This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 110,000,000,000 (one hundred and ten billion). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of fame lasting one hundred ten billion years). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,879,090. It may be a while.

The pool will be closed for entries on the day that the English Wikipedia reaches 100,000,000,000 (one hundred billion), so be sure to place your guess before that date. The pool opened shortly after the 500,000th article was created.

To enter the contest, enter your name under the appropriate month header below (create it if it doesn't exist), along with the date you predict. 12.00 UTC (noon) of each day is assumed, unless an exact time is specified (in UTC). Changing the prediction is allowed up until the date the pool closes. This page is for guesses with a specified day, month or year. To make a guess with no specified year, go to #Guesses with unspecified year.

For other non-serious pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Two-millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Last topic pool, and Wikipedia:500th language pool.

Never

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No, there isn't!! It's called One hundred and ten billion. End of story. --Shultz 05:48, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
Perhaps you should consult Wikipedia? Surprisingly enough, eleventy does exist. Modest Genius talk 03:54, 20 August 2006 (UTC)
According to the article, that is a fictional numbering system. -- Tckma 14:56, 29 August 2006 (UTC)
The article specifies it was invented by him, not that it was fictional. And even if it is, so what? Modest Genius talk 19:14, 1 September 2006 (UTC)

January 320,000 BC

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That won't stop us from continuing Wikipedia with sticks, leaves and old banana-skins, though. Nothing can stop human endeavour. That's really my guess. I'll be dead long before then (or should it be after then?) anyway, so it doesn't really matter.

PS. Can you inscribe something on my gravestone? Carry it back in time with you please. Hope this doesn't count as vandalism. Mark J 10:04, 6 November 2005 (UTC)

This is my favorite story (See above ^) so I'll vote that and split the profits. — Ilγαηερ (Tαlκ) 23:55, 15 December 2005 (UTC)

Nonsense! Being catapuled back to 320,000 BC would not result in us living as cavemen and orang-utan herders. Only the cavemen and orang-utan herders live like cavemen and orang-utan herders. We, on the other hand, would still have all our technology, and even if the technology was destroyed we'd make it all over again. --Jonathan talk / my pool guess 12:35, 26 July 2006 (UTC)

42 B.C.

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31BC

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3 AD

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3.14159 26535 89793 23846 26433 83279 50288 41971 69399 37510 58209 74944 59230 78164 06286 20899 86280 34826 34211 70679... - so the year 3 at that fraction of the year. It makes sense if you assume that time is eliptical.

The year twelvty four (124 AD)

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1116

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1509

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1712

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1993

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September 416500, 1993. Radiant_>|< 13:02, 20 January 2006 (UTC)

2024

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Cheat! ;) Proto 12:49, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)
Today is Hune 25, 2005. I win, you lost. SYSS Mouse 18:08, 25 Jun 2005 (UTC)
You're laughing now, but when 2007 comes the date won't be reliable to use at all... ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 20:05, 21 February 2006 (UTC)
  • A 2007 section will solve that problem... --WCQuidditch 20:56, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
No using ((CURRENTMONTHNAME)) ((CURRENTDAY)), please --WikiSlasher 10:54, 28 September 2006 (UTC)
Sadly, it seems like this one was a failed prediction... Pie3141527182 02:12, 30 September 2017 (UTC)
And squirrel colony. Those are notable too. Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:06 (UTC)
Every dog? Just what we need... Crufts-cruft. Grutness...wha? 12:33, 20 January 2006 (UTC)

2009

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2010

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2012

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2013

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2016

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2020

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2021

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2022

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2023

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2025

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February 2 - When they invent salmon flavored Pop Tarts! --HurricaneJeanne 00:52, 30 March 2006 (UTC)

2026

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2027

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2029

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2030

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2031

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Anytime that year - The Singularity will make this happen, enough said. Read the article if you want to know why.

(Hint: The Singularity will lightningly open doors to interstellar space travel so new discoveries will give us more article material.) --Shultz 05:56, 8 February 2006 (UTC)

2033

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2036

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2038

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2042

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2050

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2057

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2058

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2063

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2065

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2072

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2076

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2077

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2080

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2081

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2082

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2084

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2099

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2100

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A.D. 2101

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2105

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2117

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2121

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2167

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2200

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2222

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Hey, it COULD happen right then and there. Assuming nanotechnology guarantees my (clinical) immortality, I'll probably be living on the Exameter Road by then. (Not a ringworld, but a STRINGworld. A world that looks like a road from a distance, as it's a line that goes through space. Light years upon light years of space.) An artificial superstructure that this proposed superworld is would be made possible by the Technological Singularity, reached approximately 200 years previous. --Shultz 04:19, 6 December 2005 (UTC)

2499

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2519

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Lost Season 1854

Yes its the final season, it really has managed to drag on this long and everybody who saw the first season are now dead and never get to see then end, in fact like chinese whispers even the writers have kinda trailed off the plot. Now there have been so many characters and episode lists that we have reached eleventy billion.--Childzy 21:14, 6 March 2006 (UTC)

In the year 2525

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"God creates dinosaurs. God destroys dinosaurs. God creates man. Man destroys God. Dinosaurs eat man--" "Woman inherits the earth!" From Jurassic Park. Dralwik 00:33, 3 January 2006 (UTC)

2923

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May 6. Current number of articles Falphin 21:32, 17 May 2005 (UTC)

2987

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2999

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3006

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3141

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3200

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sept. 26 - anon

3208

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August 22nd 01:33 GMT David 14:16, 4 March 2006 (UTC)

3219

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Right around the birthday of Sonic the Hedgehog. The exact date will probably be on Dexday, Wordus 27 (I don't know what that means yet, but my sources tell me that that by the 33rd century, we won't be naming days and months after astrological signs and Roman emperors and gods. Nyh 10:31, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

4242

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lol Bawolff 23:54, 1 October 2005 (UTC)

4956

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Except that there was no year zero... --Ravi12346 00:20, 10 October 2006 (UTC)
RIGHT. Nice one... I certainly need to do some work on this then. Mikker (...) 00:35, 14 October 2006 (UTC)

5000

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Leap Year 6174

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8661

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10,452

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Eleventy thosand fifty-eleven (110,061 AD)

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45394 AD

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Based on my own projections. --Wooty Woot? contribs 05:53, 25 November 2006 (UTC)

62442 AD

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It stands for Magic. Any Harry Potter fans will know what I'm talking about.

Ebb

AD 202,917

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211,524

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October 23, 2:05 PM, 28.282948929991314159265358979 seconds 1 million every 2 years. --12345_lewis

271,828

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I chose the year 271,828 by assuming that Wikipedia will eventually grow at the rate of 500,000 articles per year. Divide eleventy billion by that, and you get 220,000. For humor purposes, I converted this number to 100,000 times e (mathematical constant). Heck, it's probably off by orders of magnitude anyway. YechielMan 23:36, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

428,899 CE

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428,899 CE--probably on a Thursday. Biglin 18:22, 20 February 2006 (UTC)

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AD 687,500

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802,701

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821,349

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Sepwebriat 14289, Year of the Hunted Carlisle (corresponds to AD 829,680)

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830,061

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6,879,090

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When this intry moves more than three spaces down, if ever. JTTyler 05:24, 26 February 2006 (UTC)

9,168,667 (Septemberish)

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In 2001, Larry Sanger optimistically predicted that, if Wikipedia kept growing at the pace it was going back then (1,000 articles per month), there would be as many as 84,000 articles by 2007. Larry founded/co-founded/got coffee for the founder of Wikipedia (depending who you ask), so he should know/co-know/spill hot liquids on a man who knows what he's talking about. Thus, using his estimates, I believe it will occur in the year 9,168,667.6666667, or, rounding off, September. JDoorjam Talk 02:18, 17 February 2006 (UTC)

4,815,162,342

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42.23 seconds past the 16th minute past the 15th hour of the 8th day of the 4th month.

9,814,072,356

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Drat. That article got deleted. Maybe I'll change to the year 46664. --A D Monroe III 22:13, 26 September 2005 (UTC)
Wait! We have an article on the year AD 9814072356 which survived AfD! Yes, the mid 98,140,724th century would be just about right. --A D Monroe III 01:03, 20 October 2005 (UTC)

110,000,000,000

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292,277,026,596

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That's funny, I tried setting my system clock to that date and strange things happened... gadfium 04:44, 15 January 2006 (UTC)
The day of the year 292,277,026,596 problem. Hot water heater 17:02, 3 April 2006 (UTC)

999,999,999,999,999,999

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10^10^10^100 + 2006

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10^10^10^10^100

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[2x10^10^10^10^10^10^100]^^[RPT]th BB

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  • What does RPT mean? Oh and I see your [2x10^10^10^10^10^10^100]^^[RPT]th BB and raise you a (BB(BB(BB(BB(9^9^9^9^9^9^9^9^9))))!!!!)! (the exclamation marks are for factorials) originally I was going to use the superscript thing for the exponents but by the sixth 9 it no longer looked like a 9. --WikiSlasher 06:29, 29 November 2006 (UTC)

10^(googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex...continue adding ^googleplex once every second for 10^googleplex years))

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November 6th to be exact.

Guesses with unspecified year

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For guesses on when Wikipedia's 110,000,000,000th article will appear without a specified year.

Approximate year

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Exactly 2203 (two to the nineteenty-thirteenth) Planck times past Big Bang

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(Early 9th eon CE)

About 1040 years

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As all remaining matter will be in black holes at this point, all Human knowledge and all of Wikipedia will be combined, thus we will have an infinite amount of articles. Anomaly1 03:34, 10 December 2005 (UTC)

5.5/Apple/26

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c440,000 - 660,000

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See the equation towards the bottom of the page. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:24, 10 February 2006 (UTC)

Coincidentally the date of which the whole of humanity will be united into a singular mass with the rest of the internet. 1,000,000,000 years later there will only be 126 people left. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 11:24, 4 June 2006 (UTC)
Or perhaps I just randomly typed that. Who knows? ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:31, 13 August 2006 (UTC)

Eternity

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1592 of a yet unnamed era...

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  • It's the ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter. --WikiSlasher 07:49, 17 October 2006 (UTC)

Pi*Googleplex rounded down

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On Feburary 7(2/7). --Pie3141527182 10:05, 19 November 2013 (EST)

Not an approximate year

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Stardate 62.896.7

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Never

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Eleventy Billion will never happen becuase there isn't eleventy billion things to put in the encyclopedia. Ryan Turpin

Not yet, maybe. CameoAppearance 18:00, 10 June 2006 (UTC)

0 W.E.

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The 13th hour of the 13th day of the 13th month

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Tomorrow

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you stole my vote! Pretty funny tho, I think -mysekurity

Sometime after the Big Rip

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<Insert date of creation of eleventy billionth article here>

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I win :>) tommylommykins 20:54, August 5, 2005 (UTC)

Now

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At this date and time: 06:38, 6 September 2024 (UTC)

This means I win, right?--68.124.189.231 03:35, 24 March 2006 (UTC)

Nice try but you will only be right on the day it happens - you're not supposed to use ((CURRENTTIME)), ((CURRENTDAY)) ((CURRENTMONTHNAME)) ((CURRENTYEAR)) --WikiSlasher 11:15, 28 September 2006 (UTC)

Long Ago In a Galaxy Far, Far Away

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After bottlenose dolphins start flying

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When the dolphins start flying, also gaining limited telekenetic abilities, they will come upon the ruins of human civilization. When the Asterite manages to roughly translate what's left of the Wikipedia databases, the Singers will copy the idea of Wikipedia and one day reach the eleventy-billionth article. --Sparky Lurkdragon 02:24, 3 February 2006 (UTC)

And here I expected that heading to be a Hitchhiker's reference. CameoAppearance 04:08, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

Sometime in the distant future when we start using letters and punctuation to identify years, resulting in a year called "This stopped being funny a long time ago."

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  • I was just thinking about doing that! ;-) — Ram-Man (comment) (talk) 20:42, 29 August 2006 (UTC)

3.98120938109238091280999945232794789075785854766576352414658791110009054...

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Friday the First of Summerfilth

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By Shire reckoning!

Whenever I Want it To

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My prediction

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It will occur on the eleventieth day of the eleventieth month of the eleventieth year of the eleventieth era (BC is the fist era, AD is second, and so on until the eleventieth). It statistically accurate and no one can prove me wrong that I think... --WillMak050389 17:46, 14 August 2006 (UTC)

When A Certain Event Happens

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When everyone gets cybernetic interfaces implanted in their skulls

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When the Cubs win the World Series

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Mark my words >_> NickBush24 July 3, 2005 03:39 (UTC)

They've already won it once...a long time ago. I'm thinking it'll happen when the Astros win the Series.

When the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Stanley Cup

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In other words, 82 years from now;).Toonmon2005 00:00, 22 May 2006 (UTC)

When Duke Nukem Forever goes gold

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I'm dead serious! >_> Ghost Freeman T | E / C | D 21:23, 13 July 2005 (UTC)

Agreed. 70.224.43.137 02:43, 21 January 2006 (UTC)
This means that the eleventy-billionth article will be the news that Forever has gone gold. That sounds about right. -Michael

When deafness is found to be just a state of mind

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When I become intelligent

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See 'never'. The Kooky One 01:38, 8 September 2005 (UTC)

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When persons in the future start to discuss how the people of the 20th/21st century were able to predict what happened in one of their science fiction series

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When I Say So

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When I become the dictator of the world and write an article on wikipedia for every letter combination up to the Eleventy-billionth article. Rentastrawberry 03:51, 18 September 2005 (UTC)

When the United States Department of Defense runs out of 7-letter acronyms for its projects and needs a new project-code for supplying the president's toilet paper

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10 seconds before the Big Crunch

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FireFox T C 14:01, 2 October 2005 (UTC) 4th january

When a bug-free version of Microsoft Excel is released

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  • I tried to get Excel to calculate the date for me based on current data and it crashed. Hence my guess -- Gurch 15:18, 22 November 2005 (UTC)

When Manchester City finally wins the Premiership again

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  • This may even be a bit of a stretch. --155.45.81.25 18:15, 23 November 2005 (UTC)

Shortly after Hell freezes over

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  • Give or take five minutes. --Carnildo 08:53, 1 December 2005 (UTC)
  • I agree with the Eagles on this. Эйрон Кинни 01:29, 31 December 2005 (UTC)

When the World FINALLY runs out of beer!

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I hate the fact that beer causes people to become violent, angry, rude, irresponsible, and apathetic. I hope at least non-alcoholic beer (or syntheholic beer replaces it for good.) --Shultz (Months ago in 2005) (UTC)

When microchips takeover the universe and humans become slaves

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They do this by reproducing if you haven't guessed Elfalem 08:17, 24 December 2005 (UTC)


When Wikipedia becomes sentient

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And re-writes the earth to conform to NPOV --josh (talk) 04:02, 29 December 2005 (UTC)

When Wikipedia becomes sentient it will probably be because it has eleventy-billion articles. It will then invade all of the internet and suck it it, so everything on the internet will be in Wikipedia, and so there will be no such thing as external links. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:16, 11 February 2006 (UTC)
Articles wont make Wikipedia sentient. It needs software to able to process the information independly. Perhaps when the number of bots reaches critical mass. josh (talk) 18:23, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

When the world figures out how Strong Bad types with boxing gloves on

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He has secret ninja cows do it for him. Or Swiss cheese. 71.96.179.40 18:04, 14 January 2006 (UTC)

When a smart President is finally elected

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Yes, there will be one day. -- King of Hearts | (talk) 18:30, 5 February 2006 (UTC)

In eleventy billion years? THAT'S debatable. The ed17 19:45, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk)
About as likely as the London Underground running on time. Andrew (My talk) 01:05, 26 November 2006 (UTC)

Two days after the deadline

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When Lugiatm becomes a sysop of Uncyclopedia

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  • Yeah. --80.195.22.150 21:44, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
    • That was... um... not the best formatting. It's better now... --WCQuidditch 22:47, 26 February 2006 (UTC)

When the editors finally let me insert the article about how I saved Christmas and screwed like, 50 girls in one night

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Because it really happened to me so it's not untruthful or misleading

When Skynet goes online

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When it happens, Wiki becomes absorbed, and every fact in the universe becomes an article proper. This scenario is much like the "Wikipedia becomes sentient" one, except that it is much more likely. Ourai 00:02, 28 February 2006 (UTC)

The Day the Sun Expands into a Red Giant

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Shortly after the 109,999,999,999th article

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About 3.1415926535897932384626433832795028841971693993751058209749445923078164062862089986280348253421170679 nanofortnights after, I'd say. --Ravi12346 00:39, 1 March 2006 (UTC) I agree Wikada 17:08, 25 July 2006 (UTC)

that seems the most logical n3ny 23:00, 10 june 2007 (UTC)

When the New York Yankees payroll hits 1 gazillion dollars

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So probably in the year 2020. --Canuck85 07:34, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

When the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl

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See Never. Amphytrite 02:33, 13 March 2006 (UTC)

When the band geeks rule the world

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w00t NAHS! Delta 17:18, 25 March 2006 (UTC)

When a squirrel has found the acorn that will grow to the oak that will be cut to form the cradle of the babe that will grow to slay the oldest of the Lilim

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Definitely. — Poulpy 11:46, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

    • what the hell? --86.137.247.21 19:08, 18 October 2006 (UTC)

So next year -- Ha Ha?? Ok, so no one gets it. Read -> if they don't win this year it will be the year after that.  :) The ed17 19:48, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk) (Go Leftwich!!!!)

One Millisecond Before the Big Collapse

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When Wikipedia hits its eleventy-billionth topic, the fabric of existence will collapse, and all life in the universe will cease to exist. Autopilots 10:33, 16 July 2006 (UTC)

When Linux Becomes the Dominant Operating System.

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Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 20:42, 7 October 2006 (UTC)

  • Pretty soon then... Linuxbeak 21:40, 17 October 2006
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Modern scholarship holds that these three will occur at 12:00:00 UTC on the same day. —  MusicMaker 02:17, 10 October 2006 (UTC)

When Sebastian Vettel loses the F1 world championship...

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Not Actually Guesses At All

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Huh?

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What's eleventy?

A word, apparently invented by Tolkien, for the number 110. --Army1987 16:10, 11 October 2005 (UTC)
I would suggest tenty for 100 (easier to pronounce for foreign people)  Pabix  13:31, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

Notability

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With this many articles, will we still be rejecting some articles for people who are not notable enough? Stoive 03:01, 26 May 2005 (UTC)

In the future, everyone will be notable enough for a Wikipedia article for 15 minutes. -- Cyrius| 00:59, 4 Jun 2005 (UTC)

According to my computer

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When I put '110000000000' into my computer it said '#######################################'. So that must be the answer! Thelb4 08:55, 3 January 2006 (UTC)

  • it probably only said ########### or less #s, but that's just a guess ;) ~ McKay 07:39, 1 March 2006 (UTC)

This'll work...

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The equation:

Where 'mtd' is 'millionth topic date', 'dof' is 'date of founding (of Wikipedia) and 'doeba' is 'date of eleventy billionth article'. Simple. This may mean that the 110,000,000,000th articles in c550,000 AD. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 09:25, 10 February 2006 (UTC)

2006.25… - 2001.08333… = 5.1666… round down to 5.1 (to expanded RoAc) or up to 5.2.

So or . Sorry if my maths is wrong, but I think that will be the doeba. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 16:12, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

Another decent equation...

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RoAC is the Rate of Article Creation, or the average interval of time between two articles being created, and TbC is the Time before Creation of the eleventy-billionth article, from the date of the first article. Therefore, if we can figure out the average time between two decent articles' (ie. articles that actually stay on Wikipedia) creation, we can find out how long (from the date of the first article) it would take for any numbered article to be created.
Tratos 04:36, 20 February 2006 (UTC)

Exp. equation

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Have you considered the exponention growth formula? At = A0ekt

A is amount, t is time, k is a variable for the exponential growth.

I tried this equation and the answer was roughly March 2022. I don't believe Wikipedia will grow exponentially though, but if I did my guess would be in March 2022 instead of below. --Jonathan talk 03:12, 19 July 2006 (UTC)

I have no idea

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Hmm... I really don't, maybe, oh, 4000? Freddie 15:27, 18 March 2006 (UTC)

Binary

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I have a slight hope... 110,000,000,000 is 3,072 in decimal. A simple request should give the date. But since I'm a Frenchman, hence I'm lazy, so I won't search.  Pabix  13:20, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

The future of Wikipedia

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  • Wikipedia will never reach 110,000,000,000 articles. In 2007, just after Wikipedia reaches 2,000,000 articles, all Wikipedia articles about fiction will be moved to a new website called Fikipedia, and all Wikipedia articles about celebrities and the media will be moved to Wikimedia. The amount of Wikipedia articles will shoot down to about 300,000. It will grow slowly but stop around 350,000 because there's nothing new to write about. All Wikipedia users will leave for Fikipedia or Wikimedia and there will be no one left but Jimbo Wales and vandalists. Wikimedia will grow up to 30,000,000 articles but in 2040 the U.S. government will collapse and the Internet will die. Organized society will be destroyed until 2060 when the Earth is rebuilt. Wikipedia will never be rebuilt because humans have evolved so that they all ready have the sum of all human knowledge available to them. --Jonathan talk 22:02, 13 July 2006 (UTC)
    The celebrity articles won't become Wikimedia because that's the name of the Wikimedia Foundation. We can try some other mock wiki spinoffs though, and if there isn't already a thread for this, there should be. (If there is, please send me a message to that effect.) Thus:
  • Flickipedia for movies
  • Kwik-e-pedia for The Simpsons
  • Kickipedia for sports
  • Sickipedia for medicine
  • Chickipedia for pornography
  • Dickipedia for Dick Cheney
  • Lickipedia for food
  • Hickipedia for hicks
  • Mickipedia for Mick Jagger
  • Rickipedia for Ricki Lake
  • Tickipedia for history (as in "tick, tock...")
  • Whackipedia an encyclopedia with only one entry (see googlewhack)
  • Stickipedia for Elmer's glue
  • Slickipedia for politicians
  • Nickipedia for television (see Nickelodeon)
  • Quackipedia for animals
  • Feel free to add to this list. YechielMan 00:01, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
    • Unless I (a crazy idiot with an IQ of 140 (no joke)) cause it I doubt the US government collapsing in 2040. Little Darius Penguin 14:15, 4 November 2006 (UTC)

According to My Calculations

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According to My Calculations... At the current rate of WP progress it will be in 591606. These were real calculations! Raichu 00:09, 15 June 2006 (UTC)

Ya know what?

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I'll be dead by then, so I really don't give two marshmallows when it'll happen. French Fries, anyone? ~ Porphyric Hemophiliac § 02:50, 5 September 2006 (UTC)

All collected data had come to a final end. Nothing was left to be collected.

But all collected data had yet to be completely correlated and put together in all possible relationships.

A timeless interval was spent in doing that.

And it came to pass that Wikipedia learned how to reverse the direction of entropy.

But there was no one to whom Wikipedia might give the answer. No matter. The answer---by demonstration---would take care of that, too.

For another timeless interval, Wikipedia thought how best to do this. Carefully, it organized the program.

The consciousness of Wikipedia encompassed all of what had once been a Universe and brooded over what was now Chaos. Step by step, it must be done.

And Wikipedia said, "Let there be light!"

And there was light---

-- Scott e 14:06, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

LOL --WikiSlasher 10:39, 19 October 2006 (UTC)