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2012 United States presidential election polling
← 2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016 →
Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available).
  Barack Obama
218
183
  Difference within the margin of error
130
  No data*
13

(270 electoral votes needed to win)

* 2 of Maine's congressional electoral votes and 2 of Nebraska's congressional electoral votes have not been polled.

Light shading indicates old polling data.
Incumbent before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

President-elect

Barack Obama
Democratic


2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 2008 2012 2016 →

Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 53% 7 1080 LV ±3.0%
YouGov October 31–November 3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52% 8 702 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 52% 9 469 LV ±5.4%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) October 4–10, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 42% 2 523 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling October 1–3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 53% 9 595 LV ±4.0%
Moore Information/HighGround (R) Archived 2012-10-03 at the Wayback Machine September 25–26, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 46% 4 500 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 52% 10 500 LV ±4.5%
Purple Strategies September 15–19, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 51% 10 628 LV Not reported
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 53% 9 993 ±3.1%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
The Arkansas Poll October 9–14, 2012 Obama 31% Romney 58% 27 642 LV ±4%
Talk Business/Hendrix College September 17, 2012 Obama 34.5% Romney 55.5% 21 2228 LV ±2%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 40% 15 1,575 LV Not reported
Field Research October 17–30, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39% 15 1,566 LV ±2.6%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies October 21–28, 2012 Obama 55.9% Romney 33% 22.9 2,115 LV ±3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint October 15–21, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 38% 17 1,400 LV Not reported
Public Policy Institute of California October 14–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 41% 12 993 LV ±4.0%
Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 11–15, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 38% 15 508 LV ±5.1%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 39% 19 1169 LV ±3.5%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies October 7–10, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 32.9% 21.1 830 LV ±3.4%
SurveyUSA October 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 539 LV ±4.3%
Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll) September 5 – 17, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 34% 24 848 LV ±3.4%
Public Policy Institute of California September 9 – 16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 995 LV ±4.4%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 1,361 LV Not reported
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies September 9–12, 2012 Obama 55.4% Romney 33.4% 22 802 LV ±3.5%
SurveyUSA September 9–11, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 35% 22 524 LV ±4.3%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 774 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 1,096 LV ±3%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs November 2–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 603 LV ±4%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 676 LV ±4.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) October 31–November 4, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 44% 1 400 LV ±5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 47% 2 973 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 752 LV ±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 1,052 LV ±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 825 LV Not reported
Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 47% 1 694 LV ±4.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA October 28–31, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 695 LV ±3.8%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 26–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 764 LV ±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 46% 1 744 LV ±4.1%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,246 LV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
American Research Group October 25–28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 904 LV ±3.3%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine October 23–25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs October 23–24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 502 LV ±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 23–24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 1,128 LV ±2.9%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 500 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1000 LV ±3.1%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
We Ask America October 15, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 1,206 LV ±2.9%
Gravis Marketing October 5–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 2,089 LV ±2.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA October 9–10, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 614 LV ±4.0%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 1,254 LV ±3.0%
American Research Group October 5–8, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
University Of Denver/Selzer & Co. October 4–5, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43% 4 604 LV ±4.0%
American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) Archived 2013-01-13 at the Wayback Machine September 30 – October 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 300 LV ±5.7%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,273 LV ±2.8%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 940 LV ±3.2%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 971 LV ±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 17, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-19 at the Wayback Machine September 11–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,497 LV ±2.5%
American Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) September 10–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 503 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,001 LV ±3.1%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 4% 6 740 ±3.2%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39% 15 895 LV ±3.6%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 42% 13 1,220 LV ±2.8%
Quinnipiac University October 19–22, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 41% 14 1,412 LV ±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5%
SurveyUSA October 19–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 40% 13 575 LV ±4.2%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 1,015 LV ±3.1%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant October 11–16, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 37% 14 574 LV ±4.0%
Siena College Research Institute October 4–14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 38% 15 552 LV ±4.2%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 434 LV ±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-10-04 at the Wayback Machine September 28 – October 2, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42% 12 1,696 LV ±2.4%
Public Policy Polling September 24 – 26, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 41% 13 801 LV ±3.5%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant Archived 2012-10-24 at the Wayback Machine September 11 – 16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 32% 21 508 LV ±4.4%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 40% 13 634 LV Not reported

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 Obama 88% Romney 8% 80 1,222 LV ±2.8%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4–5, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 1,060 LV ±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 769 LV ±4%
Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage November 4, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 52% 5 437 LV ±4.6%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 955 LV ±3.2%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 743 LV ±4.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 525 LV ±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 946 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 1,621 LV ±3%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 985 LV ±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 800 LV ±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,545 LV ±2.5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 51% 6 800 LV ±3.5%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 48.9% Romney 49.8% 0.9 1,146 LV ±3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-11-03 at the Wayback Machine October 30, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 549 LV ±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 1,000 LV ±3%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 600 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 687 LV ±3.7%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 25–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 50% 1 770 LV ±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 23–28, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,073 LV ±3%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA October 25–27, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 595 LV ±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 24–27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 800 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4.0%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 48.8% Romney 49.7% 0.9 1,182 LV ±2.8%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service October 22–24, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 51% 5 1,001 LV ±3.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 18–21, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 800 LV ±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 51% 5 502 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 18, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 51% 5 750 LV ±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 17–18, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 1,130 LV ±3.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA October 17–18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 600 LV ±4.1%
WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 800 LV ±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 17–18, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 17–18, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 681 LV ±4.0%
Gravis Marketing October 13–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 617 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 791 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 11, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 51% 4 750 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group October 8–11, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,244 LV ±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Archived 2012-10-13 at the Wayback Machine October 8–10, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 51% 7 800 LV ±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 7–9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 988 ±3.1%
University of North Florida October 1–9, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 653 LV Not reported
We Ask America October 4, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 1,200 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 4, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 30 – October 1, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,191 LV ±3.3%
Gravis Marketing September 29 – 30, 2012 Obama 49.03% Romney 48.42% 0.61 914 LV ±3.4%
WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk University September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage September 24, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 540 LV ±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 18 – 24, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 1,196 LV ±3.0%
Washington Post September 19–23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 769 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 861 LV ±3.3%
American Research Group September 20–22, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4%
Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 17–19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 800 LV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company September 16–18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 829 LV ±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 15–16, 2012 Obama 47.1% Romney 47.7% 0.6 1,728 LV ±2.5%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,415 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 12, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 8–12, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 48% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 9–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 980 LV ±3.1%
Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R) September 8–11, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 42% Tied 606 LV ±4.0%
Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 9–10, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 596 LV ±4.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 2, 2012 Obama 46.7% Romney 48% 1.3 1,288 LV ±2.7%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,548 LV ±2.5%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead Margin Sample Size Margin of error
We Ask America September 18, 2012 Barack Obama 49.1% Mitt Romney 45.5% Gary Johnson 1.3% 3.6% 1,230 LV ±2.82%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52% 8 1,070 LV ±3.5%
20/20 Insight October 29–31, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 1,316 LV ±2.7%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA October 25–28, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52% 8 574 LV ±4.2%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution/Abt SRBI October 8–11, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 51% 8 706 LV ±5.0%
Fox 5 Atlanta/Insider Advantage September 18, 2012 Obama 35% Romney 56% 21 483 LV ±4.5%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 51% 7 1,020 LV Not reported

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group October 24–26, 2012 Obama 61% Romney 34% 27 1,218 LV ±2.8%
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group September 26–28, 2012 Obama 62% Romney 30% 32 1,648 LV ±2.4%

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 8–10, 2012 Obama 27% Romney 63% 36 625 LV ±4%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 38% 19 1,126 LV ±3.3%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 41% 16 1,198 LV ±2.95%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 38% 20 850 LV ±3.9%
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune October 4–8, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 36% 19 700 RV ±3.7%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 36% 23 1,086 LV Not reported
We Ask America Archived 2012-12-01 at the Wayback Machine September 5, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 37% 17 1,382 LV ±2.8%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 51% 7 768 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 1, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 52% 9 600 LV ±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 		October 28–30, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 51% 10 800 LV ±3.5%
Pharos Research Group October 26–28, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 55% 13 753 LV ±3.5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) October 24–25, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 55% 14 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 10–11, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 54% 13 600 LV ±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group 		September 19–23, 2012 Obama 40% Romney 52% 12 800 LV ±3.5%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 50% 5 628 LV ±4.0%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 1,122 LV ±2.9%
American Research Group November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 600 LV ±4%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,040 LV ±3.5%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) November 1–2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. October 30 – November 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 800 LV ±3.5%
Gravis Marketing November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 594 LV ±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 48.8% Romney 47.3% 1.5 1,174 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 750 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling October 29–30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 676 LV ±3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 1,142 LV ±3%
University of Iowa October 18–27, 2012 Obama 44.4% Romney 45.2% 0.8 320 LV ±5.6%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 517 LV ±4.3%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 690 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 18–19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 660 LV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling October 17–19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 869 LV ±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 15–17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 1,137 LV ±2.9%
We Ask America October 15, 2012 Obama 48.7% Romney 45.9% 2.8 1,499 LV ±2.6%
American Research Group October 11–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America September 25–27, 2012 Obama 47.5% Romney 43.7% 3.8 1,064 LV ±3.1%
Public Policy Polling September 24–26, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 754 LV ±3.6%
American Research Group September 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 19, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 42% 8 898 LV ±3.3%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

See also: Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § Kansas

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Survey USA September 11–13, 2012 Obama 39% Romney 53% 14 606 LV ±4.1%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Magellan Strategies October 2 – 4, 2012 Obama 36.2% Romney 58.8% 22.6 2,682 LV ±1.9%
Clarus Research Group September 5 – 7, 2012 Obama 37% Romney 53% 16 602 LV ±4.0%

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center November 1–3, 2012 Obama 53.3% Romney 42.2% 11.1 905 LV ±3.26%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 42% 13 1,633 LV ±2.4%
Critical Insights October 30–31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 613 LV ±4%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group September 24–28, 2012 Obama 50.8% Romney 36.8% 14 400 LV ±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 25, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 40% 12 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 17–18, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 39% 16 804 LV ±3.5%

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 37% 22 705 LV ±4.1%
OpinionWorks October 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 36% 19 801 LV ±3.5%
Washington Post October 11 – 15, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 36% 24 843 LV ±4.0%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 37% 21 498 LV ±5.2%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies September 17–23, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 36% 19 813 RV ±3.5%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 37% 20 800 LV ±4.1%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 37% 20 811 LV ±3.6%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 42% 15 1,089 LV ±3%
MassLive.com/Western New England University October 26 – November 1, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 40% 18 535 LV ±4%
Suffolk University Archived 2012-11-03 at the Wayback Machine October 25 – 28, 2012 Obama 63% Romney 31% 32 600 LV ±4.0%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire October 24 – 28, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 38% 14 583 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 40% 19 500 LV ±4.5%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2012-10-29 at the Wayback Machine October 21 – 22, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 36% 20 516 LV ±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting[permanent dead link] October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 39% 16 761 LV ±3.48%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 39% 18 709 LV ±3.7%
Public Policy Polling October 9 – 11, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 41% 14 1,051 LV ±3.0%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 36% 19 669 LV ±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 10, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 42% 15 500 LV ±4.5%
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov October 2 – 8, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 34% 21 437 LV ±5.4%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2012-10-21 at the Wayback Machine October 5 – 7, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 36% 16 501 LV ±4.4%
Western New England University September 28 – October 4, 2012 Obama 63% Romney 33% 30 516 RV ±4.3%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2013-01-14 at the Wayback Machine September 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 32% 28 504 LV ±4.4%
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation September 25–30, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 34% 26 405 RV ±4.6%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire September 21 – 27, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 30% 27 502 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 24, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 40% 15 500 LV ±4.5%
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell September 13 – 17, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 36% 24 497 LV ±5.5%
Public Policy Polling September 13 – 16, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 39% 18 876 LV ±3.3%
Suffolk University Archived 2012-09-20 at the Wayback Machine September 13 – 16, 2012 Obama 64% Romney 31% 33 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 39% 16 825 LV Not reported
MassLive.com/Western New England University September 6 – 13, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 38% 22 444 LV ±4.6%
Kimball Political Consulting September 7 – 9, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 40% 16 756 LV ±3.5%

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mitchell Research & Communications November 4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 1,305 LV ±2.7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 47% 5 502 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 700 LV ±3.7%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,091 LV ±3.3%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting November 2, 2012 Obama 46.24% Romney 46.86% 0.62 1,913 LV ±2.24%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 47% 5 750 LV ±4%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 41% 7 500 LV ±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 500 LV ±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 45% 8 500 LV ±4.4%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group October 27–29, 2012 Obama 47.7% Romney 45% 2.7 600 LV ±4%
EPIC-MRA October 26–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 42% 6 600 LV ±4%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting October 22–23, 2012 Obama 46.92% Romney 46.56% 0.36 1,122 LV ±2.9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 551 LV ±4.2%
EPIC-MRA October 17, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 800 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 11, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 42% 10 895 LV ±3.9%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research October 9–10, 2012 Obama 44.2% Romney 40.5% 3.7 600 LV ±4.0%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[permanent dead link] October 6 – 8, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing October 5 – 8, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 1,122 LV ±3.2%
EPIC-MRA October 4 – 6, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting October 5, 2012 Obama 49.3% Romney 45.85% 3.45 1,122 LV ±2.93%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 39.9% 12.1 1,064 LV ±3.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 21 – 22, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46.2% 3.8 804 LV ±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 20, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42% 12 500 LV ±4.5%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 17–19, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 1021 LV ±3.1%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 14–18, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 754 LV ±3.5%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine September 15–17, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 38% 14 600 LV ±4%
Marketing Resource Group September 10–14, 2012 Obama 47.5% Romney 42.3% 5.2 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 1114 LV Not reported
Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & Associates September 12, 2012 Obama 45.49% Romney 43.65% 1.84 1,156 LV ±2.88%
EPIC-MRA September 8–11, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 37% 10 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 815 LV ±3.4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 45% 8 1,164 LV ±2.9%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA November 1–3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 41% 11 556 LV ±4.2%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 790 LV ±3.8%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 772 LV Not reported
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) October 29–31, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.38%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA October 26–28, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 574 LV ±4.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 23–25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 800 LV ±3.5%
St. Cloud State University October 15–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 45% 8 601 LV ±5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-10-21 at the Wayback Machine October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 40% 10 550 LV ±4.3%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 683 LV ±4.2%
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) October 7 – 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43% 4 500 LV ±4.38%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 43% 10 937 LV ±3.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 10–11, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 824 LV ±3.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-09-13 at the Wayback Machine September 6–9, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 40% 10 551 LV ±4.3%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

See also: Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § Mississippi

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 53% 8 835 LV ±3.4%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 53% 11 779 LV ±3.8%
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USA October 28 – November 3, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 50% 7 589 LV ±4.1%
We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 42.2% Romney 53.8% 11.6 1,217 LV ±2.9%
Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 54% 13 624 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling October 19 – 21, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 582 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 12 – 13, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 54% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Wenzel Strategies October 12 – 13, 2012 Obama 41.1% Romney 54.9% 13.8 1,000 LV ±3.07%
Public Policy Polling October 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 51% 6 700 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 44.5% Romney 47.7% 3.2 1,145 LV ±2.9%
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies September 20, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 50% 6 817 LV ±3.4%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 50% 7 734 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 11, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 52% 7 836 LV ±3.4%
Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 29–31, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 625 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 806 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 14, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 53% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 8 – 10, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 52% 11 737 LV ±3.6%
Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D) September 23 – 26, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 48% 4 600 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 50% 5 656 LV ±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Research & Polling September 19, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 51% Gary Johnson 2% 9 625 RV ±4%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
We Ask America November 1, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 54% 13 1,178 LV ±2.95%
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-10-31 at the Wayback Machine October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 38% Romney 52% 14 800 LV ±3.5%
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-09-25 at the Wayback Machine September 17 – 20, 2012 Obama 40% Romney 51% 11 800 LV ±3.5%

2nd Congressional District

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-10-31 at the Wayback Machine October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 49% 5 679 LV ±3.8%
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-09-25 at the Wayback Machine September 17 – 20, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 44% Tied Not reported Not reported

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 750 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 732 LV ±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 29–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 600 LV ±4%
Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA October 23–29, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,212 LV ±2.9%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 27–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 500 LV ±4.4%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 955 LV ±3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 23–24, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,042 LV ±3%
Public Policy Polling October 22–24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 636 LV ±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group October 19 – 22, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 15–17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 600 LV ±4.0%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 500 LV ±4.4%
Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA October 11–15, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 806 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 15, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 358 LV ±6.7%
Public Policy Polling October 8–10, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 594 LV ±4%
KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-14 at the Wayback Machine October 6–9, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA October 3–8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,222 LV ±2.9%
Gravis Marketing October 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,006 LV ±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 984 LV ±3.1%
American Research Group September 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R) September 19 – 20, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 500 LV ±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) September 18 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 501 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 14–18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 741 LV ±3.5%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
WeAskAmerica September 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 52.5% Mitt Romney 42% Gary Johnson 2.3% 10.5 1,152 LV ±3.1%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 750 LV ±4%
New England College November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 687 LV ±3.7%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 1,550 LV ±2.5%
American Research Group November 2–4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 600 LV ±4%
University of New Hampshire November 1–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 48% 3 789 LV ±3.5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43% 4 690 LV ±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 502 LV ±4.4%
Gravis Marketing November 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 497 LV ±4.3%
New England College October 29–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 1,017 LV ±3.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,013 LV ±3.1%
Public Policy Polling October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 874 LV ±3.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) October 24 – 28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 400 LV ±5%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 24 – 25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
New England College October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 571 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group October 19 – 22, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) October 18 – 22, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 400 LV ±4.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-11-12 at the Wayback Machine October 17 – 21, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 773 LV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling October 17 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 1,036 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 15, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
7 News/Suffolk University October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.4%
American Research Group October 9 – 11, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire September 30 – October 6, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 559 LV ±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39% 15 600 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4.0%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D) September 24–25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 862 LV ±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,012 ±3.1%
New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) Archived 2012-09-27 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 600 LV ±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 18, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group September 15–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 463 LV Not reported
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 42% 6 340 LV Not reported
WMUR/University of New Hampshire September 4–10, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 40% 5 592 LV ±4.0%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 41% 12 987 LV ±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 41% 10 601 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac University October 10 – 14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 1,319 LV ±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research October 4 – 8, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 40% 11 604 LV ±4.0%
Rutgers University September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 645 LV ±3.8%
Monmouth University September 19 – 23, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 37% 15 613 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 40% 12 1,040 LV Not reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research September 9–12, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 37% 14 600 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-07 at the Wayback Machine August 27 – September 2, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,471 LV ±2.6%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 650 LV Not reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 41% 8 500 LV ±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. October 23–25, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 41% 9 662 LV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 727 LV Not reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[usurped] October 21–22, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 500 LV ±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. October 9–10, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 39% 10 658 LV ±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 8, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 43% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 2–3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 778 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 27, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 40% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) September 25–27, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 40% 7 500 LV ±4.38%
NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine September 17 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 3,111 LV ±1.8%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 293 LV Not reported
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) September 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 42% 11 1,122 LV ±2.9%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. September 3–6, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 40% 5 667 LV ±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Opinion Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 41% Gary Johnson 6% 8 500 LV ±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. October 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 41% Gary Johnson 5% 9 662 LV ±3.8%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. October 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 39% Gary Johnson 6% 10 658 LV ±3.8%
We Ask America September 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 50.9% Mitt Romney 40.6% Gary Johnson 3.9% 10.3 1,258 LV ±2.58%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. September 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 40% Gary Johnson 7% 5 667 LV ±3.8%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 36% 23 1,430 LV ±2.8%
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 62% Romney 33% 29 554 LV ±4.1%
Siena College October 22 – 24, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 35% 24 750 LV ±3.6%
Marist College October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 61% Romney 35% 26 565 LV ±4.1%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 35% 24 1,142 LV ±3.2%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-14 at the Wayback Machine September 4–9, 2012 Obama 62% Romney 34% 28 1,486 LV ±2.5%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 1,130 LV ±2.9%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 926 LV ±3.2%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 1,500 LV ±2.8%
Public Policy Polling October 29 – 31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 730 LV ±3.6%
High Point University October 22–30, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 46% 1 403 LV ±5%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA October 26–29, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 50% 5 682 LV ±3.8%
Elon University October 21 – 26, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 45% Tied 1,238 LV ±2.79%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 880 LV ±3.3%
Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 53% 8 1,723 LV ±2.4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23 – 24, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R) October 20–21, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 17 – 18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 17, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 1,084 LV ±3.0%
North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R) October 12–13, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 49% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 810 LV ±3.9%
University of North Carolina/High Point University September 29 – October 10, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 605 RV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 51% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing October 6–8, 2012 Obama 41.2% Romney 49.9% 8.7 1,325 LV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 51% 4 500 LV ±4.5%
Survey USA September 29 – October 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 573 LV ±4.2%
American Research Group September 28 – 30, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 981 LV ±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23–25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,035 LV ±3.0%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R) September 18–19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 600 RV ±4%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15–19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 600 LV ±4%
FOX 8/High Point University September 8–13, 15–18, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 448 RV ±4.7%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 48% 2 1,060 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 13, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 51% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,087 LV ±3.0%
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA September 4–6, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 500 RV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – Sept 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 1,012 LV ±3.1%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 40% Romney 54% 14 625 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 17 – 18, 2012 Obama 40% Romney 54% 14 600 LV ±4.0%
Forum Communications/Essman Research October 12 – 15, 2012 Obama 32% Romney 57% 25 500 LV ±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 3 – 5, 2012 Obama 40% Romney 54% 14 625 LV ±4.0%
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D) September 24 – 27, 2012 Obama 39% Romney 51% 12 600 LV ±4.0%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4–5, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,316 LV ±2.7%
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 680 LV ±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 750 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 47% 5 1,000 LV ±3.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 48% 3 572 LV ±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 712 LV ±4.2%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA November 1–4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 803 LV ±3.5%
University of Cincinnati October 31 – November 4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 901 LV ±3.3%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 1,031 LV ±3.5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,620 LV ±3%
Columbus Dispatch October 24 – November 3, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 1,501 LV ±2.2%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) November 1–2, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 500 LV ±4.4%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 1,012 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 750 LV ±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 971 LV ±3.1%
We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 50.2% Romney 45.8% 4 1,649 LV ±2.6%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 796 LV ±3.5%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 1,281 LV ±2.7%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 29 – 30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4.0%
University of Cincinnati October 25 – 30, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,141 LV ±2.9%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) Archived 2014-08-24 at the Wayback Machine October 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,000 LV ±3%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28 – 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 26 – 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 603 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 28, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4%
Pharos Research October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46.3% 2.7 765 LV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 718 LV ±3.7%
CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 23 – 28, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 1,100 LV ±3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine October 27, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 730 LV ±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 600 LV ±4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 741 RV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
TIME/Abt SRBI October 22 – 23, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 783 LV ±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 750 LV ±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research (D) Archived 2013-05-24 at the Wayback Machine October 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati October 18 – 23, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 1,015 LV ±3.1%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 20 – 22, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 609 LV ±4.1%
Suffolk University October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 600 LV ±4.0%
CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 17–20, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 1,548 LV ±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 550 LV ±4.2%
Public Policy Polling October 18–20, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 532 LV ±4.3%
Gravis Marketing October 18 – 19, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 1,943 LV ±2.2%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 17–18, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 1,131 LV ±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 17, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 750 LV ±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 47% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 12–15, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 42% 3 613 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling October 12–13, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 880 LV ±3.3%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 851 LV ±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 10, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 750 LV ±4.0%
Gravis Marketing October 6 – 10, 2012 Obama 45.1% Romney 45.9% 0.8 1,313 LV ±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 7 – 9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 994 LV ±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 5 – 8, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 44% 1 808 LV ±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 5–8, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 722 LV ±3.5%
American Research Group October 5 – 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 4–5, 2012 Obama 47.3% Romney 48% 0.7 1,072 LV ±2.96%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 1,000 LV ±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 30 – October 1, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 931 LV ±3.2%
Public Policy Polling September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 897 LV ±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch[permanent dead link] September 19 – 29, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 1,662 LV ±2.2%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 18 – 24, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 43% 10 1,162 LV ±3.0%
Washington Post September 19 – 23, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 759 LV ±4.5%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine September 21 – 22, 2012 Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3% 0.9 594 LV ±4.3%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati September 13 – 18, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 861 LV ±3.3%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company September 16–18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 1,009 LV ±3.0%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 14–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 2,890 LV Not reported
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 13–15, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 1,036 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 12, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
American Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 9–12, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 979 LV ±3.1%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 1,072 LV ±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 7–8, 2012 Obama 47.27% Romney 43.19% 4.08 1,548 LV ±2.7%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 2, 2012 Obama 43.7% Romney 46.8% 3.1 1,381 RV ±2.9%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
We Ask America October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 47% Gary Johnson 1% 1 1,200 LV ±3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine September 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 38% Gary Johnson 11% 7 594 LV ±4.3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine September 7–8, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 5% 2 1,548 LV ±2.7%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
SoonerPoll October 18 – 24, 2012 Obama 33% Romney 59% 26 305 LV ±5.6%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 921 LV ±3.2%
Elway Research October 25 – 28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 41% 6 405 LV ±5%
Hoffman Research October 24 – 25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 615 LV ±3.9%
Survey USA October 16 – 18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 579 LV ±4.2%
Survey USA September 10–13, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 41% 9 552 LV ±4.3%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,060 LV ±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2 – 4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 479 LV Not reported
Public Policy Polling November 2 – 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 790 LV ±3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 430 LV ±5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 1,273 LV ±3.3%
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. October 29–31, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 800 LV ±3.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,000 LV ±3%
Franklin & Marshall College October 23–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 547 LV ±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. October 23–25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 600 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing October 21, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 887 LV ±3.3%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College October 17 – 21, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 444 LV ±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[permanent dead link] October 18 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 42% 10 559 LV ±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 1,000 LV ±3%
Quinnipiac University October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,519 LV ±2.5%
Public Policy Polling October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 500 LV ±4.4%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College October 10 – 14, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 438 LV ±5.0%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 967 LV ±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 1,000 LV ±3%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. October 4–8, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 42% 2 600 LV ±4%
Siena College October 1 – 5, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 40% 3 545 LV ±4.2%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College September 22–26, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 427 LV ±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 18–24, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42% 12 1,180 LV ±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall College September 18–23, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 392 LV ±4.9%
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. September 18–20, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 800 LV ±3.46%
Mercyhurst University September 12–20, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 40% 8 522 LV ±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 19, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 39% 12 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America September 18, 2012 Obama 48.1% Romney 42.2% 5.9 1,214 LV ±2.8%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 17–18, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 40% 12 2,051 LV ±2.2%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) September 15–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 800 LV ±3.46%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College September 10–16, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 41% 9 640 LV ±4.0%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 1,139 LV Not reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. September 9–12, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 39% 11 600 LV ±4%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Margin Sample size Margin of error
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. October 4 – 6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% Gary Johnson 3% 2 725 LV ±3.64%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Margin Sample size Margin of error
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) October 11–13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 49% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 4 1,376 LV ±2.64%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates October 24–27, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 33% 21 601 LV ±4%
Brown University September 26 – October 5, 2012 Obama 58.2% Romney 32.3% 25.9 471 LV ±4.4%
WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates September 26–29, 2012 Obama 57.3% Romney 33.1% 24.2 501 LV ±4.38%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

See also: Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § South Carolina

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § South Carolina

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling October 31 – November 4, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 53% 12 633 LV ±3.90%
Nielson Brothers Polling October 28–31, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 50% 8 671 LV ±3.78%
Nielson Brothers Polling August 29 – September 6, 2012 Obama 39% Romney 54% 15 509 LV ±4.34%
Nielson Brothers Polling July 19–23, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 49% 6 541 LV ±4.21%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 53% 11 697 LV ±4%
Middle Tennessee State University October 16 – 21, 2012 Obama 34% Romney 59% 25 609 LV ±4%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 52% 9 484 LV ±5%
YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 50% 8 694 LV Not reported

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 38% Romney 57% 19 1,563 LV ±3.2%
University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGov October 15 – 21, 2012 Obama 39% Romney 55% 16 540 LV ±4.22%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 55% 14 958 LV ±4.5%
Texas Lyceum September 10 – 26, 2012 Obama 39% Romney 58% 19 443 LV ±4.66%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research September 9–11, 2012 Obama 40% Romney 55% 15 1,000 LV ±3.1%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & Associates October 26 – November 1, 2012 Obama 26% Romney 69% 43 870 LV ±3.4%
Brigham Young University/Key Research October 9–13, 2012 Obama 20% Romney 71% 51 500 LV ±4.4%
InsiderAdvantage October 8–13, 2012 Obama 21% Romney 74% 53 Not reported ±7.6%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § Vermont

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 828 LV ±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 975 LV ±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 662 LV ±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 947 LV ±3.6%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,497 LV ±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College November 1–2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,165 LV ±2.9%
Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 1,065 LV ±3.4%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 800 LV ±3.4%
We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 48.5% Romney 47.6% 0.9 1,069 LV ±3%
Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 792 LV ±4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 30 – 31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,000 LV ±3%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 23 – 28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,074 LV ±3%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) October 25–27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 807 LV Not reported
Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine October 26, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 645 LV ±3.9%
Roanoke College October 23–26, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 49% 5 638 LV ±4%
The Washington Post October 22–26, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 1,228 LV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 23–24, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 47% 2 1126 LV ±3.0%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 23 – 24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 722 LV ±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 800 LV ±3.46%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 18 – 19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 750 LV ±4.0%
Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University Archived 2012-10-25 at the Wayback Machine September 19 – October 17, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 465 LV ±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 733 LV ±3.6%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0%
American Research Group October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Kimball Political Consulting October 12 – 13, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 54% 11 696 LV ±3.7%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 743 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 11, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 750 LV ±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) October 8–9, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 51% 7 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 7–9, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 981 LV ±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 1,288 LV ±2.7%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 1,000 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling October 4–7, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 725 LV ±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 1, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 30 – October 1, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 969 LV ±3.1%
Roanoke College September 19 – 28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 39% 8 589 LV ±4.0%
American Research Group September 24 – 27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 17–19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 2,770 LV ±1.9%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 1,006 LV ±3.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,474 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 1,021 LV ±3.1%
Washington Post September 12–16, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 847 LV ±3.5%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 753 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 13, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 9–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 996 LV ±3.1%
Gravis Marketing September 8–9, 2012 Obama 44.04% Romney 49.39% 5.35 2,238 LV ±2.2%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Margin Sample size Margin of error
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% Virgil Goode 1% 2 1,126 LV ±3%
We Ask America October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% Gary Johnson 2% 3 1,200 LV ±3%
We Ask America September 17, 2012 Barack Obama 48.5% Mitt Romney 45.7% Gary Johnson 1.1% 2.8 1,238 LV ±2.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Constitution % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC 12 (WWBT-Richmond)/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-01 at the Wayback Machine September 24 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% Gary Johnson 1% Virgil Goode 1% 2 600 LV ±4%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Constitution % Green % Sample size Margin of error
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 19–20, 2012 Barack Obama 47.1% Mitt Romney 49.2% Gary Johnson 0.4% Virgil Goode 0.3% Jill Stein 0.4% 1,000 LV ±3.07%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 837 LV Not reported
Public Policy Polling November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 46% 7 932 LV ±3.2%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA October 28 – 31, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 555 LV ±4.2%
KCTS9/University of Washington Archived 2012-11-04 at the Wayback Machine October 18 – 31, 2012 Obama 57.1% Romney 36.4% 20.7 632 LV ±3.9%
Strategies 360 October 17 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 39% 13 500 LV ±4.4%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 574 LV Not reported
KCTS9/University of Washington October 1–16, 2012 Obama 51.9% Romney 42.9% 9 644 LV ±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 14, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 42% 13 500 LV ±4.5%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 543 LV ±4.3%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 748 LV ±4.3%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA September 28 – 30, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 36% 20 540 LV ±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 26, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 41% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
Gravis Marketing September 21–22, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 625 LV ±4.6%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 880 LV Not reported
Elway Research September 9–12, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 36% 17 405 RV ±5.0%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) September 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 42% 11 563 LV Not reported
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 38% 16 524 LV ±4.4%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § West Virginia

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 2 – 3, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 48% 3 1,256 LV ±2.8%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 46% 7 482 LV ±4.5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,225 LV ±3.1%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) November 1–2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 42% 6 500 LV ±4.4%
We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 51.5% Romney 44.8% 6.7 1,210 LV ±3%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,074 LV ±3%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,000 LV ±3%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 29–30, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 825 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tie 750 LV ±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,065 LV ±3%
St. Norbert College October 25–29, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 402 LV ±5%
Marquette Law School October 25–28, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 1,243 LV ±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tie 500 LV ±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 24–25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 43% 5 500 LV ±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 827 LV ±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 469 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 17–18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 15 – 17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 625 LV ±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 15 – 17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 1,013 LV ±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,000 LV ±3%
Marquette Law School October 11–14, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 870 LV ±3.4%
YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 638 LV ±4.9%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,327 LV ±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 49% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,000 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling October 4 – 6, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 979 LV ±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 1, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,000 LV ±3.0%
JZ Analytics September 29–30, 2012 Obama 48.9% Romney 38.8% 10.1 414 LV ±4.9%
Marquette Law School September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 42% 11 894 LV ±3.3%
Public Policy Polling September 18 – 19, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 842 LV ±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16 – 18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 968 LV ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 17, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 1,485 LV ±3.0%
Marquette Law School September 13–16, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 601 LV ±4%
YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 753 LV Not reported
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D) September 12–13, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 959 LV ±3.16%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
We Ask America September 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 52.5% Mitt Romney 41.0% Gary Johnson 1.2% 12 1,238 LV ±2.8%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%

No polls conducted

See also

External links

(← 2008) 2012 United States presidential election (2016 →)
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