In the run-up to the 2023 Serbian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 3 April 2022, to the 2023 election, which was held on 17 December 2023.[1]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition |
SPS–JS | SPN | NADA | NO | Narodna | Others | Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SSP | PSG | DS | Together | SRCE | NDB/ZLF | EU[a] | NPS[b] | NDSS | POKS | Dveri | SSZ | |||||||||||
2023 election | 17 December | – | 48.0 | 6.7 | 24.2 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 13.0[c] | 23.8 | ||||||||||||
Ipsos[2][d] | 14 December | 3,712 | 44.6 | 8.7 | 23.6 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 10.8[e] | 21.0 | ||||||||||||
OFID[3] | 14 December | 1,200 | 38.7 | 8.9 | 27.1 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 12.6[f] | 11.6 | ||||||||||||
NSPM[4] | 12 December | 1,000 | 39.8 | 8.9 | 25.6 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 10.5[g] | 14.2 | ||||||||||||
NSPM[5] | 15 November | 1,000 | 39.2 | 8.1 | 25.8 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 14.2[h] | 13.4 | ||||||||||||
NSPM[6] | 22 October | 1,000 | 38.5 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 3.1 | – | 3.8 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 3.3[i] | 16.3[j] | 28.9 | ||||||
Faktor Plus[7] | 13 October | 1,200 | 44.5 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 3.5[k] | 34.5 | |||||
Stata[8] | 13 October | 1,546 | 36.6 | 7.0 | 8.6 | – | – | – | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 7.7 | 3.1 | – | 3.9 | 3.4 | – | 18.1[l] | 28.0 | |||
NSPM[9] | 28 September | 1,000 | 37.3 | 9.5 | 4.2 | – | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3.6 | – | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 21.9[m] | 27.7 | |||
Stata[10] | 19 September | 1,580 | 36.3 | 7.3 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 3.0 | – | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 18.8[n] | 26.5 | |||
Stata[11][12] | 28 July | 1,558 | 37.8 | 8.0 | 9.6 | – | – | 6.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | – | – | 3.6 | – | 2.6 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 18.8[o] | 28.2 | |||
NSPM[13] | 23 July | 1,100 | 37.2 | 9.4 | 4.0 | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 3.4 | – | 4.2 | – | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 21.7[p] | 27.8 | |||
NSPM[14] | 2 June | 1,000 | 36.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | – | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 4.3 | – | 4.6 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 21.3[q] | 27.8 | |||
NSPM[15] | 27 April | 1,000 | 38.0 | 9.4 | 4.2 | – | 2.8 | 1.4 | 3.9 | – | 3.8 | – | 4.4 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 20.5[r] | 28.6 | |||
Faktor Plus[16] | 11 April | ? | 45.5 | 10.7 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 11.0[s] | 34.8 | ||||
ŠSM[17] | 5 April | 1,329 | 42.8 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 3.2 | – | – | 5.2 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 13.0[t] | 31.9 | |||
ŠSM[18] | 22 February | ? | 44.5 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 2.3 | – | – | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 11.8[u] | 35.6 | |||
NSPM[19] | 14 February | 1,050 | 39.1 | 10.0 | 4.7 | – | 2.2 | – | 5.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | – | 5.4 | – | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 17.6[v] | 29.1 | |||
Faktor Plus[20] | 13 February | 1,100 | 46.0 | 10.8 | 7.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.3 | – | – | 4.7 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 10.3[w] | 35.2 |
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition |
SSP | Narodna | DS | PSG | SPS–JS | NADA | NDB | Together | Dveri | SSZ | SRCE | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDSS | POKS | ||||||||||||||||
Faktor Plus[21] | 12 December | ? | 46.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 11.0[x] | 32.7 | |
NSPM[22] | 1 November | 1,050 | 42.5 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | – | 9.8 | 5.5 | – | 1.2 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 15.8[y] | 32.7 |
Faktor Plus[23] | 25 October | ? | 46.3 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 10.8 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.0 | – | 8.9[z] | 32.0 | |
NSPM[24] | 27 July | 1,000 | 42.6 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 6.1 | – | – | 4.8 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 14.3[aa] | 33.2 |
Demostat[25] | 29 June | 1,203 | 48.0 | 10.0 | – | 3.0 | – | 9.0 | 6.0 | – | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | 13.0 | 38.0 | |
2022 election | 3 April | – | 44.2 | 14.0 | 11.7 | 5.5[ab] | 4.8 | 3.9[ac] | 3.8 | – | 11.7 | 30.2 |
In July 2023, Stata conducted a scenario opinion poll. It showed that a potential coalition of SNS, SPS, JS, Social Democratic Party of Serbia, Party of United Pensioners of Serbia, and Movement of Socialists would win 44 percent of the popular vote, while a hypothetical alliance of those who organised the Serbia Against Violence protests, which includes SSP, Narodna, DS, PSG, ZLF, and Together, would win 41 percent of the popular vote.[29] Stata conducted another scenario polls in September and October 2023, this time with Narodna being in the "state-building opposition" bloc.[10] CRTA, however, only polled Dveri, SSZ, NDSS, and POKS as part of the "patriotic bloc".[30]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition |
SPN | State-building opposition[ad] | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRTA[30] | 16 October | 1,544 | 49.0 | 41.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 |
Stata[8] | 13 October | 1,546 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
Stata[10] | 19 September | 1,580 | 44.0 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 |
Stata[29] | 28 July | 1,558 | 44.0 | 41.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
Nova srpska politička misao (NSPM) conducted an opinion poll in October 2023 in which they polled 6 alliances of parties.[6]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | PZS[ae] | Patriotic Bloc[af] | DS–Together–SRCE | PE–ZLF | NPS–EU–NLS | NADA | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NSPM[6] | 22 October | 1,000 | 48.4 | 10.1 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 11.6[ag] | 38.3 |