Next Senedd election

← 2021 due on or before 7 May 2026

All 60 seats to the Senedd
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party
 
Leader Mark Drakeford Andrew RT Davies
Party Labour Conservative
Leader since 6 December 2018 24 January 2021
Leader's seat Cardiff West South Wales Central
Last election 30 seats 16 seats

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Adam Price Jane Dodds
Party Plaid Cymru Liberal Democrats
Leader since 28 September 2018 3 November 2017
Leader's seat Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Mid and West Wales
Last election 13 seats 1 seat

First Minister before election

Mark Drakeford
Labour

First Minister after election

TBD

The next Senedd election is due to be held in or before May 2026[1] to elect 60 members to the Senedd (Welsh Parliament; Welsh: Senedd Cymru). It will be the seventh devolved general election since the Senedd (formerly the National Assembly for Wales) was established in 1999. It will also be the second election since the Senedd changed its name in May 2020.

Opinion polling

Constituency vote

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem AWA Green Reform Other Lead
YouGov Barn Cymru 25 Feb1 Mar 2022 1,086 38% 24% 21% 6% 3% 5% 4% 14%
YouGov ITV Wales 13–16 Dec 2021 1,009 40% 23% 17% 4% 5% 7% 4% 17%
YouGov ITV Wales 13–16 Sep 2021 1,057 37% 27% 19% 5% 4% 5% 5% 10%
2021 Senedd election[2] 6 May 2021 39.9% 26.1% 20.3% 4.9% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 4.0% 13.8%

Regional vote

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Plaid Cymru Green Lib Dem AWA UKIP Reform Others Lead
YouGov Barn Cymru 25 Feb1 Mar 2022 1,086 34% 23% 20% 4% 6% 6% 1% 3%
2%
Gwlad on 1%
Propel on 0%
Other on 1%
11%
YouGov ITV Wales 13–16 Dec 2021 1,009 35% 22% 19% 7% 3% 6% 2% 5%
1%
Gwlad on 0%
Propel on 0%
Other on 1%
13%
YouGov ITV Wales 13–16 Sep 2021 1,057 33% 26% 19% 5% 4% 6% 4% 2%
1%
Gwlad on 0%
Propel on 0%
Other on 1%
7%
2021 Senedd election[2] 6 May 2021 36.2% 25.1% 20.7% 4.4% 4.3% 3.7% 1.6% 1.1% 2.9% 11.1%

See also

References

  1. ^ Owens, Cathy (8 September 2021). "What to expect from the next five years in Welsh politics | Cathy Owens". WalesOnline. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
  2. ^ a b Davies, Owain; Holzinger, Owen; McCarthy, Joanne; Jones, Helen (2021). Senedd Election 2021: Research Briefing (PDF). Senedd Research. p. 16.