A democratic transition describes a phase in a countries political system as a result of an ongoing change from an authoritarian regime to a democratic one [1][2][3] The process is known as democratisation, political changes moving in a democratic direction.[4] Democratization waves have been linked to sudden shifts in the distribution of power among the great powers, which created openings and incentives to introduce sweeping domestic reforms.[5][6] Although transitional regimes experience more civil unrest,[7][8] they may be considered stable in a transitional phase for decades at a time.[9][10][11] Since the end of the Cold War transitional regimes have become the most common form of government.[12][13] Scholarly analysis of the decorative nature of democratic institutions concludes that the opposite democratic backsliding (autocratization), a transition to authoritarianism is the most prevalent basis of modern hybrid regimes.[14][15][16]
Main article: Autocratization |
Further information: Democratic backsliding by country |
Democratic backsliding, also called autocratization,[18][19][a] is "a process of regime change towards autocracy that makes the exercise of political power more arbitrary and repressive and that restricts the space for public contestation and political participation in the process of government selection".[26][27] Democratic decline involves the weakening of democratic institutions, such as the peaceful transition of power or free and fair elections, or the violation of individual rights that underpin democracy, especially freedom of expression.[28][29]
Proposed causes of democratic backsliding include lack of public support for democracy, economic inequality, culturally conservative reactions to societal changes, populist or personalist politics, and external influence from great power politics. During crises, backsliding can occur when leaders impose autocratic rules during states of emergency that are either disproportionate to the severity of the crisis or remain in place after the situation has improved.[30]
While regime change through military coups has declined since the end of the Cold War, more subtle forms of backsliding have increased. During the third wave of democratization in the late twentieth century, many new, weakly institutionalized democracies were established; these regimes have been most vulnerable to democratic backsliding.[31][29] The third wave of autocratization has been ongoing since 2010, when the number of liberal democracies was at an all-time high.[32][33] One quarter of the world's population lives under democratically backsliding hybrid regimes as of 2021.[34]
Main article: Democratization |
Democratization, or democratisation, is the democratic transition to a more democratic political regime, including substantive political changes moving in a democratic direction.[35][36]
Whether and to what extent democratization occurs can be influenced by various factors, including economic development, historical legacies, civil society, and international processes. Some accounts of democratization emphasize how elites drove democratization, whereas other accounts emphasize grassroots bottom-up processes.[37] How democratization occurs has also been used to explain other political phenomena, such as whether a country goes to a war or whether its economy grows.[38]
The opposite process is known as democratic backsliding or autocratization.
Main article: Decolonization |
Main article: Democratic globalization |
Main article: Democracy promotion |
Main article: Democratic consolidation |
Main article: Hybrid regime |
Main article: Democracy indices |
The democracies indices differ in whether they are categorical, such as classifying countries into democracies, hybrid regimes, and autocracies,[77][78] or continuous values.[79] The qualitative nature of democracy indices enables data analytical approaches for studying causal mechanisms of regime transformation processes.
Democracy indices differ in scope and weighting of different aspects of democracy, including the breadth of core democratic institutions, competitiveness and inclusiveness of polyarchy, freedom of expression, various aspects of governance, democratic norm transgressions, co-option of opposition, electoral system manipulation, electoral fraud, and popular support of anti-democratic alternatives.[80][81][82]