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125 Republican National Convention delegates | |||||||||||||
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| Elections in Florida |
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 Government |
The 2024 Florida Republican presidential primary will be held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 125 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest will be held alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.
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Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries |
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | through December 9, 2023 | January 21, 2024 | 9.5% | 65.8% | 24.7%[c] | Trump +46.4 |
| RealClearPolitics | October 23 – November 11, 2023 | January 21, 2024 | 7.5% | 60.5% | 22.0%[d] | Trump +40.0 |
| Average | 8.5% | 63.2% | 28.3%[e] | Trump +43.2 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Others | Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | Dec 8–9, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 5.3% | 18.8% | 7.6% | – | – | 1.3% | – | 59.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | |||
| – | 25.8% | – | – | – | – | – | 56.8% | – | 17.4% | |||||||
| Florida Atlantic University Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/ Mainstreet Research |
Oct 27 – November 11, 2023 | 400 (RV) | – | 1% | 20% | 9% | – | – | 0% | – | 61% | 2%[g] | 6% | |||
| – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 7% | |||||||
| University of North Florida | Oct 23 – November 4, 2023 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.77% | 2% | 21% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 60% | <2%[h] | 8% | |||
| – | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | 12% | |||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Oct 1–2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 22% | 7% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 57% | 0% | 7% | |||
| Victory Insights | Aug 21–23, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 4% | 23% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 1% | 7% | |||
| – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | 13% | |||||||
| Florida Atlantic University | Jun 27 – July 1, 2023 | 315 (RV) | – | 2% | 30% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 50% | – | 7% | |||
| – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 8% | |||||||
| Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media | Jun 9–11, 2023 | – | – | 2% | 41% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 41% | 0%[i] | 8% | |||
| Victory Insights | May 25–27, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 38% | 3% | – | 3% | 0% | 3% | 38% | 4%[j] | 12% | |||
| – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 21% | |||||||
| National Research[A] | May 8–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 34% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 42% | 1%[k] | 16% | |||
| Florida Atlantic University | Apr 13–14, 2023 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | |||
| Victory Insights | Apr 6–8, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | 35% | 3% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 43% | – | 14% | |||
| – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 22% | |||||||
| Emerson College | Mar 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | – | 44% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 47% | 3%[l] | – | |||
| University of North Florida | Feb 25 – March 7, 2023 | 550 (RV) | ± 2.6% | – | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 13% | |||
| – | 52% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 0% | 27% | 4%[m] | 11% | |||||||
| Victory Insights | Nov 16–17, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 10% | |||
| WPA Intelligence[B] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 1,044 (LV) | – | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 14% | |||
| 2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||||
| Victory Insights | Oct 30 – November 1, 2022 | 229 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | |||
| Suffolk University | Sep 15–18, 2022 | 174 (LV) | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | 12% | |||
| Echelon Insights | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 363 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 8% | |||
| University of North Florida | Aug 8–12, 2022 | 671 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 8% | |||
| WPA Intelligence[B] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | 9% | |||
| Victory Insights | Jul 13–14, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | 61% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 0% | |||
| Blueprint Polling (D) | Jul 7–10, 2022 | 656 (V) | ± 3.8% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 10% | |||
| Bendixen/Amandi International | March 2022 | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 55% | – | 13% | |||
| University of North Florida | Feb 7–20, 2022 | 259 (RV) | – | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 15% | |||
| Suffolk University | Jan 26–29, 2022 | 176 (LV) | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 13% | |||
| Victory Insights | Sep 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 12% | |||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | Aug 4–10, 2021 | 280 (RV) | – | 1% | 34% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 43% | 10%[n] | 8% | |||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Feb 15–17, 2021 | 304 (LV) | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% [o] | 14% | |||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||||
| 2020 presidential election | ||||||||||||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | July 16–18, 2019 | 280 (LV) | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44%[p] | 19% | |||
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