2022 United States Senate election in Florida
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marco Rubio
Republican



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Category Government

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.[1]

Republican primary

Incumbent U.S. Senator Marco Rubio from West Miami
Incumbent U.S. Senator Marco Rubio from West Miami

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Marco Rubio
U.S. Executive Branch Officials

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Val Demings
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Organizations
Alan Grayson
Individuals
Ken Russell
Organizations

Independent and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent Party

Candidates

Declared

Unity Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared
Potential
Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[67] Lean R July 16, 2021
Inside Elections[68] Battleground October 8, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] Likely R March 11, 2021

Polling

Marco Rubio vs. Val Demings
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Val
Demings (D) 		Undecided
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4–17, 2021 August 19, 2021 49.0% 42.5% 8.5% Rubio +6.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Val
Demings (D) 		Other Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[A] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 38% 5% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 34% 3% 11%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 37% 3% 10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 45% – –
St. Pete Polls August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 46% – 6%
Change Research (D)[B] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 44% – 9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% 1% 9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) June 27, 2021 681 (LV) ± 3.9% 60% 40% – –
Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Alan
Grayson (D) 		Other Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[A] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 32% 10% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 33% 4% 12%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 36% 4% 11%

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

  1. ^ a b "Sen. Marco Rubio will run for reelection in 2022". The Floridian. November 9, 2020. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  2. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1539881". Federal Election Commission. September 28, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
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  5. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1496158". Federal Election Commission. January 31, 2021. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
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  13. ^ Contorno, Steve (January 19, 2021). "Matt Gaetz won't challenge Marco Rubio in 2022, he says". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  14. ^ Speare-Cole, Rebecca (December 14, 2020). "Roger Stone considers running for Senate in Florida against Marco Rubio or Rick Scott". Newsweek. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
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  21. ^ Greenwood, Max. "Trump hands Rubio coveted reelection endorsement in Florida". thehill.com. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
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  25. ^ Perry, Mitch (June 18, 2021). "Al Fox is very serious about a U.S. Senate candidacy in 2022". Bay News 9. Retrieved July 9, 2021.
  26. ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 7, 2021). "'It's on': Alan Grayson slams 'corrupt' Marco Rubio, steps up Senate bid". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
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  30. ^ Flechas, Joey (June 3, 2021). "Miami Commissioner Ken Russell says he'll run to challenge Marco Rubio for U.S. Senate". Miami Herald. Retrieved June 3, 2021.
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  32. ^ Prieur, Danielle (July 23, 2021). "Orlando's Coleman Watson is Running for U.S. Senate". WMFE-FM. Retrieved July 24, 2021.
  33. ^ Lemongello, Steven (July 23, 2021). "Orlando attorney and stroke survivor Coleman Watson makes bid for U.S. Senate in Florida". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved July 25, 2021.
  34. ^ Balido, Giselle (May 21, 2021). "This Is Why Josh Weil Is Running to 'Retire Marco Rubio'". The Americano. Retrieved June 6, 2021.
  35. ^ a b Burlew, Jeff (November 20, 2018). "Gwen Graham could be statewide contender again, in four long years". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
  36. ^ Man, Anthony (January 2, 2021). "2020 is over, but South Florida top political developments will reverberate long into the future". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  37. ^ "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. June 28, 2018. Retrieved May 21, 2021.
  38. ^ Speck, Emilee (May 3, 2021). "Former State Attorney Aramis Ayala exploring run for US Senate". ClickOrlando.com. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  39. ^ Moore, Stewart (May 26, 2021). "Aramis Ayala to run for Val Demings' Orlando congressional seat". WESH. Retrieved May 26, 2021.
  40. ^ Greenwood, Max (May 4, 2021). "Crist launches bid for Florida governor, seeking to recapture his old job". The Hill. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
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  42. ^ Schorsch, Peter (May 7, 2021). "Delegation for 5.7.21: Dominoes fall — fraud watch — gun loophole — special elections — muzzling the right?". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 20, 2021.
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  45. ^ Burkhart, Eduardo (May 6, 2021). "Anna Eskamani won't run for Florida Governor in 2022". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
  46. ^ Ritchie, Bruce (June 1, 2021). "Florida's Nikki Fried jumps into 2022 race to challenge DeSantis". Politico. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  47. ^ Caputo, Marc (February 24, 2021). "Rep. Stephanie Murphy 'seriously considering' bid to unseat Rubio". POLITICO. Retrieved February 26, 2021.
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  50. ^ "FL-Sen: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D. NY) Wastes No Time Helping Val Demings (D) Kick Rubio's (R) Ass". Daily Kos. Retrieved July 24, 2021.
  51. ^ Kevin Derby (May 28, 2021). "Kathy Castor Makes Early Endorsements as Florida Democrats Look Ahead to 2022". Florida Daily. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  52. ^ Chasmar, Jessica (October 4, 2021). "Val Demings embraces hard left Democrats in Florida Senate run". Fox News. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
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  67. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  68. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  69. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.

External links

Official campaign websites
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