Ethnic groups: 97.9% White, 1.5% Aboriginal
Languages: 99.3% English
Religions: 95.7% Christian (43.0% Catholic, 30.2% Anglican, 13.5% United Church, 3.5% Pentecostal, 5.4% Other), 4.1% No religion
Median income (2010): $27,528
Average income (2010): $36,436

Geography

The neighbouring ridings are Random—Burin—St. George's to the west and north, and St. John's South—Mount Pearl and St. John's East to the east.

As of the 2013 representation order, the riding of Avalon consists of:^[4]

All that area consisting of that part of the Avalon Peninsula on the Island of Newfoundland lying southerly of a line described as follows:
- commencing at a point in the Eastern Channel at latitude 47°25'49"N and longitude 54°03'34"W;
- thence easterly in a straight line to a point in the Eastern Channel at latitude 47°26'11"N and longitude 53°57'51"W;
- thence southeasterly in a straight line to a point in Long Harbour at latitude 47°24'13"N and longitude 53°55'10"W;
- thence easterly in a straight line to the southwesterly limit of the Town of Long Harbour-Mount Arlington Heights at the mouth of Rattling Brook;
- thence generally westerly, generally northeasterly, generally southeasterly and generally southwesterly along the westerly, southerly, northerly and easterly limits of said town to a point at approximate latitude 47°26'32"N and longitude 53°44'50"W (on the southwesterly shoreline of Warrens Pond);
- thence southeasterly in a straight line to a point at latitude 47°24'44"N and longitude 53°43'54"W;
- thence easterly in a straight line to the southwesternmost point of the limit of the Town of Whitbourne;
- thence generally easterly and northerly along said limit to the northeasternmost point of the limit of said town;
- thence northeasterly in a straight line to the southwesternmost point of the limit of the Town of Spaniard's Bay;
- thence generally northerly along the westerly limit of said town to the northwesternmost point of the limit of said town;
- thence northerly in a straight line to a point in Hound Pond at latitude 47°46'36"N and longitude 53°22'23"W;
- thence northeasterly in a straight line to a point in Broad Cove Gull Pond at latitude 47°49'47"N and longitude 53°12'51"W;
- thence southerly in a straight line to a point on the westerly limit of the Town of Salmon Cove at approximate latitude 47°46'51"N and longitude 53°11'48"W;
- thence generally southerly, northeasterly and northwesterly along the westerly, southerly and easterly limits of said town to a point at approximate latitude 47°47'21"N and longitude 53°08'40"W;
- thence easterly in a straight line to a point in Conception Bay at latitude 47°46'33"N and longitude 52°59'22"W;
- thence generally southerly along Conception Bay to a point at latitude 47°35'58"N and longitude 53°06'22"W;
- thence southeasterly in a straight line to a point in Conception Bay at latitude 47°32'07"N and longitude 53°02'09"W;
- thence southeasterly in a straight line to the northwesterly limit of the Town of Conception Bay South at the mouth of Long Pond Harbour;
- thence northeasterly along the northwesterly limit of said town to the northwesterly limit of the Town of Paradise;
- thence northeasterly along the limit of said town to the northerly limit of said town;
- thence generally southeasterly along said limit to Camrose Drive;
- thence southerly along said drive to Paradise Road; thence generally southeasterly along said road to Topsail Road;
- thence generally easterly along said road to the southeasterly limit of the Town of Paradise;
- thence southerly and westerly along said limit to the easterly limit of the Town of Conception Bay South;
- thence generally southerly and westerly along said limit to the southerly limit of the City of St. John's;
- thence generally southeasterly along said limit to the northwesternmost point of the Town of Bay Bulls;
- thence generally southerly along the westerly limit of said town to the northwesternmost point of the Town of Witless Bay;
- thence southerly and generally easterly along the westerly and southerly limits of said town to the easterly limit of said town.
Including Iona Islands, East Green Island, North Green Island, Harbour Island, Fox Island, Great Colinet Island and all other islands adjacent to the shoreline of the above-described area.

Political geography

Avalon is divided between the Liberal north and the Conservative south. Conservative support is found along the southern coast from the community of Bay Bulls to Southern Harbour. The Conservatives also have some concentration in the north central peninsula, including winning the town of Harbour Grace. The Liberals dominate the central and northern parts of the riding. In 2008, the NDP won two polls, one was a mobile poll, and the other contained the community of Hopeall. The Greens also won a poll in Witless Bay. [1]

History

The electoral district was created in 2003 from 57.6% of Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, 21.9% of St. John's West and 20.5% of St. John's East ridings. It consisted of:^[5]

that part of the Avalon Peninsula on the Island of Newfoundland described as follows:
- commencing at a point in Placentia Bay approximately 20 km west of Cape St. Mary's;
- thence generally northerly along Placentia Bay and the Eastern Channel of Placentia Bay to the intersection of the shoreline of Placentia Bay with the westerly limit of the Town of Come By Chance;
- thence northerly and easterly along the westerly and northerly limits of said town to the Trans-Canada Highway (Route No. 1);
- thence northerly along said highway to the northerly limit of the Town of Sunnyside;
- thence easterly along said limit and its production into Trinity Bay;
- thence northerly along said bay to a point midway between East Random Head on Random Island and Hant's Head on the eastern shoreline of Trinity Bay;
- thence northeasterly along said bay to a point approximately 5 km north of Grates Point on the Bay de Verde Peninsula;
- thence easterly approximately 20 km to a point N45°E of Baccalieu Island;
- thence generally southerly along Conception Bay to a point midway between Western Bay Head on the western shoreline of Conception Bay and Cape St. Francis;
- thence southerly along Conception Bay to a point approximately 2 km west of the most westerly extremity of Bell Island;
- thence southerly along Conception Bay to a point approximately 2 km S45°W of the most southwesterly extremity of Kellys Island;
- thence easterly along Conception Bay to the mouth of Long Pond Harbour;
- thence southerly along said harbour and Conway Brook to the limit of the City of St. John's;
- thence generally southwesterly and easterly along the northwesterly and southerly limits of said city and its production to the Atlantic Ocean;
- thence generally southerly and generally westerly along the Atlantic Ocean, Trepassey Bay, St. Mary's Bay and Placentia Bay to the point of commencement.
Including Baccalieu Island, Great Colinet Island and all other islands adjacent to the shoreline of the above-described area.

The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Avalon should be adjusted, and a modified electoral district of the same name will be contested in future elections.^[6] The redefined Avalon had its boundaries legally defined in the 2013 representation order which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015.^[7] 21% of this riding will be moved into Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, and 3% will be moved into St. John's South—Mount Pearl, and will gain 25% of its new territory from St. John's East. It was given the boundaries described above.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Avalon Riding created from Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, St. John's East and St. John's West
38th	2004–2006	John Efford	Liberal
39th	2006–2008	Fabian Manning	Conservative
40th	2008–2011	Scott Andrews	Liberal
41st	2011–2014		Liberal
41st	2014–2015		Independent
42nd	2015–2019	Ken McDonald	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present

Election results

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Graph of election results in Avalon (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Ken McDonald	18,608	50.10	+3.84	$46,697.12
	Conservative	Matthew Chapman	12,738	34.29	+3.19	$56,179.94
	New Democratic	Carolyn Davis	5,151	13.87	−3.41	$0.00
	People's	Lainie Stewart	647	1.74	–	$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			37,144	99.27	+0.21	$110,063.67
Total rejected ballots			273	0.73	–0.22
Turnout			37,417	53.31	–7.06
Registered voters			70,189
	Liberal hold		Swing		+0.33
Source: Elections Canada^[8]^[9]

2019

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Ken McDonald	19,122	46.26	−9.64	$63,518.25
	Conservative	Matthew Chapman	12,855	31.10	+20.00	$37,082.47
	New Democratic	Lea Mary Movelle	7,142	17.28	+2.85	none listed
	Green	Greg Malone	2,215	5.36	+4.82	none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			41,334	99.05	-0.57	$104,436.05
Total rejected ballots			397	0.95	+0.57
Turnout			41,731	59.33	−2.36
Eligible voters			70,341
	Liberal hold		Swing		−14.82
Source: Elections Canada^[10]^[11]

2015

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Ken McDonald	23,528	55.90	+22.73	$70,924.68
	Independent	Scott Andrews	7,501	17.82	–26.15	$63,334.50
	New Democratic	Jeannie Baldwin	6,075	14.43	–14.10	$70,840.75
	Conservative	Lorraine E. Barnett	4,670	11.10	–26.00	$58,123.54
	Green	Krista Byrne-Puumala	228	0.54	–0.09	$76.49
	Strength in Democracy	Jennifer McCreath	84	0.20	–	–
Total valid votes/expense limit			42,086	100.00		$208,407.32
Total rejected ballots			162	0.38
Turnout			42,248	62.33
Eligible voters			67,781
	Liberal notional gain from Conservative		Swing		+24.36
Source: Elections Canada^[12]^[13]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[14]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	13,214	37.09
	Liberal	11,820	33.18
	New Democratic	10,164	28.53
	Green	226	0.63
	Others	201	0.56

2011

In the 2011 election, the Liberal candidate was the incumbent MP, Scott Andrews, a former municipal councillor from Conception Bay South. He defeated the Tory candidate, Senator Fabian Manning of St. Bride's, for the second election in a row. Manning was the Conservative MP for this riding from 2006 to 2008, when he lost to Andrews.

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Scott Andrews	16,008	43.97	-1.31	$71,517.62
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	14,749	40.51	+5.35	$85,098.25
	New Democratic	Matthew Martin Fuchs	5,157	14.16	-3.22	$3,735.98
	Independent	Randy Wayne Dawe	276	0.76	–	$1,060.00
	Green	Matt Crowder	218	0.60	-1.57	$11.96
Total valid votes/expense limit			36,408	100.0	–	$85,411.40
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots			166	0.45	-0.34
Turnout			36,574	56.77	+4.97
Eligible voters			64,424
	Liberal hold		Swing		-3.33
Sources:^[15]^[16]

2008

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Scott Andrews	14,866	45.28	+6.70	$68,253
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	11,542	35.16	-16.39	$54,159
	New Democratic	Randy Wayne Dawe	5,707	17.38	+8.31	$25,080
	Green	Dave Aylward	714	2.17	+1.37	$766
Total valid votes/expense limit			32,829	100.0	–	$82,453
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots			262	0.79	-0.86
Turnout			33,091	51.80	-7.81
Eligible voters			63,882
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+11.54

2006

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	19,132	51.55	+22.24	$71,141
	Liberal	Bill Morrow	14,318	38.58	-19.76	$71,528
	New Democratic	Eugene Conway	3,365	9.07	-1.91	$1,036
	Green	Shannon Hillier	297	0.80	-0.57	none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			37,112	100.0	–	$76,596
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots			623	1.65	+0.59
Turnout			37,735	59.61	+9.78
Eligible voters			63,303
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+21.00

2004

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	R. John Efford	18,335	58.34	+12.41	$47,245
	Conservative	Rick Dalton	9,211	29.31	-10.37	$50,104
	New Democratic	Michael Kehoe	3,450	10.98	-3.24	$2,472
	Green	Don C. Ferguson	430	1.37	–	$746
Total valid votes/expense limit			31,246	100.0	–	$74,947
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots			336	1.06
Turnout			31,762	49.83
Eligible voters			63,745
	Liberal notional hold		Swing		+11.39
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is from the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance.

2000 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	17,614	45.93
	Progressive Conservative	14,412	37.58
	New Democratic	5,454	14.22
	Alliance	805	2.10
	Others	66	0.17

Student vote results

2019

2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Kenneth McDonald	1,332	30.35	-24.69
	New Democratic	Lea Mary Movelle	1,292	29.44	+14.74
	Conservative	Matthew Chapman	1,045	23.81	+17.03
	Green	Greg Malone	720	16.4	+12.4
Total Valid Votes			4,389	100.0	–
Source: Student Vote Canada^[17]

2015

2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Ken McDonald	633	55.04	+6.32
	Independent	Scott Andrews	212	18.43	-30.29
	New Democratic	Jeannie Baldwin	169	14.7	+3.33
	Conservative	Lorraine E. Barnett	78	6.78	-22.74
	Green	Krista Byrne-Puumala	46	4	-3.86
	Strength in Democracy	Jennifer McCreath	12	1.04	–
Total Valid Votes			1,150	100.0	–
Source: Student Vote Canada^[18]

2011

2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	Scott Andrews	972	48.72
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	589	29.52
	New Democratic	Matthew Martin Fuchs	227	11.37
	Green	Matt Crowder	157	7.86
	Independent	Randy Wayne Dawe	50	2.5
Total Valid Votes			1,995	100.0
Source: Student Vote Canada^[19]

References

External links

Federal ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador

Federal ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador
Liberal	Avalon Bonavista—Burin—Trinity Labrador Long Range Mountains St. John's East St. John's South—Mount Pearl
Conservative	Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame

Historical federal ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador

Federal ridings in Atlantic Canada

Federal ridings in Atlantic Canada
Newfoundland and Labrador	Avalon Bonavista—Burin—Trinity Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame Labrador Long Range Mountains St. John's East St. John's South—Mount Pearl
Nova Scotia	Cape Breton—Canso Central Nova Cumberland—Colchester Dartmouth—Cole Harbour Halifax Halifax West Kings—Hants Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook South Shore—St. Margarets Sydney—Victoria West Nova
Prince Edward Island	Cardigan Charlottetown Egmont Malpeque
New Brunswick	Acadie—Bathurst Beauséjour Fredericton Fundy Royal Madawaska—Restigouche Miramichi—Grand Lake Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe New Brunswick Southwest Saint John—Rothesay Tobique—Mactaquac

Demographics

Geography

Political geography

History

Members of Parliament

Election results

2021

2019

2015

2011

2008

2006

2004

Student vote results

2019

2015

2011

See also

References

Notes

External links