpg
Nominee Marco Rubio
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marco Rubio
Republican



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The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.[1] The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats will be August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Marco Rubio
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Sheriffs
  • 55 county sheriffs[23]
Organizations
Labor unions

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic candidates[a]

Did not qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Val Demings
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Alan Grayson (withdrawn)
Individuals
Joshua Weil (failed to qualify)
Organizations
  • Progressives for Democracy in America - Florida[74]
  • American Youth for Climate Action[74]

Independent and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Unity Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared
Did not qualify
Did not file
Withdraw
Declined

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared
Third-party and Independent candidates[a]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[84] Lean R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[85] Likely R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[86] Likely R March 1, 2022
Politico[87] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[88] Lean R February 24, 2022
Fox News[89] Lean R May 12, 2022

Endorsements

Marco Rubio
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Sheriffs
  • 55 county sheriffs[91]
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Marco Rubio vs. Val Demings
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Val
Demings (D) 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4, 2021 – February 20, 2022 February 24, 2022 49.0% 40.0% 11.0% Rubio +9.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Val
Demings (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] May 26–27, 2022 655 (V) ± 3.8% 47% 41% – 12%
Phillips Academy May 7–9, 2022 543 (RV) ± 4.2% 34% 36% – 30%
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 45% 27% – 28%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 685 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 34% – 20%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 42% – 9%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 41% 0% 10%
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 44% – 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 33% 3% 12%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 36% 3% 10%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 29% – 25%
VCreek/AMG (R)[B] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 38% 5% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 34% 3% 11%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 37% 3% 10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 45% – –
St. Pete Polls August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 46% – 6%
Change Research (D)[C] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 44% – 9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% 1% 9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) June 27, 2021 681 (LV) ± 3.9% 60% 40% – –
Hypothetical polling
Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Aramis
Ayala (D) 		Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 39% –
Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Alan
Grayson (D) 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 34% 4% 12%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 4% 10%
VCreek/AMG (R)[B] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 32% 10% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 33% 4% 12%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 36% 4% 11%
Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Stephanie
Murphy (D) 		Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% –
Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 40% 14%
Data for Progress (D)[D] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 43% 15%

Notes

  1. ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Giffords
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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