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All 40[1] seats in the 49th House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador 21 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 60.6%[2] ( 5.4 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on May 16, 2019, to elect members of the 49th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.[3]
Despite consistent Progressive Conservative leads in polling towards the end of the campaign, including a nine-point lead in the final poll released a day before the election,[4] the Liberal Party led by Dwight Ball won re-election, but nonetheless fell one seat short of retaining their majority after an unexpected loss to the New Democrats in Labrador West originally in the initial count by five votes.[5] This resulted in the Liberals winning 20 seats, exactly half of the House of Assembly. A subsequent recount shortened the margin of victory in Labrador West to just two votes.[6][7][8][9][10][11][12]
Party | Votes | % | +/– | Seats | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 | Dissol. | 2019 | Change | ||||||
Liberal | 93,745 | 44.00 | -13.3 | 31 | 27 | 20 | -11 | ||
Progressive Conservative | 90,689 | 42.57 | +12.5 | 7 | 8 | 15 | +8 | ||
New Democratic | 13,434 | 6.31 | -5.8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | ||
NL Alliance | 5,086 | 2.39 | New | New | New | 0 | New | ||
Independents | 10,096 | 4.74 | +4.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2 | ||
Total | 213,050 | 100.00 | – | 40 | 40 | 40 | 0 | ||
Valid votes | 213,050 | 99.18 | |||||||
Invalid/blank votes | 1,757 | 0.82 | |||||||
Total votes | 214,807 | 100.00 | |||||||
Registered voters/turnout | 354,136 | 60.66 |
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 |
Liberal | Progressive Conservative | NDP | Ind |
The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:
Independent
New Democratic Party
Progressive Conservative Party
See also: 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador |
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Mount Pearl-Southlands | May 19, 2016[15] | Paul Lane | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus[a 1] | █ Independent | ||
Mount Pearl North | October 11, 2017[16] | Steve Kent | █ PC | Resignation[a 2] | November 21, 2017[17] | Jim Lester | █ PC |
Humber-Bay of Islands | April 26, 2018[18] | Eddie Joyce | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus[a 3] | █ Independent | ||
Mount Scio | April 30, 2018[19] | Dale Kirby | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus[a 3] | █ Independent | ||
Windsor Lake | August 21, 2018[20] | Cathy Bennett | █ Liberal | Resignation | September 20, 2018[21] | Ches Crosbie | █ PC |
Topsail-Paradise | November 1, 2018[22] | Paul Davis | █ PC | Resignation | January 24, 2019 | Paul Dinn | █ PC |
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Polling Firm | Last Day of Polling | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | NLA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | May 15, 2019 | 38 | 47 | 7 | ||
Mainstreet Research | May 14, 2019 | HTML | 41 | 45 | 8 | 3 |
Abacus Data | May 5, 2019 | HTML Archived 2019-07-19 at the Wayback Machine | 37 | 42 | 15 | |
Forum Research | May 4, 2019 | 40 | 42 | 13 | ||
MQO Research | May 4, 2019 | 48 | 36 | 11 | 2 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | February 24, 2019 | PDF Archived 2019-03-07 at the Wayback Machine | 45 | 38 | 16 | |
MQO Research | January 28, 2019 | 44 | 42 | 12 | ||
Mainstreet Research | January 14, 2019 | HTML | 42 | 43.3 | 11.5 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | November 24, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-12-16 at the Wayback Machine | 46 | 35 | 17 | |
Mainstreet Research | November 1, 2018 | HTML | 44.6 | 39.1 | 12.8 | |
MQO Research | October 26, 2018 | 47 | 35 | 16 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | August 30, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-09-06 at the Wayback Machine | 43 | 35 | 19 | |
MQO Research | August 2, 2018 | 44 | 38 | 16 | ||
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | HTML | 45.8 | 35.6 | 12.5 | |
Abacus Data | May 27, 2018 | HTML Archived 2018-06-03 at the Wayback Machine | 38 | 40 | 22 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | May 17, 2018 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 36 | 42 | 22 | |
MQO Research | May 13, 2018 | 44 | 36 | 16 | ||
Mainstreet Research | May 3, 2018 | HTML | 41.7 | 35.7 | 18.4 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | February 28, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-03-07 at the Wayback Machine | 41 | 33 | 24 | |
MQO Research | January 25, 2018 | 43 | 38 | 16 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | November 30, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-12-08 at the Wayback Machine | 44 | 33 | 19 | |
MQO Research | October 19, 2017 | 52 | 31 | 15 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | September 13, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-09-13 at the Wayback Machine | 40 | 33 | 24 | |
MQO Research | July 19, 2017 | 35 | 48 | 16 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | June 1, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 34 | 40 | 24 | |
MQO Research | April 26, 2017 | 37 | 39 | 23 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | February 28, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 33 | 39 | 26 | |
MQO Research | January 23, 2017 | 43 | 36 | 20 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | December 1, 2016 | PDF Archived 2016-12-20 at the Wayback Machine | 42 | 34 | 23 | |
Abacus Data | October 29, 2016 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 36 | 29 | 34 | |
MQO Research | October 22, 2016 | 40 | 31 | 27 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | August 31, 2016 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 34 | 33 | 32 | |
MQO Research | July 27, 2016 | 30 | 37 | 33 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | May 30, 2016 | PDF Archived 2016-06-24 at the Wayback Machine | 27 | 34 | 38 | |
MQO Research | April 21, 2016 | 37 | 30 | 31 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | March 9, 2016 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 66 | 23 | 11 | |
Election 2015 | November 30, 2015 | – | 57.2 | 30.1 | 12.1 |
Party Name | St. John's | Avalon/St. John's Metro | Central/Eastern | Western | Labrador | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parties winning seats in the legislature: | ||||||||
Liberal | Seats: | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | |
Popular Vote: | 15,989 | 24,884 | 29,040 | 19,344 | 4,489 | 93,746 | ||
Progressive Conservative | Seats: | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | |
Popular Vote: | 11,578 | 36,642 | 28,136 | 11,461 | 2,873 | 90,690 | ||
New Democratic | Seats: | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Popular Vote: | 9,704 | 1,321 | 0 | 1,043 | 1,364 | 13,432 | ||
Others | Seats: | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Popular Vote: | 406 | 6,703 | 2,482 | 4,988 | 603 | 15,182 |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Alliance | |||||||
Mount Scio 54.51% turnout |
Sarah Stoodley 1,981 41.68% |
Lloyd Power 1,769 37.21% |
Jason R. Mercer 597 12.56% |
Graydon Pelley[44] 406 8.54% |
Dale Kirby† | |||||
St. John's Centre 48.60% turnout |
Seamus O'Keefe 1,207 25.54% |
Jonathan Galgay 1,301 27.53% |
Jim Dinn 2,218 46.93% |
Gerry Rogers† | ||||||
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi 58.03% turnout |
George Murphy 2,072 33.38% |
David Porter 1,436 23.14% |
Alison Coffin[45] 2,699 43.48% |
Lorraine Michael† | ||||||
St. John's West 57.31% turnout |
Siobhan Coady 2,393 45.69% |
Shane Skinner[46] 2,211 42.22% |
Brenda Walsh[47] 633 12.09% |
Siobhan Coady | ||||||
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville 63.64% turnout |
Bernard Davis 2,761 44.25% |
Beth Crosbie[48] 2,217 35.53% |
Jenn Deon[49] 1,262 20.22% |
Bernard Davis | ||||||
Waterford Valley 52.54% turnout |
Tom Osborne 3,487 68.56% |
Matthew Cooper 1,599 31.44% |
Tom Osborne | |||||||
Windsor Lake 59.65% turnout |
Bob Osborne 2,088 38.47% |
Ches Crosbie 2,644 48.71% |
Tomás Shea 696 12.82% |
Ches Crosbie |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Alliance | Other | ||||||||
Cape St. Francis 71.40% turnout |
Michael Duffy 1,115 17.75% |
Kevin Parsons 4,539 72.24% |
Peter Beck 396 6.30% |
Ryan Lane 233 3.71% |
Kevin Parsons | |||||||
Conception Bay East – Bell Island 55.56% turnout |
Cyril Hayden 1,551 26.22% |
David Brazil[48] 4,365 73.78% |
David Brazil | |||||||||
Conception Bay South 61.85% turnout |
Kevin Baker 1,256 22.78% |
Barry Petten 3,447 62.52% |
Warrick Butler 810 14.69% |
Barry Petten | ||||||||
Mount Pearl North 57.88% turnout |
Nicole Kieley 2,196 37.20% |
Jim Lester 2,907 49.24% |
Carol Reade 358 6.06% |
William Neville 443 7.50% |
Jim Lester | |||||||
Mount Pearl-Southlands 65.71% turnout |
Hasan Hai 1,826 28.30% |
Gillian Pearson 1,590 24.64% |
David Brake 214 3.32% |
Paul Lane (Ind.) 2,823 43.75% |
Paul Lane | |||||||
Topsail-Paradise 54.75% turnout |
Patricia Hynes-Coates 1,650 28.95% |
Paul Dinn 3,476 60.98% |
Lori Best-Moore 574 10.07% |
Paul Dinn |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | |||||||
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde 66.57% turnout |
Steve Crocker 4,292 60.28% |
Jason Oliver 2,422 34.02% |
Kathleen Burt 353 4.96% |
Edward Thomas Cole (Ind.) 53 0.74% |
Steve Crocker | |||||
Ferryland 69.27% turnout |
Janice Ryan 2,350 34.95% |
Loyola O'Driscoll 4,074 60.59% |
Chris Molloy (Ind.) 300 4.46% |
Keith Hutchings† | ||||||
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave 71.18% turnout |
Pam Parsons 3,758 52.24% |
Glenn Littlejohn 3,408 47.56% |
Pam Parsons | |||||||
Harbour Main 69.85% turnout |
Betty Parsley 2,126 30.64% |
Helen Conway-Ottenheimer 4,169 60.08% |
Mike Cooze (NL Alliance) 643 9.27% |
Betty Parsley | ||||||
Placentia-St. Mary's 65.69% turnout |
Sherry Gambin-Walsh 2,764 47.39% |
Hilda Whelan 2,245 38.49% |
Steve Thorne (Ind.) 824 14.13% |
Sherry Gambin-Walsh |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | Alliance | ||||||
Bonavista 59.36% turnout |
Neil King 2,566 49.57% |
Craig Pardy[46] 2,611 50.43% |
Neil King | |||||
Burin-Grand Bank 65.70% turnout |
Carol Anne Haley 2,822 51.62% |
Bill Matthews 2,645 48.38% |
Carol Anne Haley | |||||
Placentia West-Bellevue 65.69% turnout |
Mark Browne 2,667 44.23% |
Jeff Dwyer 3,363 55.77% |
Mark Browne | |||||
Terra Nova 64.25% turnout |
Colin Holloway 2,595 43.47% |
Lloyd Parrott 2,876 48.17% |
Barry Moores 499 8.36% |
Colin Holloway |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | Other | ||||||
Baie Verte-Green Bay 59.96% turnout |
Brian Warr 2,809 49.73% |
Neville Robinson 1,872 33.14% |
Ben Callahan (NL Alliance) 968 17.14% |
Brian Warr | ||||
Exploits 64.65% turnout |
Jerry Dean 1,924 33.10% |
Pleaman Forsey 2,874 49.44% |
Gloria Cooper (Ind.) 1,015 17.46% |
Jerry Dean | ||||
Fogo Island-Cape Freels 52.10% turnout |
Derrick Bragg 2,811 54.31% |
Sue Collins 2,365 45.69% |
Derrick Bragg | |||||
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune 61.20% turnout |
Elvis Loveless 1,759 53.38% |
Charlene Walsh 1,536 46.62% |
Tracey Perry† | |||||
Gander 61.60% turnout |
John Haggie 3,311 58.57% |
Ryan Wagg 2,342 41.43% |
John Haggie | |||||
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans 60.75% turnout |
Al Hawkins 2,586 46.84% |
Chris Tibbs 2,935 53.16% |
Al Hawkins | |||||
Lewisporte-Twillingate 60.69% turnout |
Derek Bennett 3,190 54.00% |
Krista Freake 2,717 46.00% |
Derek Bennett |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | |||||||
Burgeo-La Poile 52.13% turnout |
Andrew Parsons 2,947 83.46% |
Deborah Ann Turner 584 16.54% |
Andrew Parsons | |||||||
Corner Brook 49.87% turnout |
Gerry Byrne 2,436 48.85% |
Tom Stewart 1,682 33.73% |
Mary B. Feltham 733 14.70% |
Wayne Bennett (Ind.) 136 2.73% |
Gerry Byrne | |||||
Humber-Gros Morne 68.11% turnout |
Dwight Ball 4,247 69.94% |
Greg Osmond 1,825 30.06% |
Dwight Ball | |||||||
Humber-Bay of Islands 62.65% turnout |
Brian Dicks 1,068 17.20% |
Michael Patrick Holden 659 10.61% |
Shawn A. Hodder 310 4.99% |
Eddie Joyce (Ind.) 4,172 67.19% |
Eddie Joyce | |||||
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows 64.85% turnout |
Chris Mitchelmore 3,474 61.16% |
Sheila Fitzgerald 2,036 35.85% |
Ford Mitchelmore (Ind.) 170 2.99% |
Chris Mitchelmore | ||||||
St. George's-Humber 60.23% turnout |
Scott Reid 2,691 50.17% |
Tom O’Brien 2,163 40.32% |
Shane Snook (NL Alliance) 510 9.51% |
Scott Reid | ||||||
Stephenville-Port au Port 55.06% turnout |
John Finn 2,481 49.67% |
Tony Wakeham 2,512 50.31% |
John Finn |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | |||||||
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair 58.80% turnout |
Lisa Dempster 1,132 67.22% |
Michael Normore (Ind.)[50][a] 552 32.78% |
Lisa Dempster | |||||||
Labrador West 54.21% turnout |
Graham Letto 1,362 42.07% |
Derick Sharron 509 15.73% |
Jordan Brown 1,364 42.16% |
Graham Letto | ||||||
Lake Melville 55.62% turnout |
Perry Trimper 1,517 45.84% |
Shannon Tobin 1,189 35.93% |
Jim Learning (Ind.) 603 18.22% |
Perry Trimper | ||||||
Torngat Mountains 55.24% turnout |
Randy Edmunds 478 43.42% |
Lela Evans 623 55.58% |
Randy Edmunds |
The Liberals lost their parliamentary majority.