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Johnson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bjorkman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in South Dakota |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on November 6, to elect the U.S. representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other statewide, legislative, and local elections.
Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kristi Noem did not run for a fifth term and instead ran successfully for Governor of South Dakota.[1] This is the first open seat election since 2004 and the first time a male candidate was elected since 2002. This would be the last House election that a Democrat contested, Johnson would face two different Libertarians in 2020 and 2022.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dusty Johnson |
Shantel Krebs |
Neal Tapio |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | May 21–23, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 23% | 13% | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dusty Johnson | 47,032 | 46.8 | |
Republican | Shantel Krebs | 29,442 | 29.3 | |
Republican | Neal Tapio | 23,980 | 24.0 | |
Total votes | 100,454 | 100 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[18] | Solid R | June 1, 2018 |
The Rothenberg Political Report[19] | Solid R | June 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe R | June 6, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dusty Johnson (R) |
Tim Bjorkman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) | November 2–4, 2018 | 851 | – | 51% | 41% | 5%[21] | – |
Emerson College | November 1–4, 2018 | 514 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 38% | – | 5% |
Mason-Dixon | October 18–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 31% | 3%[22] | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Johnson) | August 1–3 & 5, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 33% | – | 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Bjorkman) | July 19–20, 2018 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 33% | – | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dusty Johnson | 202,446 | 60.35% | -3.75% | |
Democratic | Tim Bjorkman | 120,816 | 36.01% | +0.11% | |
Independent | Ron Wieczorek | 7,313 | 2.18% | N/A | |
Libertarian | George D. Hendrickson | 4,896 | 1.46% | N/A | |
Total votes | 335,471 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |