Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2018
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This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2018 Russian presidential election.

Graphic

Main opinion polls

Polls conducted since 8 February 2018, when all candidates were registered.

Date Poll source Spoil the ballot Undecided Abstention
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Suraykin
11 March FOM 64.9% 6.2% 6.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3%
9 March WCIOM 69% 7% 5% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 11% 3%
4 March WCIOM 69.7% 7.1% 5.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 10.7% 3.4%
3-4 March FOM 64% 6.5% 6.6% 0.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 1% 13% 6%
26 February WCIOM 69.1% 7.8% 5.9% 0.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 10.4% 3.1%
24-25 February FOM 64% 6% 7% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 13% 6%
16-22 February FBK 56% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 32%
17-18 February FOM 67% 6% 6% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 11% 7%
18 February WCIOM 69.5% 7.5% 5.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 10.6% 3.4%
17 February Start of campaigning in the media
9-14 February FBK 57% 5% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 30%
10-11 February FOM 67% 5% 5% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 12% 7%
11 February WCIOM 71.5% 7.3% 5.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 9.3% 3.0%

Most favorite for president

Date Poll source Nobody Difficult to answer
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Suraykin
11 Mar 2018 FOM 72.6% 12.0% 13.7% 2.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9%
25 Feb 2018 FOM 70.6% 10.4% 17.1% 2.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 1.2% 11.5% 4.3%
22 Feb 2018 FOM 74.1% 10.1% 14.8% 2.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 0.6% 11.3% 3.1%
11 Feb 2018 FOM 74.3% 9.7% 15.0% 2.5% 2.2% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 11.3% 3.2%
4 Feb 2018 FOM 73.3% 10.0% 15.9% 3.2% 2.5% 2.0% 11.4% 3.2%
28 Jan 2018 FOM 75.0% 9.5% 13.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 9.9% 3.0%

Least favorite for president

Date Poll source Nobody Difficult to answer
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Suraykin
11 Mar 2018 FOM 6.2% 15.0% 17.7% 14.7% 57.0% 8.9% 8.5% 8.3%
25 Feb 2018 FOM 7.5% 13.1% 14.9% 14.2% 57.2% 7.9% 7.9% 6.9% 22.3% 5.7%
22 Feb 2018 FOM 6.2% 13.5% 16.0% 15.4% 57.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.2% 22.3% 5.6%
11 Feb 2018 FOM 6.1% 10.7% 14.9% 13.9% 58.5% 6.7% 7.5% 6.5% 22.1% 6.2%
4 Feb 2018 FOM 6.7% 10.2% 16.7% 16.8% 58.6% 7.9% 20.8% 6.3%
28 Jan 2018 FOM 6.5% 8.5% 15.5% 16.0% 59.0% 6.4% 21.0% 5.6%

Early opinion polls

Polls conducted before the completion of the official registration of candidates.

Date Poll source Other Undecided Abstention
Putin Medvedev Matviyenko Shoygu Sobyanin Zyuganov Grudinin Prokhorov Zhirinovsky Mironov Yavlinsky Kasyanov Navalny Rogozin Khodorkovsky Sobchak Titov Gordon
8 Feb 2018 Ksenia Sobchak and Maxim Suraykin registered as presidential candidates[1][2]
7 Feb 2018 Sergey Baburin, Boris Titov and Grigory Yavlinsky registered as presidential candidates[3][4][5]
6 Feb 2018 Vladimir Putin registered as a presidential candidate[6]
4 Feb 2018 FOM 66.3% 5.5% 6.5% 0.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.9% 11.2% 7.6%
29 Jun –
4 Feb 2018 		WCIOM 71.4% 6.9% 5.7% 0.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.7% 9.2% 3.2%
26-31 Jan 2018 FBK 60% 5% 5% <1% <1% <1% 2% 25%
27-28 Jan 2018 FOM 69% 6% 6% 1% 1% 0% 0% 9% 7%
26–28 Jan 2018 WCIOM 69.9% 7.2% 5.9% 0.9% 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 9.2% 3.7%
21 Jan 2018 FOM 67% 6% 6% 1% 1% 0% 1% 9% 8%
15-18 Jan 2018 FBK 62% 6% 6% <1% <1% <1% 2% 21%
15 Jan 2018 WCIOM 73.2% 6.1% 6.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.6% 5.6% 5.5%
14 Jan 2018 FOM 65.9% 6.2% 6.0% <1% 1.5% <1% 1.1% 7.9% 9.1%
12 Jan 2018 Pavel Grudinin registered as a presidential candidate[7]
8–10 Jan 2018 WCIOM 54.3% 5.1% 2.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 13.6% 4.0%
27–30 Dec 2017 CIPKR 58% 7% 3% >1% 2% >1% 2% 17% 7%
29 Dec 2017 Vladimir Zhirinovsky registered as a presidential candidate[8]
25 Dec 2017 CEC rejects Alexei Navalny’s presidential bid[9]
23–24 Dec 2017 FOM 68% 4% 7% 1% 1% 0% 1% 7% 9%
23 Dec 2017 Pavel Grudinin announces his intention to run
18 Dec 2017 Election campaign begins
15–17 Dec 2017 WCIOM 58.7% 2.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 12% 7%
15 Dec 2017 Federation Council appoints the presidential election
11 Dec 2017 FOM 67% 4% 8% 1% 1% 0% 1% 8% 8%
6 Dec 2017 Vladimir Putin announces his intention to run
1–5 Dec 2017 Levada Centre 61% 6% 8% 2% 1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 9%
4 Dec 2017 ROMIR 60% 5.6% 6.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0% 2.4% 1.6% 1% 8% 11%
3 Dec 2017 FOM 68% 4% 7% 1% 1% 0% 1% 8% 8%
26 Nov 2017 Boris Titov announces his intention to run
FOM 68% 4% 7% 1% 1% 3% 9% 9%
24–28 Nov 2017 Levada Centre 53% 1% 3% 4% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 15% 11%
11–12 Nov 2017 FOM 68% 4% 7% 1% 2% 2% 8% 8%
4–5 Nov 2017 FOM 68% 4% 7% 1% 1% 2% 7% 8%
20–24 Oct 2017 Levada Centre 53% <1% 1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 20% 11%
18 Oct 2017 Ksenia Sobchak announces her intention to run
15–19 Sep 2017 Levada Centre 52% <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% 1% 1% 23% 9%
18–22 Aug 2017 Levada Centre 48% <1% 1% 2% 2% <1% <1% 1% 1% 24% 10%
28 Jul 2017 FOM 66% 4% 1% 8% 1% 2% 9% 9%
19–22 May 2017 Levada Centre 63% 3% 6% 1% 1% <1% 2% 14% 9%
10 May 2017 FOM 62% 5% 1% 9% 1% 1% 10% 9%
28 Apr 2017 FOM 62% 5% 1% 9% 0% 1% 10% 9%
21–24 Apr 2017 Levada Centre 48% 1% 1% 3% <1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 19% 13%
7 Apr 2017 FOM 66% 4% 1% 10% 1% 1% 8% 8%
1 Mar 2017 FOM 67% 4% 1% 9% 1% 1% 8% 8%
17 Feb 2017 FOM 66% 4% 1% 9% 1% 1% 7% 10%
30 Jan 2017 FOM 65% 4% 1% 10% 1% 1% 8% 9%
22 Jan 2017 FOM 65% 4% 1% 11% 1% 1% 7% 9%
30 Dec 2016 FOM 67% 4% 1% 8% 1% 1% 8% 9%
23 Dec 2016 FOM 65% 5% 1% 9% 1% 1% 7% 10%
16 Dec 2016 FOM 66% 5% 1% 10% 1% 1% 6% 9%
13 Dec 2016 Alexey Navalny announces his intention to run
9 Dec 2016 FOM 66% 5% 1% 10% 1% 0% 7% 9%
2 Dec 2016 FOM 65% 5% 1% 10% 1% 1% 7% 9%
25 Nov 2016 FOM 63% 5% 1% 11% 1% 1% 7% 9%
18 Nov 2016 FOM 62% 5% 1% 11% 1% 1% 8% 10%
11 Nov 2016 FOM 63% 5% 1% 10% 1% 1% 7% 10%
28 Oct 2016 FOM 64% 5% 1% 11% 1% 1% 8% 8%
28 Oct 2016 Vladimir Zhirinovsky announces his intention to run
21 Oct 2016 FOM 63% 5% 1% 13% 1% 1% 7% 8%
14 Oct 2016 FOM 62% 5% 1% 12% 1% 1% 7% 9%
7 Oct 2016 FOM 62% 5% 1% 11% 1% 1% 8% 9%
30 Sep 2016 FOM 62% 4% 1% 12% 1% 1% 8% 9%
18 Sep 2016 Legislative election
10 Sep 2016 FOM 59% 6% 1% 11% 2% 1% 9% 9%
19 Aug 2016 FOM 62% 6% 2% 9% 2% 1% 9% 9%
22 Jul 2016 FOM 64% 5% 1% 9% 2% 1% 8% 9%
5 Jun 2016 FOM 66% 5% 1% 9% 1% 1% 7% 9%
18 Apr 2016 FOM 67% 8% 1% 5% 1% 1% 7% 9%
16–18 Apr 2016 CIMES 49.3% 1.8% 8.3% 2.5% 8.1% 0.6% 3.9% 1.9% 6.4%
19–20 Mar 2016 FOM 70% 2% 5% 2% 7% 1% 1% 7% 9%
28 Feb 2016 Grigory Yavlinsky announces his intention to run
22–25 Feb 2016 Levada Centre 53% <1% 2% 4% <1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 17% 11%
7 Feb 2016 FOM 71% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% 7% 8%
3–5 Nov 2015 CIMES 60.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 7.3% 0.7% 3.2% 2.6% 6.4%
22–25 August 2014 Levada Centre 57% 1% <1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 23% 12%
24–25 May 2014 WCIOM 68% 2% 1% 7% 0% 5% 1% 5% 0% 0% 0% 5% 7%
10–11 May 2014 WCIOM 66% 4% 0% 7% 0% 5% 2% 4% 0% 1% 1% 3% 7%
23 Feb 2014 WCIOM 42% 3% 0% 13% 1% 7% 2% 6% 1% 1% 2% 8% 13%
6 Oct 2013 WCIOM 46% 3% 1% 7% 1% 8% 3% 9% 2% 1% 1% 6% 12%
15 May 2013 FoRGO 46.8% 8.1% 4.8% 7.0% 1.9% 5.4% 9.8% 13.5%
4 Mar 2012 2012 Result 63.6% 17.2% 8.0% 6.2% 3.9%

Subnational polls

Moscow

Date Poll source Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Suraykin
23 Feb - 1 Mar 2018 FBK 44% 6% 4% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 41%

Chukotka Autonomous Okrug

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 71.7% 8.0% 8.0% 0.8% 6.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 2.9%

Jewish Autonomous Oblast

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 62.1% 8.7% 9.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 0.7% 1.0% 3.2% 11.2%

Magadan Oblast

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 56.1% 9.7% 10.1% 0.8% 4.0% 0.8% 2.9% 0.0% 0.5% 5.0% 10.1%

Kamchatka Krai

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 60.0% 12.4% 10.4% 1.1% 3.9% 0.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.7% 4.5% 3.3%

Sakhalin Oblast

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 56.4% 9.6% 10.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 0.0% 0.6% 1.0% 16.9%

Amur Oblast

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 63.0% 11.0% 11.5% 1.1% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 7.1%

Yakutia

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 69.8% 5.1% 8.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.9% 1.6% 11.5%

Khabarovsk Krai

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 56.2% 8.9% 12.0% 2.0% 0.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 1.8% 15.8%

Primorsky Krai

Date Poll source Other Undecided
Putin Grudinin Zhirinovsky Yavlinsky Sobchak Titov Baburin Gordon Suraykin
7–9 Jan 2018 Black Cube 58.0% 12.2% 12.8% 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 2.7% 8.7%

Impact of 2017 protests

See also: 2017 Russian protests

On March 26, 2017, protests against alleged corruption in the federal Russian government took place simultaneously in many cities across the country. They were triggered by the lack of proper response from the Russian authorities to the published investigative film He Is Not Dimon To You by Alexei Navalny, which has garnered more than 20 million views on YouTube. The Levada Center survey showed that 38% of surveyed Russians supported protests and that 67 percent held Putin personally responsible for high-level corruption.[10] A new wave of mass protests has been announced for June 12, 2017.

The Levada Center also conducted another survey, which was released on the April 6, 2017, showing Navalny's recognition among the Russian population at 55%. Out of all voters, 2% would "definitely" and 7% "perhaps" vote for him in the presidential election.[11]

References

  1. ^ Ксения Собчак зарегистрирована кандидатом в президенты России
  2. ^ ЦИК зарегистрировал Максима Сурайкина кандидатом в президенты России
  3. ^ "ЦИК зарегистрировал Бабурина кандидатом на пост президента" (in Russian). РИА Новости. 2018-02-07. Retrieved 2018-02-07.
  4. ^ "ЦИК зарегистрировал Титова кандидатом на пост президента" (in Russian). РИА Новости. 2018-02-07. Retrieved 2018-02-07.
  5. ^ "ЦИК зарегистрировал Явлинского кандидатом на пост президента" (in Russian). РИА Новости. 2018-02-07. Retrieved 2018-02-07.
  6. ^ ЦИК зарегистрировал Владимира Путина кандидатом в президенты
  7. ^ "ЦИК зарегистрировал выдвинутого КПРФ Грудинина кандидатом в президенты". ТАСС (in Russian). Retrieved 2018-01-17.
  8. ^ "Жириновский стал первым официально зарегистрированным кандидатом в президенты". РИА Новости (in Russian). 2017-12-29. Retrieved 2018-01-17.
  9. ^ "Navalny Calls For Election Boycott As Commission Blocks His Presidential Bid". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2018-01-17.
  10. ^ "Alexei Navalny: Is Russia's Anti-Corruption Crusader Vladimir Putin's Kryptonite?". Newsweek. April 17, 2017.
  11. ^ "Protests on March 26 and Navalny". Levada Center. April 6, 2017.

External links

Opinion polling for elections and referendums in Russia
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