Over at m:Wikimedia Foundation Annual Plan/2015-16#Wikimedia Foundation Risks (which has a talk page) and wmf:2015-2016 Annual Plan##Wikimedia Foundation Risks (which does not), the Wikimedia Foundation included the following in the list of "advancement" risks to the entire project's goals and future:


Below, I've laid out why this is not a "risk" but a reality already, and what to do about it.

This risk already came to pass a long time ago

Wikipedia's adminship system is a dismal failure (on en.wp, anyway). Hardly anyone wants to be an admin any more, the community sorely abuses most applicants (unless they are near-noobs who've never ruffled a single feather, but don't really know what they're doing), experienced admins are leaving, and a good ol' boys' club of ancient admins with a wiki-aristocracy mindset are increasingly in control. Administrative backlogs are piling up, with basic maintenance (see the CfD backlog for example) lagging months behind. Well-meaning admins shy away from anything that smacks of controversy out of fears that they'll make hounding enemies that the community and the arbitration system will never really do anything about. Meanwhile a few admins who revel in playing cop do nothing useful, but spend all their time in dramaboards looking for people to block and ban. Add to this the fact that external special interests (government of Pakistan, etc., etc.) are planting "long game" CIVILPOV editors who become admins and then help gradually warp content to suit external agendas by favoring the desired side in disputes, and you have an overall recipe for very predictable, very obvious disaster.

The Arbitration Committee, while several changes in membership and attitude have eased some of the community's distrust of and scorn for it, is a legalistic morass more interested in nit-picky proceduralism, despite WP:NOT#BUREAUCRACY, and no one ever goes there unless they're desperate or stupid. Their WP:AE "enforcement" corps (they actually named it that? with a straight face?) and its "discretionary sanctions" (read: admins just punish whoever they like any way they like on no grounds other than what the topic is) is a Judge Dredd "I am the law!" farce, and almost entirely unaccountable, because neither the admin pool nor ArbCom will ever contradict what another member of "the brotherhood" does unless the abuse is so glaring they community will not let them get away with ignoring it.

The Mediation Committee is useless and toothless. Virtually no one ever uses it (other than to perpetuate a fight and refuse to abide by the mediation). It should either be shut down, or given ArbCom-level authority to require compliance (and be able to take cases that are internal as well as content-based). A guard dog with no teeth and no voice is just a pet.

The other dispute resolution systems are hidebound in their refusal to ever address anything but article content disputes, so the worst and most disruptive behavior problems on WP, not to mention the long-term "sneaky abuse" ones, like special interests trying to shift WP policy, never get addressed.

Bureaucrats (they actually named them that? with a straight face?) basically have nothing left to do, and no one cares to be one or vote for them any longer.

Wikiprojects are increasingly owned effectively by whoever is the most charismatic + tendentious, and they are increasingly trying to behave like independent sovereign entities, WP:LOCALCONSENSUS policy be damned.

What other "leadership" is there on Wikipedia? We have some people who help shape opinion by writing Signpost articles; others who seek to polish content in the Good Article nomination and Featured Article candidacy processes (the latter of which is also turning into a corrupt, walled garden); others who watchlist and shepherd our policies and guidelines, on the alert for innocuous-looking but ill-conceived alterations; people who actually go to real-world wikiconferences, editathons, and other WP/WMF focused meetings to network, plan, and get stuff done; a shrinking pool of serious, overworked admins trying to do the right thing (mostly, we hope); and a large stockpile of competent, long-term, community- and project-focused editors, most of whom would not touch adminship with a ten-foot (approx. metre-long) pole.

We're not fixing it

It's become painfully clear over the last decade that virtually no one is satisfied with the current adminship system, and that most of them even agree on what the problems are and how to fix them, in the abstract, but that nothing will be done internally by the community to fix it. Every single reform proposal of any kind is stillborn for three primary reasons:

The last of these is the important one, since changing it or working around it will make the other two irrelevant, because the entire existing admin pool would be vastly outvoted. A decade has proven, however, that the community fears cannot be assuaged. It's genuinely pathological: The worse the situation gets, the worse the anxiety about and resistance to reform gets.

It's already proven remarkably successful to unbundle various admin "bits", like template-editor (a bit upon which much of my best WP work depends). This points the way.

The solution: WMF mandates that the community devise an alternative system, within certain constraints, in a timely fashion

The solution is obviously for WMF to take the same approach it took with ArbCom: Require the community to come up with a reformed administration system, by a specific date (give it 1 year, no more) or be subject to one being imposed on them. Further, require that the solution have some requisite features. I'm not sure what all of them should be, but the obvious ones are the following:

What we'd gain

The results of this reform would be:

If WMF doesn't do something like this, en.wikipedia is headed for a lot of trouble.  — SMcCandlish ¢ ≽ʌⱷ҅ʌ≼  10:07, 25 January 2016 (UTC) (originally posted at Meta)