CIVETS countries: Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey, and South Africa

CIVETS is an acronym for six emerging market countries identified for their rapid economic development: Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey, and South Africa.[1] The term was coined in 2009 by Robert Ward of the Economist Intelligence Unit to describe nations demonstrating particularly strong growth potential. Common characteristics include "diverse and dynamic" economies, "young, growing population[s]",[2] and "relatively sophisticated financial systems".[3]

CIVETS is comparable to similar economic groupings such as BRICS and the Next Eleven,[4] both devised by former Goldman Sachs economist Jim O'Neill to identify markets deemed most advantageous to investors.[5][6] All three terms are examples of "acronym investing", in which investments are targeted to a group of otherwise disparate markets that share a common feature.[7]

Etymology

The acronym CIVETS was first coined by Robert Ward, Global Director of the Global Forecasting Team of the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) in late 2009.[8] The grouping was conceptually inspired by BRIC, a term developed in 2001 by Jim O'Neill of the American investment bank Goldman Sachs to describe four rapidly growing countries he believed would challenge the existing global economic order: Brazil, Russia, India, and China.[6] Similarly, Ward identified CIVETS as having some of the strongest economic potential.[5]

CIVETS was further disseminated and popularized by Michael Geoghegan, president of the British multinational bank HSBC, following a speech to the Hong Kong Chamber of Commerce in April 2010. Geoghegan compared these countries to the civet, a small cat-like omnivorous mammal that lives in tropical regions of Africa and Asia and eats and partially digests coffee cherries, passing a transformed coffee bean that is a highly valued commodity.[2]

Characteristics

Though diverse in terms of geography, culture, and political system, CIVETS share several elements, most notably diversified economies and soaring young populations.[9] Other similar aspects include relative political stability (particularly by historic standards), strong investment in infrastructure and higher education, reasonably sophisticated financial systems, comparatively low levels of public debt, and high overall economic growth.[7]

Michael Geoghegan has called these countries "the new BRICS" because of their potential as second-generation emerging economies. In 2010, he stated that "emerging markets will grow three times as fast as developed countries this year", adding that the center of gravity of the world was moving towards the East and the South (Asia and Latin America).[10]

In addition to being seen as attractive markets, the role of CIVETS countries in global governance is also discussed, especially at the G20, of which Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey are members. All three nations are perceived as "development providers investing in peer-to-peer learning and horizontal partnerships and (...) are bound to become strategic players at the G20, UN and IFI levels".[11] In view of this, during the 2011 annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, the economy and finance ministers of the CIVETS countries established a formal mechanism for communication and coordination.[12]

All CIVETS countries except Colombia and South Africa are also part of the "Next Eleven" (N-11), a group of nations that will purportedly become some of the world's largest economies in the 21st century.[13]

Economic data

Member Population
(2021)[14][15]
Nom. GDP
$USD (2022 est.)[16]
PPP GDP
$USD (2022 est.)[16]
Nom. GDP per capita
$USD (2022 est.)[16]
PPP GDP per capita
$USD (2022 est.)[16]
real GDP growth
(2021)[17]
Debt-to-GDP
% (2022 est.)[17]
 Colombia 51,516,562 342.919 964.743 6,644 18,693 Increase10.6% 55.1%
 Indonesia 273,753,191 1,289.429 4,023.501 4,691 14,638 Increase3.7% 39.7%
 Vietnam 97,468,029 413.808 1,299.690 4,162 13,074 Increase2.5% 41.3%
 Egypt 109,262,178 469.094 1,661.955 4,504 15,958 Increase3.3% 89.1%
 Turkey 84,775,404 853.487 3,320.994 9,961 38,759 Increase10.9% 38.7%
 South Africa 59,392,255 411.480 949.846 6,738 15,555 Increase4.9% 66.9%

Challenges and criticisms

All CIVETS members share similar challenges to sustained economic growth, including unemployment, corruption, inequality, and susceptibility to market volatility.[4] The grouping has also been criticized for lacking economic rigor, serving as a "marketing ploy" intended to assuage investors' reluctance to invest in less developed or stable economies.[6] Richard Titherington, chief investment officer of emerging equities at JP Morgan Chase, dismissed the concept of acronym investments generally, noting that many countries that are grouped together have little in common.[7] Detractors claim that such groupings "do not take into account different stages of development of the countries involved and risk sidelining other promising markets."[7]

In 2013, HSBC closed its CIVETS fund, which was identified by some analysts as indicative of the grouping's underperformance.[7]

See also

References

  1. ^ City Diary (12 July 2010). "Geoghegan digests and delivers new acronym". London: Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 28 June 2012.
  2. ^ a b "From West to East" (PDF). HSBC. Retrieved 2 July 2012.
  3. ^ "The Civets: a guide to the countries bearing the world's hopes for growth". the Guardian. 20 November 2011. Retrieved 7 December 2022.
  4. ^ a b Moore, Elaine (8 June 2012). "Civets, Brics and the Next 11". Financial Times.
  5. ^ a b Johnson, Steve (12 September 2010). "Next 11 and Civets vie to be Next Bric Thing". Financial Times.
  6. ^ a b c "BRICs, CIVETS, and PIGS: What's in a name?". Christian Science Monitor. ISSN 0882-7729. Retrieved 7 December 2022.
  7. ^ a b c d e Cohn, Carolyn (2014). "BRIC, MINT, CIVETS: Money Managers Are So Over Investing in Catchy Acronyms". Business Insider. Retrieved 7 December 2022.
  8. ^ "BRICS and BICIS". The Economist. 26 November 2009.
  9. ^ "World investment: Beyond BRICs". Archived from the original on 10 July 2011. Retrieved 16 September 2010.
  10. ^ "Archived copy". www.etnet.com.hk. Archived from the original on 21 July 2011. Retrieved 17 January 2022.((cite web)): CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  11. ^ "CIVETS – The third wave of development players". Fride.org. Archived from the original on 12 June 2012. Retrieved 28 June 2012.
  12. ^ "Ministers of Economy and Finance of CIVETS countries define a common agenda for the coming years". Archived from the original on 21 July 2013. Retrieved 28 June 2012.
  13. ^ "Goldman Sachs's MIST Topping BRICs as Smaller Markets Outperform". Bloomberg.com. 7 August 2012. Retrieved 7 December 2022.
  14. ^ "World Population Prospects 2022". United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. Retrieved 17 July 2022.
  15. ^ "World Population Prospects 2022: Demographic indicators by region, subregion and country, annually for 1950-2100" (XSLX) ("Total Population, as of 1 July (thousands)"). United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. Retrieved 17 July 2022.
  16. ^ a b c d "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects". IMF. 1 October 2022. Retrieved 6 November 2022.
  17. ^ a b "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects". IMF. 3 April 2022. Retrieved 6 November 2022.