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In statistics, completeness is a property of a statistic in relation to a model for a set of observed data. In essence, it ensures that the distributions corresponding to different values of the parameters are distinct.

It is closely related to the idea of identifiability, but in statistical theory it is often found as a condition imposed on a sufficient statistic from which certain optimality results are derived.

Definition

Consider a random variable X whose probability distribution belongs to a parametric model Pθ parametrized by θ.

Say T is a statistic; that is, the composition of a measurable function with a random sample X1,...,Xn.

The statistic T is said to be complete for the distribution of X if, for every measurable function g,:[1]

The statistic T is said to be boundedly complete for the distribution of X if this implication holds for every measurable function g that is also bounded.

Example 1: Bernoulli model

The Bernoulli model admits a complete statistic.[2] Let X be a random sample of size n such that each Xi has the same Bernoulli distribution with parameter p. Let T be the number of 1s observed in the sample, i.e. . T is a statistic of X which has a binomial distribution with parameters (n,p). If the parameter space for p is (0,1), then T is a complete statistic. To see this, note that

Observe also that neither p nor 1 − p can be 0. Hence if and only if:

On denoting p/(1 − p) by r, one gets:

First, observe that the range of r is the positive reals. Also, E(g(T)) is a polynomial in r and, therefore, can only be identical to 0 if all coefficients are 0, that is, g(t) = 0 for all t.

It is important to notice that the result that all coefficients must be 0 was obtained because of the range of r. Had the parameter space been finite and with a number of elements less than or equal to n, it might be possible to solve the linear equations in g(t) obtained by substituting the values of r and get solutions different from 0. For example, if n = 1 and the parameter space is {0.5}, a single observation and a single parameter value, T is not complete. Observe that, with the definition:

then, E(g(T)) = 0 although g(t) is not 0 for t = 0 nor for t = 1.

Relation to sufficient statistics

For some parametric families, a complete sufficient statistic does not exist (for example, see Galili and Meilijson 2016 [3]).

For example, if you take a sample sized n > 2 from a N(θ,θ2) distribution, then is a minimal sufficient statistic and is a function of any other minimal sufficient statistic, but has an expectation of 0 for all θ, so there cannot be a complete statistic.

If there is a minimal sufficient statistic then any complete sufficient statistic is also minimal sufficient. But there are pathological cases where a minimal sufficient statistic does not exist even if a complete statistic does.

Importance of completeness

The notion of completeness has many applications in statistics, particularly in the following two theorems of mathematical statistics.

Lehmann–Scheffé theorem

Completeness occurs in the Lehmann–Scheffé theorem,[4] which states that if a statistic that is unbiased, complete and sufficient for some parameter θ, then it is the best mean-unbiased estimator for θ. In other words, this statistic has a smaller expected loss for any convex loss function; in many practical applications with the squared loss-function, it has a smaller mean squared error among any estimators with the same expected value.

Examples exists that when the minimal sufficient statistic is not complete then several alternative statistics exist for unbiased estimation of θ, while some of them have lower variance than others.[5]

See also minimum-variance unbiased estimator.

Basu's theorem

Bounded completeness occurs in Basu's theorem,[6] which states that a statistic that is both boundedly complete and sufficient is independent of any ancillary statistic.

Bahadur's theorem

Bounded completeness also occurs in Bahadur's theorem. In the case where there exists at least one minimal sufficient statistic, a statistic which is sufficient and boundedly complete, is necessarily minimal sufficient.

Notes

  1. ^ Young, G. A. and Smith, R. L. (2005). Essentials of Statistical Inference. (p. 94). Cambridge University Press.
  2. ^ Casella, G. and Berger, R. L. (2001). Statistical Inference. (pp. 285–286). Duxbury Press.
  3. ^ Tal Galili & Isaac Meilijson (31 Mar 2016). "An Example of an Improvable Rao–Blackwell Improvement, Inefficient Maximum Likelihood Estimator, and Unbiased Generalized Bayes Estimator". The American Statistician. 70 (1): 108–113. doi:10.1080/00031305.2015.1100683. PMC 4960505. PMID 27499547.((cite journal)): CS1 maint: uses authors parameter (link)
  4. ^ Casella, George; Berger, Roger L. (2001). Statistical Inference (2nd ed.). Duxbury Press. ISBN 978-0534243128.
  5. ^ Tal Galili & Isaac Meilijson (31 Mar 2016). "An Example of an Improvable Rao–Blackwell Improvement, Inefficient Maximum Likelihood Estimator, and Unbiased Generalized Bayes Estimator". The American Statistician. 70 (1): 108–113. doi:10.1080/00031305.2015.1100683. PMC 4960505. PMID 27499547.((cite journal)): CS1 maint: uses authors parameter (link)
  6. ^ Casella, G. and Berger, R. L. (2001). Statistical Inference. (pp. 287). Duxbury Press.

References

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