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Elections in Florida |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.[1] The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats will be August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.[2]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[84] | Lean R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[85] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[86] | Likely R | March 1, 2022 |
Politico[87] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[88] | Lean R | February 24, 2022 |
Fox News[89] | Lean R | May 12, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | August 4, 2021 – February 20, 2022 | February 24, 2022 | 49.0% | 40.0% | 11.0% | Rubio +9.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | May 26–27, 2022 | 655 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
Phillips Academy | May 7–9, 2022 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 34% | 36% | – | 30% |
Saint Leo University | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 27% | – | 28% |
University of North Florida | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | – | 20% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | – | 9% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 41% | 0% | 10% |
St. Pete Polls | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 33% | 3% | 12% |
842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 10% | ||
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 29% | – | 25% |
VCreek/AMG (R)[B] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 38% | 5% | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 34% | 3% | 11% |
977 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 37% | 3% | 10% | ||
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
Change Research (D)[C] | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) | June 27, 2021 | 681 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Aramis Ayala (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 34% | 4% | 12% |
842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 4% | 10% | ||
VCreek/AMG (R)[B] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 32% | 10% | 14% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 33% | 4% | 12% |
977 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Stephanie Murphy (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Data for Progress (D)[D] | September 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 43% | 15% |