All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

The next general election must take place by January 2025 as per provisions of the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022.

Polls

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		SNP Con Lab Lib Dems Green Reform Others Lead
26–27 Nov 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,054 34% 17% 36% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2%
20–26 Nov 2023 Ipsos 1,000 41% 16% 29% 7% 3% 4% 12%
29–30 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,092 32% 23% 32% 8% 2% 2% 3% Tie
6–11 Oct 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,002 35% 19% 35% 6% 4% Tie
2–6 Oct 2023 YouGov Fabians 1,028 33% 20% 32% 5% 5% 2% 1
2–5 Oct 2023 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,022 37% 18%% 33% 8% 4
4–5 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,094 34% 21% 32% 9% 2% 1% 2
5–14 Sep 2023 Opimium Tony Blair Institute 1,004 37% 18% 28% 8% 4% 4% 9
8–13 Sep 2023 YouGov The Times 1,000 38% 16% 27% 7% 6% 2% 11
2–4 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,100 35% 15% 35% 8% 4% 3 Tie
15–18 Aug 2023 Survation True North 1,022 32% 14% 30% 5% 4% 2
3–8 Aug 2023 YouGov 1,086 36% 15% 32% 6% 6% 2% 4
5–6 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,050 37% 17% 34% 7% 2% 1% 3
1–2 Jul 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,030 35% 21% 32% 7% 2% 1% 3
23–28 Jun 2023 Survation 1,863 37% 17% 34% 9% 4% 3
12–15 Jun 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,007 34% 18% 34% 7% 7% Tie
9–14 Jun 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,018 38% 17% 34% 7% 4% 4
3–5 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,466 37% 20% 28% 9% 3% 3% 9
15–21 May 2023 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,090 41% 16% 29% 6% 3% 4% 12
27 Apr – 3 May 2023 Survation True North 1,009 38% 18% 31% 9% 2% 4% 7
30 Apr – 1 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,295 35% 18% 32% 9% 3% 3% 3
17–20 Apr 2023 YouGov The Times 1,032 37% 17% 28% 8% 5% 2% 9
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 Survation N/A 1,001 40% 17% 32% 7% 1% 3% 8
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 36% 19% 31% 10% 2% 3% 5
28–31 Mar 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,009 39% 19% 33% 6% 4% 6
28–30 Mar 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,089 39% 19% 31% 5% 6% 8
27 Mar 2023 Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party
9–13 Mar 2023 YouGov Sky News 1,002 39% 16% 29% 6% 6% 3% 10
8–10 Mar 2023 Survation Diffley Partnership 1,037 40% 18% 32% 6% 2% 3% 8
7–10 Mar 2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,013 40% 16% 33% 6% 5% 7
2–5 Mar 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,050 39% 22% 29% 6% 2% 3% 10
17–20 Feb 2023 YouGov The Times 1,017 38% 19% 29% 6% 4% 4% 9
15–17 Feb 2023 Survation N/A 1,034 43% 17% 30% 6% 3% 13
15–17 Feb 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,004 42% 17% 32% 6% 3% 10
1–7 Feb 2023 Survation N/A TBA 42% 18% 29% 6% 13
23–26 Jan 2023 YouGov The Sunday Times 1,088 42% 15% 29% 6% 3% 5% 13
10–12 Jan 2023 Survation True North 1,002 43% 18% 29% 7% 2% 14
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023 Survation Scotland in Union 1,025 44% 16% 31% 6% 1% 13
16–21 Dec 2022 Savanta The Scotsman 1,048 43% 19% 30% 6% 2% 13
6–9 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times 1,090 43% 14% 29% 6% 4% 4% 14
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,045 51% 13% 25% 6% 3% 26
26–27 Nov 2022 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 41% 16% 31% 8% 2% 3% 10
7–11 Oct 2022 Panelbase Alba Party 1,000+ 42% 16% 30% 6% 2% 2% 12
5–7 Oct 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,017 45% 15% 30% 5% 4% 15
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 YouGov The Times 1,067 45% 12% 31% 7% 3% 2% 14
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 15% 30% 8% 1% 16
28–29 Sep 2022 Survation Scotland in Union 1,011 44% 15% 31% 6% 4% 13
17–19 Aug 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,133 44% 20% 23% 8% 5% 21
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,010 47% 19% 23% 8% 3% 24
23–28 Jun 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 18% 25% 8% 3% 21
23–29 May 2022 Ipsos STV News 1,000 44% 19% 23% 10% 3% 2% 21
18–23 May 2022 YouGov The Times 1,115 46% 19% 22% 6% 3% 3% 24
5 May 2022 Local elections held in Scotland
26–29 Apr 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,009 42% 21% 24% 7% 5% 18
25–31 Mar 2022 BMG Research The Herald 1,012 42% 19% 26% 6% 4% 2% 16
24–28 Mar 2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland 1,002 45% 19% 27% 6% 2% 18
1–4 Feb 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,128 44% 20% 24% 8% 2% 2% 20
15–22 Dec 2021 Opinium Daily Record 1,328 48% 17% 22% 7% 3% 4% 26
18–22 Nov 2021 YouGov The Times 1,060 48% 20% 18% 6% 3% 4% 28
9–12 Nov 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,000~ 48% 21% 20% 7% 4% 27
22–29 Nov 2021 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,107 52% 19% 17% 5% 3% 4% 33
22–28 Oct 2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman 1,005 48% 20% 22% 7% 3% 26
6–10 Sep 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 2,003 46% 22% 18% 7% 4% 3% 24
3–9 Sep 2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman 1,016 48% 22% 20% 7% 3% 26
2–8 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,014 51% 21% 18% 6% 4% 30
20 Aug 2021 Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,287 46% 24% 19% 6% 3% 2% 22
6 May 2021 2021 Scottish Parliament election[1] 47.7% 21.9% 21.6% 6.9% 1.3% 0.6% 25.8

Graphical Summary

LlA9C--polling-in-scotland-for-uk-general-election- (5).png

SCOOP Polling

The Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) is the Scottish Election Study's regular opinion poll of a representative sample of Scottish voting-age adults, running since December 2021. It is worded differently from mainstream polling and uses a slightly different methodology, Yougov have advised “… the voting intention results used slightly different wording and did not include YouGov’s standard turnout weighting and so should not be directly tracked to other YouGov voting intention figures as they are not identical. Instead, they should be tracked to other SCOOP voting intention polls conducted by the Scottish Election Study…“

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		SNP Con Lab Lib Dems Green Others Lead
20–25 Oct 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,200 24% 12% 28% 4% 3% 3% 4
9–13 Jun 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,200 24% 12% 26% 5% 3% 2% 2
10–15 Feb 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,239 29% 12% 27% 4% 2% 2% 2
22–25 Nov 2022 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,239 31% 11% 23% 6% 3% 2% 8

Target Seats

This table shows the winning Party for each Constituency in Scotland, as well as the second placed party and the % lead of winning party.

Constituency 2017
result 		2019 winning party Turnout[a] Votes
Party Votes Share Majority SNP Con Lab[b] LD Grn Brx Other[c] Total

Aberdeen North SNP SNP 20,205 54.0% 12,670 59.9% 20,205 7,535 4,939 2,846 880 1,008 37,413
Aberdeen South Con SNP 20,388 44.7% 3,990 69.4% 20,388 16,398 3,834 5,018 45,638
Airdrie and Shotts SNP SNP 17,929 45.1% 5,201 62.1% 17,929 7,011 12,728 1,419 685 39,772
Angus Con SNP 21,216 49.1% 3,795 67.5% 21,216 17,421 2,051 2,482 43,170
Argyll and Bute SNP SNP 21,040 43.8% 4,110 72.2% 21,040 16,930 3,248 6,832 48,050
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Con SNP 20,272 43.5% 2,329 64.7% 20,272 17,943 6,219 2,158 46,592
Banff and Buchan Con Con 21,182 50.1% 4,118 63.4% 17,064 21,182 1,734 2,280 42,260
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Con Con 25,747 48.4% 5,148 71.3% 20,599 25,747 2,513 4,287 53,146
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross LD LD 11,705 37.2% 204 67% 11,501 5,176 1,936 11,705 1,139 31,457
Central Ayrshire SNP SNP 21,486 46.2% 5,304 66.7% 21,486 16,182 6,583 2,283 46,534
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Lab SNP 22,680 47.0% 5,624 66.1% 22,680 6,113 17,056 1,564 808 48,221
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East SNP SNP 24,158 52.8% 12,976 69.35% 24,158 7,380 11,182 2,966 45,686
Dumfries and Galloway Con Con 22,678 44.1% 1,805 68.7% 20,873 22,678 4,745 3,133 51,429
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Con Con 22,611 46.0% 3,781 71.9% 18,830 22,611 4,172 3,540 49,153
Dundee East SNP SNP 24,361 53.8% 13,375 68.4% 24,361 10,986 6,045 3,573 312 45,277
Dundee West SNP SNP 22,355 53.8% 12,259 64.5% 22,355 5,149 10,096 2,468 1,271 240 41,579
Dunfermline and West Fife SNP SNP 23,727 44.4% 10,669 69.8% 23,727 11,207 13,028 4,262 1,258 53,482
East Dunbartonshire LD SNP 19,672 37.1% 149 80.3% 19,672 7,455 4,839 19,523 916 626 53,031
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow SNP SNP 26,113 46.4% 13,322 69.4% 26,113 11,961 12,791 3,760 1,153 559 56,337
East Lothian Lab SNP 21,156 36.2% 3,886 71.7% 21,156 15,523 17,270 4,071 493 58,513
East Renfrewshire Con SNP 24,877 44.9% 5,426 76.6% 24,877 19,451 6,855 4,174 55,357
Edinburgh East SNP SNP 23,165 48.4% 10,417 68.9% 23,165 6,549 12,748 3,289 2,064 47,815
Edinburgh North and Leith SNP SNP 25,925 43.7% 12,808 73.0% 25,925 11,000 13,117 6,635 1,971 558 138 59,344
Edinburgh South Lab Lab 23,745 47.7% 11,095 75.1% 12,650 8,161 23,745 3,819 1,357 49,732
Edinburgh South West SNP SNP 24,830 47.6% 11,982 70.9% 24,830 12,848 7,478 4,971 1,265 625 114 52,131
Edinburgh West LD LD 21,766 39.9% 3,769 75.2% 17,997 9,283 4,460 21,766 1,027 54,533
Falkirk SNP SNP 29,351 52.5% 14,948 66.1% 29,351 14,403 6,243 3,990 1,885 55,872
Glasgow Central SNP SNP 19,750 49.2% 6,474 57.9% 19,750 3,698 13,276 1,952 1,429 40,105
Glasgow East SNP SNP 18,357 47.7% 5,566 57.1% 18,357 5,709 12,791 1,626 38,483
Glasgow North SNP SNP 16,982 46.9% 5,601 63.3% 16,982 3,806 11,381 2,394 1,308 320 36,191
Glasgow North East Lab SNP 15,911 46.9% 2,548 55.5% 15,911 3,558 13,363 1,093 33,925
Glasgow North West SNP SNP 19,678 49.5% 8,359 62.7% 19,678 6,022 11,319 2,716 39,735
Glasgow South SNP SNP 22,829 48.1% 9,005 66.9% 22,829 6,237 13,824 2,786 1,251 516 47,443
Glasgow South West SNP SNP 17,643 47.9% 4,900 57.1% 17,643 4,224 12,743 1,435 802 36,847
Glenrothes SNP SNP 21,234 51.1% 11,757 63.2% 21,234 6,920 9,477 2,639 1,276 41,546
Gordon Con SNP 23,885 42.7% 819 70.2% 23,885 23,066 3,052 5,913 55,916
Inverclyde SNP SNP 19,925 48.4% 7,512 65.8% 19,295 6,265 11,783 2,560 39,903
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey SNP SNP 26,247 47.9% 10,440 70.2% 26,247 15,807 4,123 5,846 1,709 1,078 54,810
Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP SNP 24,216 50.8% 12,659 65.8% 24,216 11,557 9,009 2,444 405 47,631
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Lab SNP 16,568 35.2% 1,243 70.2% 16,568 9,449 15,325 2,903 1,628 1,132 47,005
Lanark and Hamilton East SNP SNP 22,243 41.9% 5,187 63.9% 22,243 17,056 10,736 3,037 53,072
Linlithgow and East Falkirk SNP SNP 25,551 44.2% 11,226 64.5% 25,551 14,285 10,517 4,393 1,184 1,257 588 57,775
Livingston SNP SNP 25,617 46.9% 13,435 68.3% 25,617 12,182 11,915 3,457 1,421 54,592
Midlothian Lab SNP 20,033 41.5% 5,705 66.4% 20,033 10,467 14,328 3,393 48,221
Moray Con Con 22,112 45.3% 413 66.3% 21,599 22,112 2,432 2,269 413 48,825
Motherwell and Wishaw SNP SNP 20,622 46.4% 6,268 68.4% 20,622 7,150 14,354 1,675 619 44,420
Na h-Eileanan an Iar SNP SNP 6,531 45.1% 2,438 68.6% 6,531 3,216 4,093 637 14,477
North Ayrshire and Arran SNP SNP 23,376 48.5% 8,521 65.5% 23,376 14,855 6,702 2,107 1,114 48,154
North East Fife SNP LD 19,763 43.1% 1,316 75.3% 18,447 5,961 1,707 19,763 45,878
Ochil and South Perthshire Con SNP 26,882 46.5% 4,498 73.4% 26,882 22,384 4,961 3,204 382 57,813
Orkney and Shetland LD LD 10,381 44.8% 2,507 67.7% 7,874 2,287 1,550 10,381 900 168 23,160
Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP SNP 23,353 47.0% 11,902 69.0% 23,353 11,217 11,451 3,661 49,682
Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP SNP 21,637 50.2% 10,769 66.9% 21,637 7,571 10,958 2,918 43,084
Perth and North Perthshire SNP SNP 27,362 50.6% 7,550 74.5% 27,362 19,812 2,471 3,780 651 54,076
Ross, Skye and Lochaber SNP SNP 19,263 48.3% 9,443 73.5% 19,263 6,900 2,448 9,820 710 728 39,869
Rutherglen and Hamilton West Lab SNP 23,775 44.2% 5,230 66.5% 23,775 8,054 18,545 2,791 629 53,794
Stirling Con SNP 26,895 51.1% 9,254 76.8% 26,895 17,641 4,275 2,867 942 52,620
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Con Con 22,752 42.7% 843 73.4% 21,909 22,752 2,431 6,253 53,345
West Dunbartonshire SNP SNP 22,396 49.6% 9,553 67.9% 22,396 6,436 12,843 1,890 867 708 45,140
Total for all constituencies Turnout Total
SNP Con Lab LD Grn Brx Other
Votes
68.1% 1,242,380 692,939 511,838 263,417 28,122 13,243 7,122 2,759,061
45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 100.0%
Seats
48 6 1 4 0 0 0 59
81% 10% 2% 7% 0% 0% 0% 100.0%

See also


Notes

  1. ^ Cite error: The named reference spoilts was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  2. ^ Cite error: The named reference co-op was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  3. ^ Cite error: The named reference includes was invoked but never defined (see the help page).

References

  1. ^ "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.

Category:Politics of Scotland Category:Opinion polling in Scotland Category:General elections in Scotland to the Parliament of the United Kingdom

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