2022 Florida gubernatorial election

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Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, 2020.jpg
3x4.svg
Nominee Ron DeSantis TBD
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeanette Nuñez TBD

Incumbent Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican



The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is running for reelection to a second term.

The gubernatorial primary elections will take place on August 23, 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic candidates[a]

Potential lieutenant governor candidates

Failed to qualify

Did not file

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Notable individuals
Nikki Fried
State legislators
Notable individuals
Organizations
Annette Taddeo (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Other
[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics February 7 – June 17, 2022 June 20, 2022 40.0% 23.3% 36.7% Crist +16.7
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Annette
Taddeo
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] August 12–14, 2022 – (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 37% 16%
University of North Florida August 8–12, 2022 529 (LV) ± 6.0% 43% 47% 5%[d] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 8–9, 2022 664 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 35% 23%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2022 1,361 (LV) ± 2.7% 56% 24% 20%
Kaplan Strategies July 6, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 39% 39% 22%
GBAO (D)[A] June 23–26, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 34% 11%
St. Pete Polls June 16–17, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 24% 27%
Global Strategy Group (D)[B] June 8–13, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 34% 29%
June 6, 2022 Taddeo withdraws from the race
St. Pete Polls May 2–3, 2022 1,859 (LV) ± 2.3% 52% 19% 5% 24%
Sachs Media Group April 8–10, 2022 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 35% 20% 4% 41%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 271 (RV) ± 6.0% 27% 19% 4% 8%[e] 44%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 27% 3% 26%
Alvarado Strategies (R)[C] February 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 36% 25% 6% 10% 23%
GBAO (D)[A] January 26–31, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 28% 7% 11%
56% 33% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] January 26–27, 2022 582 (LV) ± 4.1% 36% 34% 29%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 10–11, 2021 274 (LV) ± 5.9% 33% 36% 31%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 245 (RV) ± 6.3% 38% 27% 5% 30%
Political Matrix (R) June 9–11, 2021 660 (LV) ± 4.5% 41% 31% 29%
St. Pete Polls May 24–26, 2021 2,752 (RV) ± 1.9% 55% 22% 11% 12%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 232 (RV) ± 7.0% 53% 30% 17%[f]
SEA Polling (D)[D] April 15–20, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 26% 13% 34%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist
Democratic Candance Daniel
Democratic Nikki Fried
Democratic Robert Willis
Total votes

Independent and third-party candidates

Green Party

Withdrawn

Independent Party

Withdrawn

Libertarian Party

Declared

Declined

Independent candidates

Declared

Did not qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Write-ins

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[125] Likely R July 22, 2022
Inside Elections[126] Likely R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[127] Likely R January 26, 2022
Politico[128] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[129] Lean R January 10, 2022
Fox News[130] Likely R May 12, 2022
538[131] Likely R July 31, 2022

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis (R)
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Charlie Crist
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other
[g]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4, 2021 – August 12, 2022 August 16, 2022 49.4% 43.2% 7.4% DeSantis +6.2
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other Undecided
University of North Florida August 8–12, 2022 1,624 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 42% 6% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[E] July 26–31, 2022 2,244 (LV) ± 2.1% 47% 44% 9%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) May 27 – June 4, 2022 714 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 51%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[F] Mid-May 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 48% 5%
Phillips Academy May 7–9, 2022 543 (RV) ± 4.2% 36% 35% 30%
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 33% 18%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) February 23, 2022 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 56%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 685 (RV) ± 3.7% 55% 34% 11%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 43% 0% 8%
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 45% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 37% 5% 9%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 40% 4% 7%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 35% 18%
VCreek/AMG (R)[G] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 39% 2% 12%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 11–12, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 3–5, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
RMG Research August 21–28, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 36% 5% 9%
977 (LV) 48% 38% 5% 8%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 57%
Change Research (D)[H] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 6%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 3% 7%
Cherry Communications (R) July 26 – August 4, 2021 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2021 3,952 (LV) ± 1.6% 44% 45% 11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) June 21, 2021 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 45%
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 41% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
Other
[h]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4, 2021 – August 12, 2022 August 16, 2022 51.0% 41.4% 7.6% DeSantis +9.6
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
Other Undecided
University of North Florida August 8–12, 2022 1,624 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 43% 5% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[E] July 26–31, 2022 2,244 (LV) ± 2.1% 49% 43% 8%
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 27% 22%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) February 23, 2022 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 50%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 685 (RV) ± 3.7% 55% 32% 12%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 5%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 40% 0% 9%
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 42% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 35% 4% 8%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 37% 4% 7%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 46% 33% 21%
VCreek/AMG (R)[G] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 36% 5% 11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 3–5, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 48%
RMG Research August 21–28, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 38%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 36% 4% 11%
977 (LV) 48% 38% 3% 10%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 54%
Change Research (D)[H] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 44% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 40% 2% 7%
Cherry Communications (R) July 26 – August 4, 2021 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 42%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2021 3,952 (LV) ± 1.6% 45% 42% 13%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) June 21, 2021 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 61% 39%
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 10%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
St. Pete Polls March 22–24, 2021 1,923 (LV) ± 2.2% 45% 45% 10%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Annette
Taddeo (D)
Undecided
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 30% 22%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 37% 10%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 28% 25%
Ron DeSantis vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[E] July 26–31, 2022 2,244 (LV) ± 2.1% 48% 43% 9%
Data for Progress (D)[I] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 44% 14%
Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 38%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 54% 46%

Results

2022 Florida gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ron DeSantis (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Libertarian Hector Roos N/A
Independent Carmen Jackie Gimenez N/A
Independent Jodi Gregory Jeloudov N/A
Write-in N/A
Total votes 100.00% N/A

Notes

  1. ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Daniel with 4%; Willis with 1%
  5. ^ Freeman with 4%; "Someone Else" with 3%; Lionheart with 1%
  6. ^ 17% for Val Demings
  7. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Crist's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Fried's campaign
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Floridians For Economic Advancement
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Taddeo's campaign committee
  5. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
  6. ^ This poll was conducted for an undisclosed Republican client
  7. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  8. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  9. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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