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I would like to begin by apologising for writing a closing statement that's so much longer than the RfC question. Because the close was so finely balanced and nuanced, I wanted to give my reasons in full.
This intriguing RFC concerns whether our article on the last US presidential election should mention the allegation that Russia attempted to influence the outcome; and if so, where, and using what language. This is potentially controversial, and to avoid some foreseeable problems in future, I think it's really important that I'm clear about the scope of the discussion. The RfC question is clearly and intelligently worded. It's about whether the allegation that Russia tried to influence the election should be mentioned in the lede and/or the main body of the article. In other words, nothing in this RFC could possibly authorise anyone to say, suggest or imply that Trump won because Russia helped him win.
There's majority support to include the disputed wording, but not so much support that it's a slam dunk, and on the numbers alone, I think this might fall just a little way short of consensus. But it's inexcusably lazy to rely on the numbers in closing an RFC. Closers are also required to evaluate the weight of the arguments against Wikipedia's policies and guidelines.
In my view the available closes are (1) no consensus or (2) to include the disputed wording. It would not be reasonable to say there was a consensus against including it. But on Wikipedia, "no consensus" means the status quo ante continues to apply, so "no consensus" would mean not including the disputed wording for the time being. After reading the debate once, I formed the conclusion that this was a "no consensus" on the numbers, but a bit of additional weight accruing to the "include" side as a result of the strength of the arguments could tip it over into "consensus to include".
The choice between these options has to come down to the way I weigh the arguments against Wikipedia's policies and guidelines, and having read the discussion very carefully, I've got to say that this is really close. The "include" camp cites WP:WEIGHT, which is a subsection of a core content policy (WP:NPOV). The relevant section says: Neutrality requires that each article or other page in the mainspace fairly represent all significant viewpoints that have been published by reliable sources, in proportion to the prominence of each viewpoint in the published, reliable sources. Giving due weight and avoiding giving undue weight means that articles should not give minority views or aspects as much of or as detailed a description as more widely held views or widely supported aspects. The "include" side do clearly establish that the published, reliable sources give Russia's attempted intervention quite a lot of attention, so in this respect the "include" side accrues additional weight. (People who're inexperienced with Wikipedia may note that the "include" side also cite WP:DUE. This is actually a pointer to the same place as WP:WEIGHT -- they're alternative links to the same spot in the policy, so this is not a separate point.)
The "exclude" camp cites WP:SYNTH and WP:LEAD. WP:SYNTH is a reference to another of Wikipedia's core content policies (WP:NOR) and what it boils down to, is that on Wikipedia you can't combine reliable sources to make them point to a conclusion not contained in the sources themselves. As a closer, I don't agree that WP:SYNTH is violated here because the only claim that the "include" camp are trying to introduce is that Russia tried to influence the debate. That conclusion is attested in the sources. WP:LEAD, on the other hand, is a link to a guideline rather than a core content policy. The relevant part of WP:LEAD says: The lead should stand on its own as a concise overview of the article's topic. It should identify the topic, establish context, explain why the topic is notable, and summarize the most important points, including any prominent controversies. I read this particularly carefully because it's cited as a reason to exclude the disputed claim, but to my eyes, the guideline actually appears to support including it. I feel that yhis would count as a further influence in favour of the "include" camp.
WP:INTEGRITY is also cited by the "exclude" camp. It's again a link to a guideline rather than a core content policy but as guidelines go, this one (WP:CITE) is of absolutely central importance. What the relevant section actually says is If a sentence or paragraph is footnoted with a source, adding new material to that sentence without a new source—or without making sure it is supported by the existing source—is highly misleading. When new text is inserted into a paragraph, make sure it is supported. I asked myself whether the disputed wording really does violate this and I can't see where it does.
As a result I give the "include" side a little more weight on the basis of Wikipedia's policies and guidelines, and I think that just about edges it over into "include".
So I conclude that this RfC does authorise editors to add brief wording to the lede. This wording may indicate that US government bodies' position is that the Kremlin tried to influence the election. It may not in any circumstances say, suggest, or hint that Trump won the election because Russia helped him.
With my next edit, I will add the disputed paragraph to the article's lede. Editors are encouraged to improve the wording to make it clearer and more succinct, but please don't remove it entirely or use it as a platform for attacking Mr Trump.
This was an exceptionally difficult RfC to close because it was so finely balanced. Questions or comments are very welcome and should be directed to my talk page in the first instance. I hope this helps!—S MarshallT/C20:21, 3 March 2017 (UTC)[reply]
The following discussion is closed. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made on the appropriate discussion page. No further edits should be made to this discussion.
RFC on including Russian influence into the election
The following text has been suggested to be added to the article lede:
The United States government has accused the Russian government of interfering in the 2016 United States elections.[1] A joint US intelligence review stated with high confidence that, "Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the US presidential election. Russia’s goals were to undermine public faith in the US democratic process, denigrate Secretary Hillary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency."[2] Further, the US intelligence community stated "Putin and the Russian Government developed a clear preference for President-elect Trump."[3]
Reference list
The following discussion has been closed. Please do not modify it.
Support both as nom The article gives too little WP:Weight to what is one of the most important aspects of the election, which is possible interference by a foreign actor. An outside actor influencing or the belief among intelligence agencies that an outside actor is influencing an election would be given more weight in any election article where that is true. This should be no different. WP:WEIGHT demands greater weight be given and for this to be included.Casprings (talk) 19:08, 15 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose as it's impossible & will be impossible to determined if the hacks-in-question were decisive in Trump's victory. There's no way to prove that these hacks caused voters to turn to Trump/Pence & away from Clinton/Kaine. GoodDay (talk) 19:58, 15 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose The term "government" is ambiguous. There is a difference between statements by government officials and the government speaking in its official capacity. We would not say for example that it is the position of the U.S. government that Trump is unqualified for office, although the President said that. Also, only two of the three intelligence agencies had high confidence, one had medium confidence. TFD (talk) 20:11, 15 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
If you read the report, that is not true on the confidence. The NSA had moderate confidence on the motivation of the Russians. No agency had anything but high confidence that the Russians were behind the attach.Casprings (talk) 20:13, 15 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Thank you for the correction. However, it still does not support the statement that intelligence had high confidence that the Russians intended to help Trump, since the NSA had only medium confidence. TFD (talk) 02:22, 16 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
All agencies agreed that to the following "We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the US presidential election. Russia’s goals were to undermine public faith in the US democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency. We further assess Putin and the Russian Government developed a clear preference for President-elect Trump. We have high confidence in these judgments." The NSA only changed with the following: "We also assess Putin and the Russian Government aspired to help President-elect Trump’s election chances when possible by discrediting Secretary Clinton and publicly contrasting her unfavorably to him. All three agencies agree with this judgment. CIA and FBI have high confidence in this judgment; NSA has moderate confidence." See page ii.Casprings (talk)
Support in principle, though I could quibble with the wording. It doesn't actually say that Trump's victory was due to Russian interference, which of course we cannot say: but that the interference existed, and that we have to mention it per WP:DUE, seems undeniable. Vanamonde (talk) 07:02, 16 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support some manner of inclusion per WEIGHT. We should mention interference but be careful not to suggest it actually changed the outcome as there's not enough evidence or certainty for that yet. EvergreenFir(talk)08:32, 16 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support including the above sentence, as long as we accurately report the findings and do not say that the actions of Russia changed the outcome of the election. WP:Due is applicable here. Michelangelo1992 (talk) 22:04, 16 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support both - not clear on what the relevant oppose argument votes are. Clearly it's notable and one of the main phenomenon (whether true or not, whether influential or not) associated with the election. Whether the interference actually swayed any votes is completely beside the point. Everything in the proposed text is verifiable. The claims of non-verifiability are referencing some imaginary strawman.Volunteer Marek (talk) 04:34, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support both - EvergreenFir and Vanamonde said it best. This is clearly of historical significance (it is indeed unprecedented) and deserves a mention in the lead and the body. As VM points out, whether the interference swung the election or not is irrelevant Neutralitytalk04:46, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose - (1) Foul: The juxtaposed snippet at the end is clearly a WP:SYNTH editing rather than a connected quote, so it lacks WP:INTEGRITY to the source. (2) Not WP:LEAD worthy - this wasn't central or prominent to the campaign and voting process which is the article's topic, and is not predominant in the usual Google search. (3) Contrary to precedent: The similar 1996 Chinese 1996 United States campaign finance controversy is down in section 5.1 at United_States_presidential_election,_1996#Campaign_donations_controversy. (4) NPOV - a WP:NEUTRAL notice of an event is all that WP:LEAD indicates, this kind of positional phrasing detail would go somewhere in the body as it requires addition of other views on the topic, Trump or Putin for example, which will not fit. Overall the edit as proposed just does not suit. It's an unusual topic notable as sidelight about the election, similar to the 1996 Chinese efforts, but more as a small section in the body as it's not something that is prominently said or said to be a clear and major factor in the result. Markbassett (talk) 04:55, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
As we are entitled to our own opinions but not our own facts, the last sentence is a direct pull from the intel assessment. See page ii. The arguments on WP:SYNTH and WP:INTEGRITY are without merit, IMHO.
Casprings - Gee, the editor asserts he doesn't see the problem. But that's why you're here at RFC, and I'll explain in a bit more detail. Look, the text as proposed is not showing that as an attribution, another nit to fix for WP:CITE. What the proposal is showing is a problem of second source second quote that is clearly a WP:SYNTH synthesis (combining of pieces) with some joinery editing rather than a connected single quote or completely quoted sentences. This raises unnecessary WP:INTEGRITY concerns. You should have either proposed a connected single quote from a single source or to have done a paraphrase from multiple cites, not a mix-up of styles. Doing a mix back and forth of your phrasing then one quote then your phrasing the another quote is an unnecessary digression and an impropriety to the RS. I'll suggest that a clean paraphrase would be preferable, or to use attribution to ODNI report on a quote from them and to use Washington Post attribution on any conclusion from them. But avoid using multiple cites as sources for selecting snippets of ODNI words when direct sources are available, the WP:SWYRT is just not needed. Cheers Markbassett (talk) 21:46, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Markbassett I disagree. To me, this uses the language the intel community used to hit at the two major points from multiple WP:RS. 1. They intervened. 2. They did so in support of Trump. The two quotes are mentioned multiple times but are used from the primary to be as WP:N as possiable. That being said, I am certainly open to changing it, if that is the consensus. However, whatever the wording, more weight belongs in the article.Casprings (talk) 23:33, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Casprings - well the writer isn't expected to see agree to what criticism is. So long as you understand I object to having a construction of quote 1 saying it's from pg 11 of NYTimes and then your interjection and then quote 2 saying from Washington Post then I think you've received the comment. Markbassett (talk) 01:14, 19 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose – There is enough material in the article about this story, although that could be updated. The purported influence of any Russian hacking or propaganda campaign on election results is inconclusive. At best the lead could say "After the election, the US intelligence community and media ramped up allegations of a propaganda campaign from Russia against Hillary Clinton." — JFGtalk18:03, 15 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
The RFC was one to provide guidance to add it to a number of articles and templates. While the consensus was that this needs to be dealt with one article (or template) at a time, this continues to be what dominates the coverage of this election in WP:RS. As such, I believe it requires more WP:Weight. If you disagree, so be it. However, as the coverage continues to be dominated by Russian interference, so does the argument for more WP:Weight in the article.Casprings (talk) 02:16, 18 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support. Whether the outcome of the election was affected is unproven but immaterial. The important point is the conclusion of the relevant agencies that interference occurred. It places this election in a special position historically. It absolutely makes it appropriate for mention in the lead. It would be extraordinary for the lead not to mention it. --Mkativerata (talk) 05:44, 18 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support per Vanamonde, EvergreenFir and Mkativerata, and others. Whether it had an actual effect on the election is not relevant: various intelligence agencies have concluded that interference occurred and agree on its intent (all in RS), and this bit of text doesn't speculate beyond that. Besides, even if there was no impact on the election at all, the fact that a foreign power attempted to intervene in this election is highly significant, and definitely deserving of mention in the lede. The link to Russian (a dab page) needs to be fixed to a more appropriate link, although whether that's Government of Russia or some other link I'm not sure about, and I suggest that the text "interfering in the 2016 United States elections" all be wikilinked and piped to 2016 United States election interference by Russia. Ivanvector (Talk/Edits) 13:26, 19 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support – I opposed at Donald Trump as undue. However, I think the interference by a foreign power in the 2016 US presidential election certainly should be a part of an article on the 2016 US presidential election, whatever the effect may or may not have been. Coverage has been high in RS. Investigators include the FBI, the CIA, the NSA, the Justice Department, FinCEN, and representatives of the director of national intelligence.[1] Even Putin has entered the fray. That seems quite weighty. Objective3000 (talk) 17:46, 19 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose - User:Markbassett nails it in wikipedia policy, so to quote him as it is such a perfect interpretation - (1) Foul: The juxtaposed snippet at the end is clearly a WP:SYNTH editing rather than a connected quote, so it lacks WP:INTEGRITY to the source. (2) Not WP:LEAD worthy - this wasn't central or prominent to the campaign and voting process which is the article's topic, and is not predominant in the usual Google search. (3) Contrary to precedent: The similar 1996 Chinese 1996 United States campaign finance controversy is down in section 5.1 at United_States_presidential_election,_1996#Campaign_donations_controversy. (4) NPOV - a WP:NEUTRAL notice of an event is all that WP:LEAD indicates, this kind of positional phrasing detail would go somewhere in the body as it requires addition of other views on the topic, Trump or Putin for example, which will not fit. Overall the edit as proposed just does not suit. It's an unusual topic notable as sidelight about the election, similar to the 1996 Chinese efforts, but more as a small section in the body as it's not something that is prominently said or said to be a clear and major factor in the result. Govindaharihari (talk) 19:20, 19 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
1 - yes, 2 - no. Russian intervention is far too important not to be included, and will continue to receive coverage in reliable sources for decades to come. But the proposed language is non-neutral in two distinct ways. First, it's an undue amount of detail for a lead section. Second, the word "accused" is non-neutral language because this was not just an accusation, it was a conclusion after an in-depth investigation by multiple agencies. --Dr. Fleischman (talk) 20:40, 27 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support both - The intervention has been the most notable part of coverage since election day and the statement is well-sourced. Mizike (talk) 22:04, 27 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support both, however inserted text should take note of some of the comments here and be modified accordingly, per DrFleischman, Ivanvector and others. "The United States government" should be more specific, "Obama administration" or somesuch. Pincrete (talk) 21:35, 31 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose The lede is supposed to summarize the general gist of an article per WP:LEAD. I don't believe including this information would do that.. I'm neutral about including it in the article. Summoned by bot. Prcc27❄ (talk) 13:01, 7 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose inclusion in lede, support inclusion in body of article. I think this is UNDUE for the lede, though, has adequate sourcing in RS to include in the body. DarjeelingTea (talk) 22:02, 17 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Support both per WEIGHT. This topic has received a lot of coverage (a lot of RS) and is influential. If we include the latest as coverage of this issue, the White House using congressional intelligence chairmen and unnamed intelligence officials to contact reporters about newspaper coverage of Russian contacts. then this story is ongoing, and has been for awhile now. Steve Quinn (talk) 06:41, 26 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose paragraph for lede, support inclusion otherwise, and support a brief mention in the lede Until there is a firm determination of interference (we're still dealing with a lot of claims that are yet proven or disproven), putting that full para in the lede is undo, but its fine somewhere in in the article. But I do think the lede should have a brief mention of this, along with other criticism/problems about this election (marred by "fake news", electronic vote tampering, etc.) --MASEM (t) 02:56, 28 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Oppose paragraph for lede there were lots of things that potentially influenced the election, and there are plenty of other ones that are not in the lede that saw way more coverage even than this (grab by the pussy tape, clinton email controversy, FBI investigations of clinton, etc). InsertCleverPhraseHere09:16, 28 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Comment the above proposed text says that Russia attempted to influence the U.S. election. This is supported by a number of reliable sources. Sources also support "Russian interference" in the election. It doesn't literally say "influenced" the election, or "potentially influenced" the election. Also, sorry to say, there is no evidence of vote tampering. I agree that "fake news" should also be considered. ---Steve Quinn (talk) 06:39, 1 March 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Discussion
Any additional comments:
Regardless of any findings by the FBI, CIA & NI, there's no way to prove that enough voters were swayed to vote for Trump/Pence instead of Clinton/Kaine. GoodDay (talk) 02:35, 16 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Yes. But that matters little for the historical significance that an outside nation interfered in another nations elections. Whatever the effect, that is one of the most important facts of the election and needs to be represented with more WP:Weight.Casprings (talk) 02:55, 16 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Objective3000 Your "I think important" doesn't suit. That just signifies WP:OR or WP:SOAPBOX -- it has to show WP:WEIGHT predominance in WP:RS coverage to pass WP muster. This just isn't at this time looking like a big percentage of election coverage by Google check, it's more of a recent item and just gotta wait for a WP:NOTNEWS need to see if it has any significance beyond a 7-day wonder. Markbassett (talk) 04:27, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Hardly soap. I've already said that I think this is undue on Donald Trump and have not yet !voted because of notnews. But, it is more relevant to this article, coverage has been high, Congress is talking about investigations, and there are now over 40 lawmakers skipping the inauguration apparently, primarily as fallout from this. Doesn't look like it's going away. Objective3000 (talk) 12:14, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Objective3000 - Yup, OK. Sounds like my thinking of it has WP:WEIGHT suitable for now as a subsection. If it persists and grows -- or if additional related events occur -- then I think the greater external WP:WEIGHT prominence will drive for something more. Cheers Markbassett (talk) 22:07, 17 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
The discussion above is closed. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made on the appropriate discussion page. No further edits should be made to this discussion.
Incorrect vote totals?
It seems like something is wrong with the Clinton/Trump vote totals. When I add up the state totals using the same numbers in the chart, I get 65,844,952 for Clinton and 62,979,860 for Trump, as opposed to the 65,845,063/62,980,160 listed. Is there an error in the formula? Is my spreadsheet broken? Please help.
ETA: Given the incorrect Utah number, the totals should be 65,844,954 and 62,979,880.
Looks like some of the vote totals in the chart were not certified. We have been using Dave Leip's US Election Atlas website as a source of truth for this. The latest totals are Trump: 62,985,105, and Clinton: 65,853,625. The preferred (and consistent with historical Wikipedia pages on US presidential elections) source of truth is the FEC report on the election. Once available, my expectation is some helpful WP editor will come along & source this information from there & link it.
Happysomeone (talk) 17:01, 26 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
For what it's worth, the FEC now has their official results page up http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2016/2016presgeresults.pdf It is not the full report sadly, so it does not have voter registration numbers. That won't come out until July, according to their calendar. It does give official votes cast results, however. 108.80.193.145 (talk) 19:29, 7 February 2017 (UTC)Frank (Not an WP editor, just someone who signed up for email notifications from the FEC : )[reply]
New York Times forecasting controversy
I don't see a compelling reason for this revert: [2]
The omission introduces WP:NPOV issues because the Forecasting section now quotes NYT staff directly from nytimes.com, relying entirely on a primary source, hence making the section read more like uncritically sourced pollster trivia, not less.
I propose to add back the removed text, perhaps adding further media coverage if the existing Verge and New York Magazine articles written about NYT's forecasting controversy aren't sufficient: Quartz[3], Daily Dot[4], Slate[5]. A random selection of international coverage of the incident highlights relevance and historical significance: France[6] Germany[7], Dominical Republic[8]
Further confusion was attributed to The New York Times' live presidential election forecast website for misleading graphing after analyst Alp Toker identified the use of pseudorandom jitter to give the impression of live fluctuations in its outcome predictions.[1][2]
Exit polls
Should we mention that Trump over-performed the previous nominee (Romney) among whites, African-Americans, Hispanics/Latinos, and Asian-Americans, in the section dedicated to the exit polls? It only mentions the religious breakdown (Muslims), but not by race. Thank you. 72.141.9.158 (talk) 03:07, 3 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Would it be possible for some-one to add a map with only the winning candidate by congressional district, not shaded by margin, in the results section? Thank you. 72.141.9.158 (talk) 03:09, 3 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Removal of section for 'newspaper endorsements'
Could an editor explain why this section is really crucial/necessary for, or to, the article? It doesn't seem to be significant enough to me. Thank you. 72.141.9.158 (talk) 03:11, 3 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Potential addition of section for swing states
It seems a bit more plausible on here than it is for the swing state page. Please check the link for the precise form, although that's definitely not set in stone and I'd be welcome to any changes. They'll definitely needed to be adjusted somewhat to be put on this page. What are your thoughts? 72.141.9.158 (talk) 03:38, 3 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Add table?
I've copied the source here, in case anyone would want it. I would recommend that it goes into the 'forecasting' section, since that's where it seems best-fitted. In any case, I'd appreciate if taken a look at.
The following table displays the final winning probabilities given by each outlet, along with the final electoral result. The states shown have been identified by Politico,[3]WhipBoard,[4] and the New York Times,[5] and the Crystal Ball as battlegrounds.
An explanation would go something like what has been written at swing state:
By Election Day, even less states were in play. FiveThirtyEight's final polls-plus forecast predicted 18 states, plus the second congressional districts of Maine and Nebraska, with an interval of confidence lower than 90%.[6][7] However, every major forecaster, including FiveThirtyEight, the New York Times Upshot, prediction markets aggregator PredictWise, ElectionBettingOdds from Maxim Lott and John Stossel, the DailyKos, the Princeton Election Consortium, the Cook Political Report, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, and the Rothenberg and Gonzales Report, called every state the same way (although Cook and Rothenberg-Gonzales left two and five states as toss-ups, respectively). The sole exception was Maine's second congressional district. Of the forecasters who published results on the district, the Times gave Trump a 64% chance of winning and PredictWise a 52% chance, FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 51% chance of winning in polls-only and 54% in polls-plus, Princeton gave her a 60% chance, Cook labelled it a toss-up, and Sabato leaned it towards Trump.[8]
I have calculated the proportion of Wasted votes at 80.20% or 109,949,984 votes that's all votes for any candidate other than Trump also excess votes for Trump (these count as wasted because they could have stayed home and the result have been the same) in every state he won and also all votes for Trump in Florida and Ohio as there were also excess electoral college votes. Theofficeprankster (talk) 16:12, 6 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Trump lost the popular vote by the third worst margin of a winning candidate
The lead used to have incorrect information in it. It said, Donald Trump "lost [the popular vote] by a greater margin than the four other presidents who lost the popular vote." This is factually incorrect. The four previous presidents who lost the popular vote were John Quincy Adams (1824), Rutherford B. Hayes (1876), Benjamin Harrison (1888), and George W. Bush (2000). The margins by order of size were 10.5% (Adams), 3% (Hayes), 2.1% (Trump), .8% (Harrison), and .5% (Bush). That puts Trump third, not first. The only way in which Trump was first was by total number of votes, which is not the natural reading of the statement. Or he was first among the more recent three (leaving off Adams and Hayes).
I don't have a problem with this particular piece of trivia being included somewhere. I do think that it is rather trivial for the lead. First is one thing. Third, well behind first, is something else. Particularly considering that unlike Samuel Tilden, Hillary Clinton did not win a majority of the popular vote. So he is well short of second qualitatively if not quantitatively. If put elsewhere, it should be explained properly, in appropriate context. The lead already links to United States presidential elections in which the winner lost the popular vote which has a table showing all the results in comparison. Perhaps that is sufficient. Mdfst13 (talk) 05:28, 7 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Reference list
The following discussion has been closed. Please do not modify it.
3family6, irrevelant to discussion topic. And iowa was not safe d anyware! almost everyone called it somewhat republican. not true, according to source included. BETTERmaid (talk) 22:40, 16 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
In the final paragraph of Battleground States, it lists the result of Mississpi as "relatively close" and as a result "taking experts by surprise". Considering that Trump won that state by 17 points, and given that most pre-election polls I've seen have given a slightly narrower margin (the fivethirtyeight forecast listed as source gave him just a 13 point lead in the lead-up to the election), I don't understand why this claim was made.222.65.41.186 (talk) 15:40, 8 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
I recommend that the size for the images of Hillary and Trump to be the same, similar to Obama and Romney's images on the 2012 election page. It looks a lot better that way. LoginRice (talk) 07:53, 9 February 2017 (UTC)
They already are. BETTERmaid (talk) 22:40, 16 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Removal of lead size
"This was the first time since the landslide 1984 re-election of Ronald Reagan that Wisconsin voted for the Republican nominee, and the first time since 1988 that the Republican nominee won the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Maine's 2nd Congressional District, though the results in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan were very close."
The bold section has no relevance to the statement preceeding it. The bold section belongs in results, not the opening. Obama won Indiana, North Carolina and Nebraska 2, three solidly republican states in 2008, all by smaller margins that Trump carried these three states, and there isn't any reference to the margins in that opening.
Bomberswarm2 (talk) 14:15, 12 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Agree with bomber, but I don't know that Obama's margins were smaller, even though that Motnana, missouri, etc. very close in 2008. Anyways, don't think it should be up on there, at all, really. Also, me-2 is not a state, shouldn't be mentioned since it's already said that trump is the only candidate to split maine's votes since the new rule/law was made and instated, also only worth 1 vote and doesn't count on map (faithless, etc. and not). Also, other states were part of firewall (nc, fl, nc is actually a swing statte, and also others in bush/obama states and so on. BETTERmaid (talk) 22:40, 16 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Provisional votes? Crosscheck votes?
I'm trying (unsuccessfully) to find out how many provisional votes were cast, how many of those were thrown out, and how many votes (if any) were invalidated due to the Crosscheck program.
Is there any way to find this information from a reputable source?
In state-by-state tallies, Trump earned 306 pledged electors, Clinton 232. They lost respectively 2 and 5 votes to faithless electors. Pence and Kaine lost one and five votes, respectively. This basically means that Pence has lost one pledged elector. 306-1=305, but in the results it says 304. Can someone please explain this? Ping or mention me if you have an answer. Emir of Wikipedia (talk) 22:16, 16 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
I think it's about the ticket. 304 votes for ticket of trump-pence, 1 for some one-else (I dont remeber) and pence. but his total is actually was 305, trump is 304. BETTERmaid (talk) 22:40, 16 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
In the table of results the total vote overall and for individual cantidates is wrong. These totals have clearly been calculated in Excel using =SUM. They count not only Nebraska and Maine at large, but then include in their calculations the 5 congressional districts of these two states, effectivly counting these states twice. I put it in Excel myself and used =sum, and got the same total on here. When I manually deleted Maine and Nebraska's districts from the table, leaving the at-large votes, there were different numbers. This means everything including total votes, turnout, victory margin, votes for each cantidate and any references to this on Wikipedia (and potentially everywhere if the media use this total) are incorrect.
Wikipedia total: 137,098,601
Total of =sum in Excel: 137,098,601
Total of =sum in Excel after removing Maine and Nebraska's districts: 136,469,983
This appears to be a extremely major error that could affect dozens of pages so this needs to be fixed ASAP
The current election map shows Maine's First district in red. and the second (north) district in blue. Please change the color of the Second District to red, and the First to blue. Harry Snyder (talk) 19:28, 20 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Not done The electoral map in this article does not show specific districts. With regard to Maine, it simply shows that 3 of the state's Electoral College votes went to Clinton (blue) while 1 went to Trump (red). The geographic placement of the "1" has nothing to do with the locations of the districts. See similar representations for Texas and Washington state which also had split electoral votes (due to so-called "faithless" electors rather than Maine's distinctive at-large/district-based electoral scheme). General IzationTalk 19:37, 20 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Popular vote source
The current popular vote totals and percentages as listed in both the info box and the popular vote table in the article is not the same totals as found in the source cited. Basil the Bat Lord (talk) 20:14, 20 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
I am puzzled by something here. Perhaps someone can explain it; if not, perhaps it is a problem that needs correcting.
In one chart (Ballot Access), the Johnson/Weld Libertarian ticket is credited with receiving 4,489,233 votes, and a percentage of 3.27% of the total. In a second chart (showing the Popular Vote as a percentage only), the Johnson/Weld Libertarian ticket is credited with receiving 3.15% of the total. And in the text itself, I read this sentence: "With ballot access to the entire national electorate, Johnson received nearly 4.5 million votes (3.28%), the highest nationwide vote share for a third-party candidate since Ross Perot in 1996..."
Now, I can understand there being slight variations in how votes, and percentages, get counted in the above cases.
But then, immediately under the Heading 8 of this article, "Results," how do we find a chart that shows "Presidential candidate" Gary Johnson with 4,310,762 votes, but only 1.88% (!) of the popular vote? How does that happen? How does Johnson suddenly drop from over 3 percent elsewhere in this text to under 2 percent here? Particularly when the other minor-party presidential nominee in this race, Jill Stein of the Greens, consistently shows up as receiving 1.06% of the vote in all of those contexts?
[Popular Vote chart showing only percentages] Stein 1.06%
[Text:] "Stein received almost 1.45 million votes (1.06%), the most for a Green nominee since Ralph Nader in 2000."
By any measure shown here, Johnson received more than twice the number of actual votes as were cast for Stein. So I don't see how Johnson's alleged 1.88% of the vote in the "Results" chart can be accurate.
Incidentally, when I total up all the popular-vote percentages under that Heading 8 "Results" chart — including all of the various minor candidates plus the "Other" vote — they don't reach 100 percent. Adding up the percentages for Trump, Clinton, Sanders, Johnson, Stein, McMullin, Castle, de la Riva, and the generic "Other" gets one to only 99.39 percent.
The credited source for this chart (Leip, David. "2016 Presidential Election Results," from Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections) doesn't support these figures either. That link shows, for example, Jill Stein with (again) 1.06% of the vote, but Gary Johnson with 3.27 %. What's the cause of the discrepancy here?
It caused a summing error before, and the 5 districts are in a seperate table in the elections 2000 - 2012.
On a related note, the listed total votes and actual summing of votes are different. Double counting Maine and Nebraska or single counting them, neither of them are the same as the total votes.
I saw on Twitter that there was a petition for the Supreme Court to hear the case about nullifying the elections due to Russian hacking. It's Twitter, so I was skeptical. Turns out it's true. Secondary source, primary source. I have no clue if it should be included? I am not very familiar with these kinds of edits. Callmemirela🍁{Talk}♑14:42, 23 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
This has received too little attention in relation to overall coverage of the election to be included. We don't even include it for 2008, when it received far more attention. We do mention it in the 2000 election article, but it was daily news. Note though that in 2000, the litigation was conducted before the electors had voted. TFD (talk) 15:14, 28 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
In every Wikipedia page on elections except this one, the popular vote winner is given the positive number margins in the table showing vote totals state-by-state. Could someone alter this table to match the others? 207.98.144.226 (talk) 16:47, 27 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]