2022 United States Senate election in California

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Alex Padilla 117th Congress portrait.jpg
3x4.svg
Candidate Alex Padilla Mark Meuser
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Alex Padilla
Democratic



The 2022 United States Senate elections in California will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California. There are two ballot items for the same Class 3 seat: a special election to fill the seat for the final weeks of the 117th Congress, and a general election to fill it beginning with the 118th United States Congress beginning on January 3, 2023.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Alex Padilla was appointed in 2021 by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy created by Kamala Harris's election to the vice presidency, and he is seeking a full term.[1][2] A jungle primary for each of the terms took place on June 7.[3] The top two candidates in each primary election, regardless of party, advanced to the special and regular general elections in November. With his advancement out of the primary, Meuser became the first Republican since 2012 to advance to the general election, as both 2016 and 2018 featured solely Democrats.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

Peace and Freedom Party

Eliminated in primary

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Candidates[a]

Endorsements

Mark Meuser (R)
Alex Padilla (D)
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Newspapers
James P. Bradley (R)
Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Representatives
Local politicians
Notable individuals
John Parker (P&F)
Political Parties
Mark A. Ruzon (ASP)
Political Parties
Individuals
Cordie Williams (R)
Executive Branch Officials
State legislators
Individuals

Primary elections

Campaign

Incumbent Senator Alex Padilla was appointed to the job in January 2021 following Kamala Harris's election to the office of Vice President of the United States.[57] Following his appointment, Padilla quickly began to focus on his 2022 re-election campaign, as the fact that he has not been elected to the position means that he has a relatively low profile.[7] Padilla's re-election strategy focuses on advocating for progressive policies and building ties with left-wing organizations that have a poor relationship with California's other Senator, Dianne Feinstein.[7][58] The potential Democratic opponent to Padilla considered most likely to join the race was U.S. Representative Ro Khanna, a staunchly left-wing Democrat who rose to prominence as the co-chair of the Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign, and who had a loyal base of support from California's Asian-American and Pacific Islander communities.[7][8] On August 9, 2021, Khanna announced that he would be endorsing Padilla for re-election, which was viewed as likely ending any possibility that Padilla would face a serious Democratic opponent.[59] It was noted by the San Francisco Chronicle that it was considered unlikely that Padilla would face any serious Republican opponent, as California's heavily Democratic lean has caused potentially strong candidates, such as U.S. Representatives Mike Garcia and Young Kim, to prefer to remain in their positions rather than launch a long-shot Senate run.[60]

The race was complicated in April of 2022, when billionaire businessman Dan O'Dowd entered the race, launching an $650,000 dollar ad campaign.[6] O'Dowd's goal with this ad buy, and with entering the race in the first place, was to "make computers safe for humanity"[61][62] and draw the attention of the public and politicians to the dangers of Tesla's unfinished Full Self-Driving software being rolled out to 100,000 cars on public roads.[63]

Special election blanket primary

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
(I) Daphne Bradford
(R) James Bradley
(R) Jon Elist
(R) Myron Hall
(R) Mark Meuser
(D) Dan O'Dowd
(D) Alex Padilla
(D) Timothy Ursich Jr.
Undecided
Berkeley IGS May 24–31, 2022 3,438 (LV) ± 2.2% 1% 7% 5% 2% 14% 3% 44% 2% 21%
SurveyUSA May 13–15, 2022 709 (LV) ± 4.5% 1% 8% 7% 3% 11% 6% 40% 2% 22%

Results

Results by county  Padilla .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%    Meuser   30–40%   40–50%
Results by county
Padilla
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Meuser
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Special election blanket primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alex Padilla (incumbent) 3,740,582 55.0
Republican Mark P. Meuser 1,503,480 22.1
Republican James P. Bradley 472,052 6.9
Republican Jon Elist 403,722 5.9
Democratic Timothy J. Ursich 226,447 3.3
Democratic Dan O'Dowd 191,531 2.8
Republican Myron L. Hall 143,038 2.1
No party preference Daphne Bradford 112,191 1.6
Peace and Freedom John Thompson Parker (write-in) 9,951 0.1
No party preference Irene Ratliff (write-in) 12 0.0
Total votes 6,803,006 100.0

Regular election blanket primary

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
(D) Akinyemi Agbede
(I) Daphne Bradford
(R) James Bradley
(G) James Conn
(R) Jon Elist
(G) Pamela Elizondo
(I) Eleanor Garcia
(I) Don Grundmann
(R) Myron Hall
(I) Deon Jenkins
(R) Sarah Sun Liew
(R) Robert Lucero Jr.
(R) Mark Meuser
(D) Dan O'Dowd
(D) Alex Padilla
(PF) John Parker
(R) Enrique Petris
(D) Douglas Pierce
(D) Obaidul Huq Pirjada
(R) Chuck Smith
(R) Carlos Tapia
(D) Timothy Ursich Jr.
(R) Cordie Williams
Undecided
Berkeley IGS May 24–31, 2022 3,438 (LV) ± 2.2% 1% 0% 3% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 1% 42% 1% 0% 1% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2% 22%
SurveyUSA May 13–15, 2022 709 (LV) ± 4.5% 2% 0% 9% 1% 4% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 3% 2% 4% 1% 36% 0% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 24%

Results

Results by county  Padilla   20–30%   30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%    Meuser   20–30%
Results by county
Padilla
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Meuser
  •   20–30%
Regular election blanket primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alex Padilla (incumbent) 3,725,544 54.1
Republican Mark P. Meuser 1,028,374 14.9
Republican Cordie Williams 474,321 6.9
Republican Jon Elist 289,716 4.2
Republican Chuck Smith 266,766 3.9
Republican James P. Bradley 235,788 3.4
Democratic Douglas Howard Pierce 116,771 1.7
Peace and Freedom John Parker 105,477 1.5
Republican Sarah Sun Liew 76,994 1.1
Democratic Dan O'Dowd 74,916 1.1
Democratic Akinyemi Agbede 70,971 1.0
Republican Myron L. Hall 66,161 1.0
Democratic Timothy J. Ursich 58,348 0.8
Republican Robert George Lucero Jr. 53,398 0.8
Green James "Henk" Conn 35,983 0.5
No party preference Eleanor Garcia[c] 34,625 0.5
Republican Carlos Guillermo Tapia 33,870 0.5
Green Pamela Elizondo 31,981 0.5
Republican Enrique Petris 31,883 0.5
Democratic Obaidul Huq Pirjada 27,889 0.4
No party preference Daphne Bradford 26,900 0.4
No party preference Don J. Grundmann[d] 10,181 0.1
No party preference Deon D. Jenkins 6,936 0.1
No party preference Mark A. Ruzon (write-in) 206 0.0
Republican Lijun Zhou (write-in) 58 0.0
No party preference Irene Ratliff (write-in) 7 0.0
No party preference Marc Alexander Roth (write-in) 1 0.0
Total votes 6,884,065 100.0

General elections

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[66] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[67] Solid D April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[68] Safe D March 1, 2022
Politico[69] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[70] Safe D February 24, 2022
Fox News[71] Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ[72] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[73] Solid D June 30, 2022

Results

2022 United States Senate special election in California
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Alex Padilla (incumbent) N/A
Republican Mark Meuser N/A
Total votes N/A
2022 United States Senate election in California
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Alex Padilla (incumbent) N/A
Republican Mark Meuser N/A
Total votes N/A

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Garcia is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Socialist Workers Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[64]
  4. ^ Grundmann is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Constitution Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[65]

References

  1. ^ Wilson, Reid (September 28, 2021). "California rule change means Padilla faces extra election". The Hill. Archived from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
  2. ^ Willon, Phil; McGreevy, Patrick (December 22, 2020). "Alex Padilla becomes California's first Latino U.S. senator, replacing Kamala Harris". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
  3. ^ "Statewide Direct Primary Election - June 7, 2022". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on December 23, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
  4. ^ Ting, Eric (December 23, 2020). "Alex Padilla and Shirley Weber will run in 2022. They'll likely have challengers". SF Gate.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t "Primary Election - June 7, 2022". Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  6. ^ a b Cadelago, Christopher (April 16, 2022). "He wants to destroy Elon Musk. He could end up endangering the Dems' Senate plans". Politico. Archived from the original on April 16, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
  7. ^ a b c d Haberkorn, Jennifer (May 3, 2021). "Sen. Alex Padilla, just months into the job, has a year and a half to convince voters he should keep it". Los Angeles Times.
  8. ^ a b c Marinucci, Carla (August 9, 2021). "Khanna won't challenge Padilla for Senate, ends intraparty threat from left". Politico. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
  9. ^ a b c d "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  10. ^ "FILING FEC-1503114". fec.gov. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  11. ^ Miller, Thaddeus (March 8, 2021). "Fresno native to challenge for a U.S. Senate seat, blasts Newsom. Can she win?". Fresno Bee.((cite web)): CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  12. ^ Taub, David (December 17, 2021). "Heng Enters House Race Even as the Lines Keep Changing". GV Wire. Retrieved December 18, 2021.
  13. ^ "Yvonne For US Senate 2022". Yvonne For US Senate 2022. February 26, 2007. Retrieved June 3, 2022.
  14. ^ "Rep. Mike Garcia's voting record: Will it be an obstacle to reelection?". Los Angeles Times. July 5, 2021.
  15. ^ Jennewein, Chris (December 21, 2021). "Reps. Jacobs, Issa to Seek Re-Election in New 51st, 48th Congress Districts in 2022". Times of San Diego. Retrieved December 21, 2021.
  16. ^ Staggs, Brooke (February 3, 2021). "Who's already running for Congress in Orange County in 2022?". Orange County Register. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  17. ^ Staggs, Brooke (April 19, 2021). "Katie Porter raises more in first quarter than all other Orange County reps combined". The Orange County Register. Retrieved April 29, 2021.
  18. ^ a b Winger, Richard (November 15, 2021). "Two California Ballot-Qualified Parties Will Run a Joint Campaign for Statewide Office in 2022".
  19. ^ Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
  20. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Marinucci, Carla; Jeremy B. White; Graph Massara; Richard Tzul (April 20, 2021). "PADILLA launches 2022 reelection bid — PELOSI defends WATERS' remarks on CHAUVIN trial — CALIFORNIA giving up on climate ambitions? — GOP leaders want border meeting with HARRIS". Politico.
  21. ^ a b c d e f g h Marinucci, Carla (April 22, 2021). "NEWSOM declares drought emergency — CAITLYN JENNER's spotty voting record — Quake nightmare: the HOLLYWOOD FAULT — PELOSI's Floyd speech slammed". Politico.
  22. ^ a b c "Alex Padilla Endorsements". alex-padilla.com. Retrieved May 9, 2021.
  23. ^ "US Senate - 3.14 Action". 3.14 Action.
  24. ^ "Statewide Primary Election Endorsements". CFT.
  25. ^ a b "LCV Action Fund and California League of Conservation Voters Endorse Senator Alex Padilla for Re-Election". LCV. June 10, 2021.
  26. ^ "2022 June Primary Election Candidate Recommendations".
  27. ^ "Democracy for America : Our Candidates". Democracy for America. Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  28. ^ "Sen. Padilla launches 2022 Senate campaign". KTXL. April 20, 2021.
  29. ^ "Election Center". eqca.org.
  30. ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  31. ^ "Giffords Endorses Alex Padilla for Senate at Gun Violence Memorial in Los Angeles". Giffords.org. October 19, 2021. Retrieved November 24, 2021.
  32. ^ "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  33. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Alex Padilla for Reelection to the U.S. Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. February 8, 2022.
  34. ^ "National Nurses United Endorses Alex Padilla for U.S. Senate". National Nurses United. June 16, 2021.
  35. ^ Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  36. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  37. ^ "2022 House & Senate Endorsements".
  38. ^ "Press Release: SEIU Members Endorse Padilla, Kounalakis To Keep Leading On Issues Important To California's Workers". SEIU California. November 10, 2021. Retrieved November 24, 2021.
  39. ^ "Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide. March 19, 2021.
  40. ^ "Endorsements". Stonewall Democrats. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
  41. ^ https://cadem.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/2022-Primary-Endorsements-2.pdf[bare URL PDF]
  42. ^ United Farm Workers [@UFWupdates] (November 18, 2021). "Sí se puede! United Farm Workers proudly endorses Sen. Alex Padilla's 2022 election campaign. @AlexPadilla4CA has always been a staunch advocate for farm workers in California and has been a tireless champion for our cause in D.C." (Tweet). Retrieved November 24, 2021 – via Twitter.
  43. ^ "Por Alex Padilla para el Senado federal". La Opinión (in Spanish). May 16, 2022. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  44. ^ "Endorsement: Our recommendations for House seats in the San Diego area and for the U.S. Senate". The San Diego Union-Tribune. May 19, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2022.
  45. ^ "General Michael Flynn Latest Interview With Tucker Carlson - Framing Michael Flynn". rumble. October 12, 2021.
  46. ^ "Chris Cannon (R-UT) Bombs on Fox re Bailout Oversight". YouTube.
  47. ^ "SpeakUp! Orange County – Greg Raths". YouTube.
  48. ^ "Jon Voigt endorses James P. Bradley for US Congress". YouTube.
  49. ^ "Interview Part #1 Lt. Col. Robert "Buzz" Patterson". YouTube.
  50. ^ "THE ENEMIES WITHIN: Trailer #3". YouTube.
  51. ^ Laurance, Jeremy (May 5, 2018). "Andrew Wakefield's MMR vaccine theory has been discredited for years, but he just won't go away". Independent.
  52. ^ "David Hiebert".
  53. ^ "American Solidarity Party of California". Facebook. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
  54. ^ Carroll, Brian (May 27, 2022). "Brian Carroll, Commentaries". Facebook. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  55. ^ Maturen, Mike. "Mike Maturen Hfi". Facebook. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  56. ^ a b c d "Endorsements - Cordie4Senate".
  57. ^ Deruy, Emily (January 18, 2021). "Alex Padilla: 5 things to know about California's new senator". Mercury News. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  58. ^ Garofoli, Joe (June 16, 2021). "Progressives fed up with Feinstein, want her to resign now". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  59. ^ Garofoli, Joe (August 9, 2021). "Khanna considered challenging Padilla, but now he's endorsing him for Senate". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
  60. ^ Wildermuth, John (December 19, 2020). "Can California GOP find a Senate candidate in 2022? If not, Alex Padilla could be set for years". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved February 8, 2021.
  61. ^ "About Dan O'Dowd - Dan O'Dowd for U.S. Senate".
  62. ^ Korosec, Kirsten (April 20, 2022). "Billionaire's Senate run focuses on banning 'self-driving' Tesla's". techcrunch.com.
  63. ^ Loveday, Steven (April 18, 2022). "Elon Musk Says Tesla's FSD Now Has over 100,000 Beta Testers". Insideevs.com.
  64. ^ Stone, Betsey (February 7, 2022). "Socialist Workers Party conference launches 2022 California campaign". The Militant. Vol. 86, no. 5. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  65. ^ "Political Body: Constitution Party of California" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. Sacramento. April 12, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  66. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  67. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  68. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  69. ^ "California Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  70. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  71. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  72. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  73. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
Official campaign websites