2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout77.4% Increase
 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 15 0
Popular vote 2,758,775 2,684,292
Percentage 49.93% 48.59%

North Carolina Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County Results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Polls of the state throughout the campaign indicated a close race, with most organizations considering it either a tossup or leaning towards Biden. Despite this, Trump ultimately won North Carolina by a 1.35% margin over Biden. This was Trump's narrowest victory in any state, and was a closer result than his 3.67% margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Mitt Romney's 2.04% margin over Barack Obama in 2012. In the 2020 election, North Carolina was 5.8% right of the nation as a whole. The state last voted Democratic in 2008 and furthermore, it had last voted more Republican than neighboring Georgia in 2000.

The rural-urban divide was even more prevalent this election than in past elections. Biden carried eight of North Carolina's ten largest counties (losing only the Charlotte-area suburban counties of Union and Gaston), and overperformed Obama's 2008 margin in the six largest: Wake, Mecklenburg, Guilford, Forsyth, Durham, and Buncombe, in which he received 62%, 67%, 61%, 56%, 80%, and 60% of the vote, respectively.[3] Biden furthermore became the first Democrat to carry New Hanover County, home of Wilmington, since 1976, and held Trump to a single-digit margin in the Charlotte-area suburban county of Cabarrus, the first time since 1976 that the Republican margin in this county has been less than 10%.

Conversely, Trump held or outperformed his 2016 margin in Robeson, Bladen, Martin, Granville and Gates counties, all counties that had been reliably Democratic in the 20th century and which had voted for Obama twice before flipping to Trump in 2016. Biden thereby became the first Democrat ever to win the presidency without Robeson County, the largest county in the Lumber River region of the state and the county which had given Jimmy Carter his largest raw vote margin in the state in both 1976 and 1980. Trump picked off neighboring Scotland County, one of only 15 counties he flipped nationally, becoming the first Republican to carry it since Ronald Reagan in 1984 and making Biden the first Democrat to win without Scotland since the county's creation in 1899. Biden also became the first Democrat to win the White House without Granville and Gates counties since 1892, the first since 1884 to win without Bladen County, the first since 1856 to win without Richmond County and the first ever to win without Martin County.[citation needed]

Trump's victory was, alongside his victory (and actual improvement over 2016) in Florida, one of the upsets of the cycle. Data & election website FiveThirtyEight's election forecast had Biden up in both states,[4] albeit by small margins. Similarly, prediction websites Inside Elections, Sabato Crystal Ball, The Economist, and ABC News all had Biden favored in the state.

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were held on March 3, 2020 (First cases of COVID-19), for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Main article: 2020 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary

Despite speculation that he might seek the Democratic nomination, Roy Cooper, the Governor of North Carolina, declined to run.[5][6]

Popular vote share by county  Map legend   Biden—<30%   Biden—30–40%   Biden—40–50%   Biden—50–60%   Biden—60–70%   Sanders—30–40%   Sanders—40–50%
Popular vote share by county
Map legend
  •   Biden—<30%
  •   Biden—30–40%
  •   Biden—40–50%
  •   Biden—50–60%
  •   Biden—60–70%
  •   Sanders—30–40%
  •   Sanders—40–50%
2020 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary[7]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[8]
Joe Biden 572,271 42.95 68
Bernie Sanders 322,645 24.22 37
Michael Bloomberg 172,558 12.95 3
Elizabeth Warren 139,912 10.50 2
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] 43,632 3.27
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] 30,742 2.31
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] 10,679 0.80
Tulsi Gabbard 6,622 0.50
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,973 0.22
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,181 0.16
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,978 0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,341 0.10
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 1,243 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,098 0.08
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 699 0.05
No Preference 21,808 1.64
Total 1,332,382 100% 110

Republican primary

Main article: 2020 North Carolina Republican presidential primary

The North Carolina Republican Party submitted to the state only the name of incumbent President Donald Trump to be listed on the primary ballot. The campaign of Bill Weld "has written to the [state Board of Elections] asking to be added to the ballot, arguing that his candidacy meets the legal test because he’s received 'widespread news coverage,' raised more than $1.2 million, and has qualified for the primary ballot in six other states," according to the News and Observer.[9] Joe Walsh similarly petitioned the state board of elections. On Dec. 20, 2019, the state board unanimously voted to include both Weld and Walsh on the ballot.[10]

2020 North Carolina Republican presidential primary[11]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[12]
Donald Trump 750,600 93.53 71
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 16,356 2.04 0
Bill Weld 15,486 1.93 0
No Preference 20,085 2.50
Total 802,527 100% 71


Libertarian primary

Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

2020 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary

← 2016 March 3, 2020 2024 →
← MA
MO →
 
Jacob Hornberger by Gage Skidmore (cropped) (3).jpg
John McAfee by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate None of the above Jacob Hornberger John McAfee
Home state N/A Virginia Tennessee
Popular vote 2,060 604 570
Percentage 30% 9% 8%

 
Kim Ruff (50280804772) (cropped).jpg
Vermin Supreme August 2019 (cropped).jpg
Ken Armstrong POTUS46 Headshot (cropped).jpg
Candidate Kim Ruff
(withdrawn)
Vermin Supreme Ken Armstrong
Home state Arizona Massachusetts Oregon
Popular vote 545 410 366
Percentage 8% 6% 5%

North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  None of the above
  Kim Ruff
  Vermin Supreme
  Ken Armstrong
  Jo Jorgensen
  Steve Richey
  Dan Behrman
  Jedidiah Hill
  Tie
  No votes
North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020[13]
Candidate Votes Percentage
None of the above 2,060 30%
Jacob Hornberger 604 9%
John McAfee 570 8%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 545 8%
Vermin Supreme 410 6%
Ken Armstrong 366 5%
Jo Jorgensen 316 5%
Steve Richey 278 4%
Adam Kokesh 240 3%
Max Abramson 236 3%
James Ogle 232 3%
Kenneth Blevins 199 3%
Dan Behrman 194 3%
Jedidiah Hill 194 3%
Souraya Faas 193 3%
Erik Gerhardt 150 2%
Arvin Vohra 127 2%
Total 6,914 100%

Green primary

Main article: 2020 Green Party presidential primaries

North Carolina Green primary, 2020[14][15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Howie Hawkins 247 60.54%
Green No Preference 161 39.46%
Total votes 408 100%

Constitution primary

North Carolina Constitution primary, 2020[14][16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution No Preference 193 44.57%
Constitution Don Blankenship 128 29.56%
Constitution Charles Kraut 112 25.87%
Total votes 438 100%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[17] Tossup
Inside Elections[18] Tilt D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Lean D (flip)
Politico[20] Tossup
RCP[21] Tossup
Niskanen[22] Tossup
CNN[23] Tossup
The Economist[24] Lean D (flip)
CBS News[25] Tossup
270towin[26] Tossup
ABC News[27] Lean D (flip)
NPR[28] Tossup
NBC News[29] Tossup
FiveThirtyEight[30] Lean D (flip)

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
270 to Win October 31 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.8% 47.5% 4.7% Biden +0.3
Real Clear Politics October 26 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.6% 47.8% 4.6% Trump +0.2
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.9% 47.1% 4.0% Biden +1.8
Average 48.1% 47.5% 4.4% Biden +0.6

June 1 – October 31, 2020

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 5,363 (LV) ± 2% 48%[d] 50% - -
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 473 (LV) ± 4.51% 47% 49% 2% 1% 1%
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 690 (LV) ± 5.3% 46% 52% 1% 0%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 707 (LV) ± 4.2% 48%[e] 49% 1% 1% 2%[f]
48%[g] 49% - - 3%[h] 1%
48%[i] 50% - - 2%[j]
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 50% 1% 1% 0%[k]
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[A] Oct 30–31, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 51% - -
AtlasIntel Oct 30–31, 2020 812 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% - - 3%
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[B] Oct 30–31, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 44% 2% - 7%
Emerson College Oct 29–31, 2020 855 (LV) ± 3.3% 47%[l] 47% - - 6%[m]
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 1,982 (LV) ± 2% 48% 49% - -
CNN/SSRS Oct 23–30, 2020 901 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 51% 2% 1% 1%[n] 1%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 28–29, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% - - 2%[j]
Trafalgar Group Oct 27–29, 2020 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 47% 3% - 1%[o] 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 26–29, 2020 1,489 (LV) 47% 49% 2% 0% 0% 2%
Harvard-Harris/The Hill Oct 26–29, 2020 903 (LV) 48% 49% - - 3%
East Carolina University Oct 27–28, 2020 1,103 (LV) ± 3.4% 48%[l] 50% - - 2%[p] 0%[q]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)/NSJ Oct 27–28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 46% 1% 1% 2%[r] 2%
Marist College/NBC Oct 25–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 52% - - 2% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 8,720 (LV) 47% 52% - -
Gravis Marketing Oct 26–27, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 46% 49% - - 4%
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[C] Oct 26–27, 2020 937 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 51% - - 3%
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) Oct 24–27, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% - -
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 23–27, 2020 1,034 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 48% 2% 1% 0%[s] 4%[t]
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 21–27, 2020 647 (LV) ± 4.4% 48%[e] 49% 1% 1% 1%[u]
48%[g] 49% - - 2%[v] 1%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 24–26, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47%[e] 48% - - 3%[w] 2%
46%[x] 50% - - 3%[w] 2%
49%[y] 47% - - 3%[w] 2%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 396 (LV) ± 6.8% 48% 50% 2% 0%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV Oct 23–26, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% - - 2%[j] 2%
YouGov/UMass Amherst Oct 20–26, 2020 911 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 48% 1% 0% 1%[z] 2%
Wick Surveys Oct 24–25, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 47% - -
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Oct 22–25, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.37% 46% 47% 1% 0% 0%[aa] 6%
YouGov/CBS Oct 20–23, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 51% 2%[ab] 0%
Trafalgar Group Oct 20–22, 2020 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 48.8% 46% 2.3% 0.4% 0.8%[ac] 1.7%
Citizen Data Oct 17–20, 2020 1000 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 50% 1% 0.2% 1.3% 3.6%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 20–21, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% - - 2%[j] 3%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 14–20, 2020 660 (LV) ± 4.3% 47%[e] 49% 1% 1% 1%[u]
46%[g] 49% - - 2%[v] 2%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 1,904 (LV) ± 2.2% 47% 50% - -
Meredith College Oct 16–19, 2020 732 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 1% 1% 0%[ad] 4%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 16–19, 2020 521 (LV)[ae] 47% 50% - -
Data for Progress (D) Oct 15–18, 2020 929 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 48% 1% 1% 5%
East Carolina University Oct 15–18, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 3.4% 47%[l] 51% - - 2%[af] 0%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 12–17, 2020 646 (LV) ± 4.5% 48%[e] 49% 1% 0%[q] 0%[ag] 1%
48%[ah] 50% - - 0%[ag] 1%
Emerson College Oct 11–14, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 49%[l] 49% - - 2%[ai]
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 2020 1,211 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 51% - - 2%[ai] 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 10–13, 2020 994 (LV) 46%[ae] 49% 1% 0%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 9–13, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% 46% 2% 1% 1%[aj] 8%[t]
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 7–13, 2020 660 (LV) ± 4.3% 48%[e] 48% 2% 0% 1%[u]
47%[g] 48% - - 3%[h] 3%
Monmouth University Oct 8–11, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 3% 0% 0%[ak] 2%
500 (LV)[al] 46% 50% - - 2% 2%
500 (LV)[am] 48% 49% - - 2% 1%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV Oct 8–11, 2020 669 (LV) ± 4.8% 45% 50% - - 2%[j] 3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./American Greatness PAC[B] Oct 7–11, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 48% 2% - 1%[an] 4%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 7–11, 2020 800 (LV) 45%[e] 47% 2% 1% 1% 4%
43%[x] 49% 2% 1% 1% 4%
47%[y] 44% 2% 1% 1% 4%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 1,993 (LV) ± 2.2% 46% 50% - -
YouGov/CCES Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 1,627 (LV) 45% 49% - -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 9–10 750 (LV) 42%[ae] 49% 1% 0%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6, 2020 938 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 49% 1% 0% 0%[ao] 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2020 693 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 47% - - 2%[v] 3%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–5, 2020 911 (V) 46% 50% - - 3%
Data For Progress (D) Sep 30 - Oct 5, 2020 1,285 (LV) ± 2.7% 44% 51% 2% 0% 3%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–4, 2020 396 (LV) 47% 49% - -
East Carolina University Oct 2–4, 2020 1,232 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 50% - - 2%[ap] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 3,495 (LV) 46% 52% - - 2%
ALG Research/Piedmont Rising[D] Sep 22–28, 2020 822 (V) 47% 50% - -
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[E] Sep 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 49% - -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 23–26, 2020 1,097 (LV) ± 2.96% 45% 47% 2% 0% 1%[aq] 6%
YouGov/CBS Sep 22–25, 2020 1,213 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% - - 2%[ar] 4%
YouGov/UMass Lowell Sep 18–25, 2020 921 (LV) ± 4.1% 47%[e] 47% 2% 1% 0%[as] 2%
49%[at] 48% - - 2%[au] 2%
Meredith College Sep 18–22, 2020 705 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 46% 2% 0% 1%[av] 6%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20, 2020 579 (LV) 46% 48% - -
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Sep 17–20, 2020 612 (LV) ± 3.96% 45% 44% 2% 0% 0%[ad] 8%
Emerson College Sep 16–18, 2020 717 (LV) ± 3.6% 49%[l] 51% - -
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 11–16, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 45% 2% 1% 0%[s] 8%[t]
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–16, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 47% - - 3%[h] 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–15, 2020 1,092 (LV) ± 2.97% 45% 47% 1% 1% 0%[ao] 5%
Suffolk University/USA Today Sep 11–14, 2020 500 (LV) 42.8% 46.2% 4.8% 0.2% 1.8%[aw] 4.2%
SurveyUSA/WRAL TV Sep 10–13, 2020 596 (LV) ± 5.6% 47% 47% - - 2%[j] 5%
CNN/SSRS Sep 9–13, 2020 787 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 49% 2% 1% 0%[ax] 2%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 1,172 (RV) ± 3% 43% 45% - - 4%[ay] 9%
Trafalgar Sep 9–11, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3% 47.8% 46.1% 1.6% 0.5% 1.5%[az] 2.5%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1] Sep 7–8, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 49%[l] 48% - - 3%[ba]
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP Aug 28 – Sep 8, 2020 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 48% - - 1%[bb] 4%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 1,592 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 47%[bc] 48% - -
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6, 2020 442 (LV) 47% 49% - - 4%[bd]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 951 (LV) ± 3.18% 44% 43% 1% 1% 1%[aq] 9%
Monmouth University Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 401 (RV) ± 4.9% 45% 47% 3% 0% 1%[be] 3%
401 (LV)[bf] 46% 48% - - 3% 3%
401 (LV)[bg] 46% 48% - - 3% 3%
Fox News Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 722 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 50% 1% 0% 0%[bh] 2%
804 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% 2% 1% 2%[bi] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,914 (LV) 51% 48% - - 2%
East Carolina University Aug 29–30, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 47% - - 2%[j] 3%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 1,567 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% 49% - -
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23, 2020 560 (LV) 47% 48%
Morning Consult Aug 14–23, 2020 1,541 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 49% 1%[o] 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 16–17, 2020 967 (LV) ± 3.09% 46% 44% 2% 0% 1%[aq] 7%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 1,493 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 46% 49% - -
East Carolina University Aug 12–13, 2020 1,255 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 3%[bj] 4%
Emerson College Aug 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% 51%[bk] 49%
Harper Polling/Civitas Aug 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 2% 1% 1%[av] 7%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9, 2020 493 (LV) 48% 47%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[B] Aug 6–8, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48%[ae] 47%
Data for Progress Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 1,170 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
44% 46% 2% 1% 7%
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[F] Jul 30–31, 2020 934 (V) 46% 49% 6%
YouGov/CBS Jul 28–31, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 48% 2%[bl] 5%
HIT Strategies/DFER[G] Jul 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 47% 4%[bm] 10%[t]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 3,466 (LV) 50% 49% - - 2%
Change Research/CNBC[2] Jul 24–26, 2020 284 (LV) 46% 49%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,504 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 47%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[H] Jul 23–24, 2020 884 (V) 46% 49% 5%
Cardinal Point Analytics Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 22–24, 2020 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 1% 4%
Zogby Analytics Jul 21–23, 2020 809 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 44% 4% 1% 11%
Marist College/NBC News Jul 14–22, 2020 882 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 51% 2% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–21, 2020 919 (LV) 42% 43% 2% 1% 1% 11%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[I] Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% 5%
Cardinal Point Analytics Jul 13–15, 2020 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 48% 1% 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12, 2020 655 (LV) 46% 47%
Public Policy Polling Jul 7–8, 2020 818 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 50% 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,498 (LV) 49% 49% - - 1%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28, 2020 468 (LV)[ae] 44% 51%
East Carolina University Jun 22–25, 2020 1,149 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 45% 7%[bn] 4%
Public Policy Polling Jun 22–23, 2020 1,157 (V) 46% 48% 6%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,012 (RV) ± 3% 45% 47% 5%[bo] 3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–18, 2020 653 (RV) ± 4.1% 40% 49% 4%[bp] 7%
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jun 17, 2020 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 43% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 14–17, 2020 902 (LV) ± 3.26% 40% 46% 1% 0% 1% 11%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14, 2020 378 (LV)[ae] 45% 47% 1% 1%
Public Policy Polling[3] Jun 2–3, 2020 913 (V) ± 3.2% 45% 49% 6%

January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31, 2020 806 (LV) 45% 46% 4% 4%
Harper Polling/Civitas May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 47% 44% 9%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 1,403 (LV) 49% 46%
Neighbourhood Research & Media May 12–21, 2020 391 (LV) 42% 42%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14, 2020 859 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 45% 3%[bq] 8%
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine May 9–13, 2020 500 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
East Carolina University May 7–9, 2020 1,111 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 7%[br] 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–4, 2020 1,362 (RV) ± 3% 46% 49% 4%[bs] 2%
Meredith College Apr 27–28, 2020 604 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 47% 5%[bt] 7%
SurveyUSA Apr 23–26, 2020 580 (LV) ± 5.5% 45% 50% 5%
Public Policy Polling[J] Apr 20–21, 2020 1,275 (RV) 46% 49% 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Put NC First (D) Apr 13–18, 2020 800 (LV) 45% 48%
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave Apr 13–16, 2020 500 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling Apr 14–15, 2020 1,318 (V) 47% 48% 5%
Harper Polling Apr 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 42% 9%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 48%
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 49% 1% 5%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 49% 6%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 44% 46% 11%

January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 45% 5% 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46%
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% 4% [bu]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 35% 20%[bv] 7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 46% 51% 4%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 41% 49% 10%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% 11%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 49% 5%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 5%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 56%
Spry Strategies (R)[K] May 25 – Jun 1, 2019 730 (LV) 52% 41% 7%
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 39% 7% 11%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 49% 7%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 8% 1%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 45%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 47% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 36% 6% 14%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 45% 9%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 42% 14%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 39% 6% 8%
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 49.4% 46.8% 3.8% [bu]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 27% 25.1%[bw] 8.9%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 46% 7%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 52%

Donald Trump vs. Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Other Undecided
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 36% 18% 1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 49.3% 46.9% 3.8% [bu]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39.1% 28.4% 24.8%[bw] 7.7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 5%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 44% 43% 13%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 41% 12%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 51% 49%
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 34% 5% 16%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 45% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 46% 12%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 40% 17%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling/Civitas Institute[L] Apr 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 40% 10%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 43%
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.4% 46% 48% 1% 5%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 50% 5%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 47% 10%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 44% 45% 4% 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 44%
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 4% [bu]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 33% 23%[bw] 6%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 50% 4%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 47% 10%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% 10%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 54%
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 34% 9% 10%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 48% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 41%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% 8%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 43% 12%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 44% 43% 4% 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 44%
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 48.5% 47.6% 3.9% [bu]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39.1% 33% 20.2%[bw] 7.4%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 46% 49% 5%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 44% 12%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 43% 11%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 50%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 46% 8%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12% 1%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michelle
Obama (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 50% 7%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Oprah
Winfrey (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 45% 12%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 38% 12% 2%

with Donald Trump and a person whose name was randomly chosen out of a phone book

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic individual Refused/no answer Undecided
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 42.7% 40.1% 1.1% 16.2%

with Donald Trump and Roy Cooper

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Roy
Cooper (D)
Other Undecided
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 11% 1%

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
ALG Research/End Citizens United[M] Jan 8–12, 2020 700 (LV) 44% 48%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[4][M] Sep 16–17, 2019 628 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 50% 3%
Elon University Feb 20 – Mar 7, 2019 914 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 48% 6%[m] 9%[bx]

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3% 44% 51%[by] 5%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
2,758,775 49.93% +0.10%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,684,292 48.59% +2.42%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
48,678 0.88% -1.86%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
12,195 0.22% -0.04%
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr
7,549 0.14%
Write-in 13,315 0.24% -0.76%
Total votes 5,524,804 100.00%

Results by county

County Donald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Other votes Total
votes
% # % # % # % #
Alamance 53.50% 46,056 45.10% 38,825 0.80% 686 0.61% 524 86,091
Alexander 78.51% 15,888 20.48% 4,145 0.63% 127 0.38% 76 20,236
Alleghany 74.51% 4,527 24.46% 1,486 0.58% 35 0.46% 28 6,076
Anson 47.53% 5,321 51.72% 5,789 0.37% 41 0.38% 43 11,194
Ashe 72.41% 11,451 26.33% 4,164 0.80% 126 0.46% 73 15,814
Avery 75.83% 7,172 23.17% 2,191 0.59% 56 0.41% 39 9,458
Beaufort 62.46% 16,437 36.61% 9,633 0.52% 137 0.41% 108 26,315
Bertie 38.89% 3,817 60.51% 5,939 0.30% 29 0.31% 30 9,815
Bladen 56.50% 9,676 42.78% 7,326 0.40% 68 0.32% 55 17,125
Brunswick 61.94% 55,850 36.94% 33,310 0.71% 642 0.41% 373 90,175
Buncombe 38.63% 62,412 59.74% 96,515 0.90% 1,460 0.74% 1,182 161,569
Burke 69.55% 31,019 29.41% 13,118 0.61% 270 0.44% 195 44,602
Cabarrus 53.94% 63,237 44.50% 52,162 0.93% 1,096 0.62% 732 117,227
Caldwell 74.99% 32,119 23.92% 10,245 0.64% 273 0.45% 192 42,829
Camden 72.43% 4,312 25.82% 1,537 1.28% 76 0.47% 28 5,953
Carteret 70.33% 30,028 28.32% 12,093 0.87% 373 0.47% 201 42,695
Caswell 58.82% 7,089 40.33% 4,860 0.53% 64 0.32% 38 12,051
Catawba 67.83% 56,588 30.79% 25,689 0.78% 652 0.59% 496 83,425
Chatham 43.59% 21,186 55.12% 26,787 0.75% 366 0.53% 260 48,599
Cherokee 76.89% 12,628 21.82% 3,583 0.58% 95 0.71% 117 16,423
Chowan 57.44% 4,471 41.71% 3,247 0.60% 47 0.24% 19 7,784
Clay 74.16% 5,112 24.65% 1,699 0.67% 46 0.52% 36 6,893
Cleveland 65.87% 33,798 33.05% 16,955 0.64% 329 0.44% 226 51,308
Columbus 63.65% 16,832 35.72% 9,446 0.33% 88 0.30% 80 26,446
Craven 58.48% 31,032 39.85% 21,148 1.18% 626 0.49% 259 53,065
Cumberland 40.80% 60,032 57.40% 84,469 1.12% 1,645 0.68% 1,004 147,150
Currituck 72.19% 11,657 25.98% 4,195 1.29% 209 0.53% 86 16,147
Dare 57.52% 13,938 41.00% 9,936 0.92% 223 0.56% 135 24,232
Davidson 73.05% 64,658 25.57% 22,636 0.79% 703 0.58% 517 88,514
Davie 72.02% 18,228 26.52% 6,713 0.84% 213 0.62% 157 25,311
Duplin 60.72% 13,793 38.60% 8,767 0.37% 84 0.31% 71 22,715
Durham 18.04% 32,459 80.42% 144,688 0.84% 1,504 0.70% 1,263 179,914
Edgecombe 36.13% 9,206 63.15% 16,089 0.38% 97 0.33% 85 25,477
Forsyth 42.26% 85,064 56.16% 113,033 0.89% 1,785 0.69% 1,388 201,270
Franklin 55.96% 20,901 42.51% 15,879 0.89% 333 0.64% 238 37,351
Gaston 63.23% 73,033 35.46% 40,959 0.79% 910 0.52% 596 115,498
Gates 56.39% 3,367 42.64% 2,546 0.69% 41 0.28% 17 5,971
Graham 79.53% 3,710 19.40% 905 0.56% 26 0.52% 24 4,665
Granville 52.68% 16,647 46.09% 14,565 0.77% 244 0.45% 142 31,598
Greene 55.68% 4,874 43.78% 3,832 0.30% 26 0.24% 21 8,753
Guilford 37.72% 107,294 60.84% 173,086 0.78% 2,232 0.66% 1,874 284,486
Halifax 39.13% 10,080 60.35% 15,545 0.24% 62 0.28% 72 25,759
Harnett 60.35% 35,177 37.90% 22,093 1.21% 708 0.54% 315 58,293
Haywood 62.49% 22,834 35.97% 13,144 0.91% 334 0.63% 230 36,542
Henderson 58.55% 40,032 39.80% 27,211 0.98% 670 0.67% 458 68,371
Hertford 32.72% 3,479 66.74% 7,097 0.26% 28 0.28% 30 10,634
Hoke 43.69% 9,453 54.55% 11,804 1.21% 262 0.55% 120 21,639
Hyde 56.90% 1,418 41.97% 1,046 0.68% 17 0.44% 11 2,492
Iredell 65.46% 67,010 33.10% 33,888 0.89% 907 0.55% 566 102,371
Jackson 53.00% 11,356 44.76% 9,591 1.20% 257 1.05% 224 21,428
Johnston 61.38% 68,353 37.05% 41,257 1.05% 1,164 0.52% 583 111,357
Jones 59.37% 3,280 39.76% 2,197 0.62% 34 0.25% 14 5,525
Lee 56.77% 16,469 41.86% 12,143 0.81% 235 0.56% 161 29,008
Lenoir 51.36% 14,590 47.89% 13,605 0.44% 126 0.31% 88 28,409
Lincoln 72.37% 36,341 26.43% 13,274 0.74% 373 0.46% 229 50,217
Macon 68.51% 14,211 30.03% 6,230 0.81% 169 0.65% 133 20,743
Madison 61.02% 7,979 37.48% 4,901 0.79% 103 0.71% 93 13,076
Martin 52.09% 6,532 47.14% 5,911 0.47% 59 0.30% 38 12,540
McDowell 73.39% 16,883 25.35% 5,832 0.80% 184 0.45% 104 23,003
Mecklenburg 31.60% 179,211 66.68% 378,107 0.96% 5,427 0.76% 4,308 567,053
Mitchell 78.42% 7,090 20.65% 1,867 0.52% 47 0.41% 37 9,041
Montgomery 65.46% 8,411 33.68% 4,327 0.61% 78 0.26% 33 12,849
Moore 63.02% 36,764 35.62% 20,779 0.89% 520 0.47% 276 58,339
Nash 49.41% 25,827 49.64% 25,947 0.55% 287 0.40% 210 52,271
New Hanover 48.04% 63,331 50.17% 66,138 1.15% 1,521 0.63% 840 131,830
Northampton 39.46% 3,989 60.03% 6,069 0.30% 30 0.22% 22 10,110
Onslow 63.79% 46,078 33.59% 24,266 2.08% 1,506 0.53% 385 72,235
Orange 23.74% 20,176 74.82% 63,594 0.77% 653 0.68% 574 84,997
Pamlico 63.54% 4,849 35.55% 2,713 0.58% 44 0.33% 25 7,631
Pasquotank 49.10% 9,770 49.41% 9,832 0.81% 161 0.67% 134 19,897
Pender 64.26% 21,956 34.31% 11,723 0.96% 329 0.47% 161 34,169
Perquimans 65.51% 4,903 33.30% 2,492 0.59% 44 0.60% 45 7,484
Person 60.22% 13,184 38.66% 8,465 0.66% 144 0.46% 101 21,894
Pitt 44.51% 38,982 53.96% 47,252 0.91% 796 0.62% 543 87,573
Polk 62.22% 7,689 36.56% 4,518 0.70% 86 0.53% 65 12,358
Randolph 77.60% 56,894 21.30% 15,618 0.69% 506 0.41% 298 73,316
Richmond 56.98% 11,830 42.16% 8,754 0.48% 99 0.39% 80 20,763
Robeson 58.93% 27,806 40.31% 19,020 0.34% 161 0.43% 201 47,188
Rockingham 65.47% 31,301 33.45% 15,992 0.65% 312 0.43% 204 47,809
Rowan 67.15% 49,297 31.49% 23,114 0.79% 577 0.57% 420 73,408
Rutherford 72.30% 24,891 26.53% 9,135 0.63% 218 0.54% 185 34,429
Sampson 60.84% 17,411 38.32% 10,966 0.50% 143 0.34% 98 28,618
Scotland 50.58% 7,473 48.64% 7,186 0.37% 54 0.42% 62 14,775
Stanly 75.01% 25,458 23.95% 8,129 0.66% 225 0.37% 127 33,939
Stokes 78.37% 20,144 20.57% 5,286 0.70% 180 0.36% 93 25,703
Surry 75.16% 27,538 23.80% 8,721 0.64% 235 0.39% 144 36,638
Swain 58.87% 4,161 39.33% 2,780 1.02% 72 0.78% 55 7,068
Transylvania 57.03% 11,636 41.38% 8,444 0.88% 180 0.70% 144 20,404
Tyrrell 57.46% 1,044 41.72% 758 0.44% 8 0.39% 7 1,817
Union 61.36% 80,382 37.19% 48,725 0.87% 1,136 0.59% 768 131,011
Vance 39.96% 8,391 59.20% 12,431 0.45% 94 0.40% 83 20,999
Wake 35.80% 226,197 62.25% 393,336 1.19% 7,514 0.76% 4,783 631,830
Warren 36.45% 3,752 62.18% 6,400 0.61% 63 0.76% 78 10,293
Washington 44.82% 2,781 54.73% 3,396 0.27% 17 0.18% 11 6,205
Watauga 44.85% 14,451 53.14% 17,122 1.20% 386 0.81% 261 32,220
Wayne 55.29% 30,709 43.60% 24,215 0.68% 378 0.42% 235 55,537
Wilkes 77.80% 27,592 21.18% 7,511 0.60% 214 0.42% 149 35,466
Wilson 48.07% 19,581 50.95% 20,754 0.60% 245 0.38% 155 40,735
Yadkin 80.00% 15,933 18.89% 3,763 0.66% 131 0.45% 96 19,923
Yancey 66.21% 7,516 32.49% 3,688 0.72% 82 0.58% 66 11,352

Results by congressional district

Trump won 8 of 13 congressional districts.[32]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 45.3% 53.9% G.K. Butterfield
2nd 34% 64.3% George Holding
Deborah K. Ross
3rd 60.9% 37.7% Greg Murphy
4th 32.2% 66.6% David Price
5th 67.4% 31.6% Virginia Foxx
6th 37.2% 61.6% Mark Walker
Kathy Manning
7th 58.1% 40.7% David Rouzer
8th 52.5% 46.1% Richard Hudson
9th 53.4% 45.5% Dan Bishop
10th 67.7% 31.2% Patrick T. McHenry
11th 55.4% 43.3% Madison Cawthorn
12th 28.5% 70.1% Alma Adams
13th 67.1% 31.8% Ted Budd

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

General footnotes
  1. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during early voting, shortly before the date of the election.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h Standard VI response
  6. ^ "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  7. ^ a b c d If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
  8. ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  9. ^ Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
  10. ^ a b c d e f g "Some other candidate" with 2%
  11. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  12. ^ a b c d e f With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  13. ^ a b "Someone else" with 6%
  14. ^ "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  15. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
  16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; did/would not vote and "Refused" with 0%
  17. ^ a b No voters
  18. ^ Blankenship (C) with 2%
  19. ^ a b "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  20. ^ a b c d Includes "Refused"
  21. ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 1%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  22. ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  23. ^ a b c "Another candidate" with 3%
  24. ^ a b Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  25. ^ a b Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  26. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  27. ^ Blankenship (C) with no voters
  28. ^ "Other third party" with 2%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 0.6%; Blankenship (C) with 0.2%
  30. ^ a b Blankenship (C) with 0%
  31. ^ a b c d e f Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  32. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%; did/would not vote and "Refused" with 0%
  33. ^ a b "Other", "None of these" and would not vote with 0%
  34. ^ If only Biden and Trump were candidates
  35. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
  36. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  37. ^ Blankenship (C), "No one" and "Other candidate" with no voters
  38. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  39. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  40. ^ "Refused" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  41. ^ a b "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  42. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  43. ^ a b c "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  44. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  45. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  46. ^ With only Biden, Trump and "another candidate" as options
  47. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  48. ^ a b Blankenship (C) with 1%
  49. ^ "Refused" with 1.4%; "Other" with 0.4%; Blankenship (C) with no voters
  50. ^ "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; Blankenship (C) with no voters
  51. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%; "refused" with 0%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Blankenship (C) with 0.5%
  53. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  54. ^ Would not vote with 1%
  55. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  56. ^ "Other/not sure" with 4%
  57. ^ "No one" with 1%; Blankenship and "Other candidate" with <1%
  58. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  59. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  60. ^ Blankenship (C) and "Other" with 0%
  61. ^ Blankenship (C) and would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  62. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  63. ^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  64. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  65. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  66. ^ "Some other candidate" with 7%
  67. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  68. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  69. ^ "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  70. ^ "Other candidate" with 7%
  71. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  72. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  73. ^ a b c d e The poll does not have a separate listing for this entry, which is instead added into the 'Other' grouping.
  74. ^ Refused/no answer with 0.2%
  75. ^ a b c d Refused/no answer with 0.1%
  76. ^ "Other/it depends" with 6%; "Don't know" with 3%
  77. ^ "It is time for someone else to be President" with 51% as opposed to "Trump should be re-elected if he is the Republican nominee"
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
  2. ^ a b c The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  4. ^ Piedmont Rising is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  5. ^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. ^ The founder of this poll's sponsor had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
  7. ^ This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  8. ^ AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  9. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  11. ^ Poll sponsored by the North Carolina Republican Party
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by the Civitas Institute, a conservative think tank
  13. ^ a b Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, a group that has exclusively endorsed Democrats

References

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Further reading